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RacingAlpha

16:45 Ascot

Betfred Handicap Stakes

1m · Flat · Class 2 · Good To Firm · 11 runners · £30,924 · Saturday, 25 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 7th
  1. 1st
    Hickory (IRE)
    Saffie Osborne·Jamie Osborne
    10/1·11.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Crown Board (IRE)
    Silvestre De Sousa·Jane Chapple-Hyam·beaten .5 lengths
    9/1·10.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Spanish Voice (GB)
    William Buick·Andrew Balding·beaten 0.05 lengths
    13/2·7.50
    SP
Race time
1m 42.65s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Hickory (IRE))

“Settled towards the back - travelling with plenty in hand three furlongs out but short of room and asked to close with two furlongs left - driven and finding another gear to hit the front close home”

AI top-rated Asmen Warrior (score 72.4) finished 7th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 5.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Crown Board

Crown Board sets the standard on our figures, rating 6 lb clear of the field and boasting a win in his recent form. Blue Rc, Urban Lion and Grizedale represent the main dangers, all bunched within 6 lb of each other on our figures. Crown Board's rating advantage and the strength of his recent form make him our selection in this Class 2 contest, with a high degree of confidence.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Asmen Warrior

Cieren Fallon · James Owen · 4yo

Top-rated of 11
score 72.4 · +6.2 clear of next best (66.2)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    16d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Trainer20% weight
    85very strong
    James Owen: 13/38 winners last 14d (34%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    66strong
    OR 99 — above field median
  • Form20% weight
    62average
    Last 6: 2-3-2-0-1
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Ascot 1m

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.16).

Low (1–4)
IV 0.87
Mid (5–8)
IV 0.98
High (9–11)
IV 1.16

Today: Crown Board (draw 10) and Blue Rc (draw 9) get the bias; Grizedale (draw 2) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 130 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
17
J: Saffie Osborne · T: Jamie Osborne · draw 7
8yo · G · bp
20606
9355.7
10/1·11.00
SP
22
6yo · G · b
14803
10356.8
9/1·10.00
SP
36
J: William Buick · T: Andrew Balding · draw 1
4yo · C · bt
871015
9463.0
13/2·7.50
SP
410
J: David Egan · T: David O'Meara · draw 3
5yo · G · b
422326
8555.6
25/1·26.00
SP
58
J: Sean Levey · T: Richard Hannon · draw 6
5yo · H · bb
093454
8850.4
11/1·12.00
SP
65
4yo · G · b
37011
9666.2
4/1·5.00
SP
74
J: Cieren Fallon · T: James Owen · draw 8
4yo · G · chv
23201
9972.4
11/2·6.50
SP
811
J: William Pyle · T: Jennie Candlish · draw 11
4yo · G · bh
033237
8253.4
18/1·19.00
SP
93
J: Tom Marquand · T: Jack Channon · draw 4
5yo · G · b
09100
10151.8
14/1·15.00
SP
101
J: Colin Keane · T: James Tate · draw 9
4yo · C · b
12292
10455.2
100/30F·4.33
SP
119
J: Harry Davies · T: Jim Goldie · draw 5
4yo · G · b
01034
8747.9
22/1·23.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:45 Ascot on 25 July 2026?

Hickory (IRE) won the 16:45 Ascot at SP 11.00. Ridden by Saffie Osborne. Trained by Jamie Osborne.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:45 Ascot?

No — the AI top pick (Asmen Warrior) finished 7.

What were the placings in the 16:45 Ascot?

Top finishers: 1. Hickory (IRE) (11.00), 2. Crown Board (IRE) (10.00), 3. Spanish Voice (GB) (7.50).

What was the winning time for the 16:45 Ascot?

The winning time was 1m 42.65s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org