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RacingAlpha

16:10 Ascot

Ascot Shop Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)

1m4f · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 15 runners · £16,042 · Saturday, 25 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 3rd
  1. 1st
    Primo Lara (IRE)
    Saffie Osborne·Jane Chapple-Hyam
    4/1·5.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Masterinthewoods (IRE)
    Marco Ghiani·Emma Lavelle·beaten 1.5 lengths
    4/1·5.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Oasis Sunrise (IRE)AI top pick · 58.3
    Ashley Lewis·Grace Harris·beaten 2.25 lengths
    40/1·41.00
    SP
Race time
2m 31.31s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Primo Lara (IRE))

“Raced up with the leading two before moving to the lead with over two furlongs left - driven passing the furlong marker and pulled clear to win with authority”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 40.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Patrol

Patrol heads our figures in this Class 4 staying event on 87, though the margin over his three principal rivals is slender. Hengest is only 2 lb behind on 85, with Masterinthewoods and Primo Lara a further pound back on 84 apiece, so this looks a competitive heat rather than a formality. Patrol's rating edge and the depth of his recent form nevertheless make him our selection, with a moderate degree of confidence given how tightly matched the leading group is.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Oasis Sunrise

Ashley Lewis(5) · Grace Harris · 4yo

Top-rated of 15
score 58.3 · +0.4 clear of next best (57.9)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    22d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    71strong
    Last 6: 3-2-1-1-4-3
  • Trainer20% weight
    50average
    Grace Harris: 3/15 winners last 14d (20%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    48below average
    OR 72
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Ascot 1m4f

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.18).

Low (1–5)
IV 0.75
Mid (6–10)
IV 1.18
High (11–15)
IV 1.11

Today: Ohara (draw 8) and Masterinthewoods (draw 6) get the bias; Oasis Sunrise (draw 3) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 78 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
12
5yo · G · ch
96251
7953.8
4/1·5.00
SP
23
J: Marco Ghiani · T: Emma Lavelle · draw 6
4yo · G · gr
53712
7956.5
4/1·5.00
SP
37
J: Ashley Lewis(5) · T: Grace Harris · draw 3
4yo · F · br
321143
7258.3
40/1·41.00
SP
44
J: Taylor Fisher · T: Joe Tickle · draw 14
6yo · G · b
48211
7756.1
16/1·17.00
SP
511
J: Tom Marquand · T: Brian Meehan · draw 1
3yo · G · b
33272
7752.2
3/1F·4.00
SP
65
J: David Egan · T: Dylan Cunha · draw 10
4yo · G · bp
82243
7647.1
22/1·23.00
SP
79
J: William Buick · T: Jack Jones · draw 5
3yo · G · bp
18622
7948.1
7/1·8.00
SP
86
J: Charles Bishop · T: Ian Williams · draw 13
6yo · G · b
21564
7341.8
66/1·67.00
SP
98
6yo · M · brv
921587
7142.5
50/1·51.00
SP
1014
3yo · G · btp
555646
5836.6
50/1·51.00
SP
1113
3yo · F · b
31533
6949.9
22/1·23.00
SP
121
J: Colin Keane · T: Dylan Cunha · draw 12
4yo · G · b
411189
8149.8
14/1·15.00
SP
1312
J: Jamie Spencer · T: David Menuisier · draw 11
3yo · G · ch
34425
7441.1
12/1·13.00
SP
1415
J: Jack Doughty · T: David Flood · draw 15
3yo · F · b
033115
5438.1
33/1·34.00
SP
1510
3yo · G · b
41982
7757.9
11/2·6.50
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:10 Ascot on 25 July 2026?

Primo Lara (IRE) won the 16:10 Ascot at SP 5.00. Ridden by Saffie Osborne. Trained by Jane Chapple-Hyam.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:10 Ascot?

No — the AI top pick (Oasis Sunrise) finished 3.

What were the placings in the 16:10 Ascot?

Top finishers: 1. Primo Lara (IRE) (5.00), 2. Masterinthewoods (IRE) (5.00), 3. Oasis Sunrise (IRE) (41.00).

What was the winning time for the 16:10 Ascot?

The winning time was 2m 31.31s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org