Who won the 15:48 Chester on 25 July 2026?
Calico Blue (GB) won the 15:48 Chester at SP 1.67. Ridden by Ray Dawson. Trained by Roger Varian.
15:48 Chester
Wilson Family Handicap Stakes
6f · Flat · Class 3 · Good · 7 runners · £15,462 · Saturday, 25 July 2026
Result
AI top pick wonat SP 4/6F·1.67Race report
- 1stCalico Blue (GB)AI top pick · 65.4Ray Dawson·Roger Varian4/6F·1.67SP
- 2ndTricky Tel (GB)David Probert·Hugo Palmer·beaten 1.5 lengths10/1·11.00SP
- 3rdPostmodern (IRE)Jason Hart·Hamad Al Jehani·beaten 0.3 lengths11/2·6.50SP
Race time
1m 13.16s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Calico Blue (GB))
“Handy with the front pack - switched towards the middle to gain ground over 1f out - finished powerfully to hit the front inside final 110yds and pulled clear to prevail”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 0.67 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Calico Blue
Calico Blue sits only 2 lb behind Postmodern on our figures but is preferred as our selection, on a progressive profile and a clear fitness edge. Postmodern remains the chief danger on pure figures, with Stargazed and Boston Dan also capable of running into the frame. This looks a good opportunity for Calico Blue, and we go into this Chester Class 3 with high confidence in the selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Calico Blue
Ray Dawson · Roger Varian · 3yo
Top-rated of 7
score 65.4 · +2.9 clear of next best (62.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong16d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight74strongLast 6: 1-1-2-4-2
- Ratings50% weight63averageOR 95 — above field median
- Trainer20% weight45below averageRoger Varian: 4/22 winners last 14d (18%)
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Chester 6f
full course data →Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.38).
Low (1–3)
IV 1.38
Mid (4–5)
IV 0.89
High (6–7)
IV 0.69
Today: Calico Blue (draw 2) and Postmodern (draw 1) get the bias; Grasmere Boy (draw 6) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 88 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | J: Ray Dawson · T: Roger Varian · draw 2 3yo · C · b | 11242 | 95 | 65.4 | 4/6F·1.67 SP |
| 2 | 5 | J: David Probert · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 4 3yo · G · b | 43110 | 89 | 54.2 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| 3 | 1 | J: Jason Hart · T: Hamad Al Jehani · draw 1 3yo · G · bhFT H | 07320 | 96 | 47.5 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
| 4 | 7 | J: Sean Kirrane · T: Tim Easterby · draw 3 3yo · C · b | 79000 | 86 | 45.0 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| 5 | 3 | J: Dylan Hogan · T: Julie Camacho · draw 6 3yo · G · b | 2211 | 91 | 62.5 | 13/2·7.50 SP |
| 6 | 4 | J: Edward Greatrex · T: Oliver Cole · draw 5 3yo · C · b | 162 | 90 | 59.0 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| 7 | 6 | J: Shane Gray · T: K. R. Burke · draw 7 3yo · F · b | 15208 | 88 | 59.8 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:48 Chester?
Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Calico Blue, won the race (AI score 65.4).
What were the placings in the 15:48 Chester?
Top finishers: 1. Calico Blue (GB) (1.67), 2. Tricky Tel (GB) (11.00), 3. Postmodern (IRE) (6.50).
What was the winning time for the 15:48 Chester?
The winning time was 1m 13.16s.
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