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RacingAlpha

16:58 Chester

John Smith's Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)

1m2½f · Flat · Class 4 · Good · 7 runners · £7,731 · Saturday, 25 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 4th
  1. 1st
    Parlando (GB)
    Ryan Kavanagh·Ian Williams
    13/2·7.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Secret Beach (IRE)
    Luke Morris·Donald McCain·beaten .5 lengths
    15/2·8.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Break The Bank (GB)
    Sean Kirrane·Tim Easterby·beaten .5 lengths
    11/4·3.75
    SP
Race time
2m 10.10s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Parlando (GB))

“Settled towards the back early - had a lot to find when angled wide to gain ground over 1f out - quickened into contention inside final furlong before hitting the front inside final 110yds - found more all the way to the line”

AI top-rated Seven Sisters (score 66.1) finished 4th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.75 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Nolton Cross

Nolton Cross is the choice for this Chester Class 4 event over ten furlongs, sharing the top rating of 93 with Parlando in a compact field of seven. Duc De Kent is right there too on 92, just a pound behind the pair, so ability is bunched at the head of this race. Break The Bank, Secret Beach and Lexington Jet make up a supporting cast in the mid-80s, well held on these figures. Confidence in Nolton Cross is high, and he gets the vote as our selection ahead of a division of similarly-rated rivals.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Seven Sisters

Edward Greatrex · Ralph Beckett · 3yo

Top-rated of 7
score 66.1 · +15.1 clear of next best (51.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    35d since last run (fresh)
  • Form20% weight
    83very strong
    Last 6: 2-3-1
  • Trainer20% weight
    70strong
    Ralph Beckett: 12/43 winners last 14d (28%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    54average
    OR 81
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Chester 1m2½f

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.23).

Low (1–3)
IV 1.23
Mid (4–5)
IV 0.97
High (6–7)
IV 0.76

Today: Secret Beach (draw 1) and Break The Bank (draw 2) get the bias; Seven Sisters (draw 7) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 48 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
12
Parlando
J: Ryan Kavanagh(3) · T: Ian Williams · draw 6
7yo · G · bp
393688
8344.4
13/2·7.50
SP
25
Secret Beach
J: Luke Morris · T: Donald McCain · draw 1
5yo · G · bt
19574
7851.0
15/2·8.50
SP
36
Break The Bank
J: Sean Kirrane · T: Tim Easterby · draw 2
5yo · G · bb
3U022
7648.5
11/4·3.75
SP
47
Seven Sisters
J: Edward Greatrex · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 7
3yo · F · b
231
8166.1
7/4F·2.75
SP
51
Nolton Cross
J: David Probert · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 4
7yo · G · b
408952
8549.7
4/1·5.00
SP
64
Duc De Kent
J: Jason Watson · T: Ian Williams · draw 3
6yo · G · b
88590
8035.1
40/1·41.00
SP
73
Lexington Jet
J: Laura Pearson · T: David Loughnane · draw 5
4yo · G · chb
101609
8249.3
25/1·26.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:58 Chester on 25 July 2026?

Parlando (GB) won the 16:58 Chester at SP 7.50. Ridden by Ryan Kavanagh. Trained by Ian Williams.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:58 Chester?

No — the AI top pick (Seven Sisters) finished 4.

What were the placings in the 16:58 Chester?

Top finishers: 1. Parlando (GB) (7.50), 2. Secret Beach (IRE) (8.50), 3. Break The Bank (GB) (3.75).

What was the winning time for the 16:58 Chester?

The winning time was 2m 10.10s.

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