Who won the 16:00 Newcastle (AW) on 25 July 2026?
Fantastic Fox (GB) won the 16:00 Newcastle (AW) at SP 4.33. Ridden by Jack Mitchell. Trained by Roger Varian.
16:00 Newcastle (AW)
Brack Burger On Uber Eats Beeswing Handicap Stakes (Div II)
1m · Flat · Class 4 · Standard / Slow · 12 runners · £5,653 · Saturday, 25 July 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 4thRace report
- 1stFantastic Fox (GB)Jack Mitchell·Roger Varian100/30·4.33SP
- 2ndMr Mistoffelees (IRE)Billy Garritty·Sam England·beaten 2 lengths9/1·10.00SP
- 3rdChuzzlewit (GB)Shay Farmer·Seb Spencer·beaten 0.1 lengths11/1·12.00SP
Race time
1m 42.91s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Fantastic Fox (GB))
“Dwelt at the start before improving into the pack - urged for effort over 2f out - driven over 1f out - hit the front inside the final furlong - opened up several lengths in the last 110 yards to win comfortably”
AI top-rated Metal Merchant (score 58.0) finished 4th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 20.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Fantastic Fox
Fantastic Fox tops our figures at 93, a few pounds clear of Metal Merchant on 89, despite modest recent finishing positions that undersell his true form. Calyxoh and Empirestateofmind both sit close together at 86 and add real depth to the dangers, while several more are within a handful of pounds of each other further down the list. Confidence is low in such a tightly bunched field, but Fantastic Fox remains the selection on our figures.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Metal Merchant
Jack G Gilligan · John Butler · 6yo
Top-rated of 12
score 58.0 · +6.4 clear of next best (51.6)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Trainer20% weight100very strongJohn Butler: 4/10 winners last 14d (40%)
- Freshness10% weight100very strong28d since last run (race-fit window)
- Ratings50% weight56averageOR 84 — above field median
- Form20% weight0weakLast 6: 0-0-0-0-0
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Newcastle (AW) 1m
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–5)
IV 0.94
Mid (6–10)
IV 1.06
High (11–14)
IV 1.01
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 632 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | J: Jack Mitchell · T: Roger Varian · draw 5 8yo · G · ch | 05700 | 82 | 46.2 | 100/30·4.33 SP |
| 2 | 9 | J: Billy Garritty · T: Sam England · draw 9 6yo · G · bp | 68752 | 76 | 48.8 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 3 | 14 | J: Shay Farmer(5) · T: Seb Spencer · draw 11 6yo · G · b | 457022 | 63 | 51.6 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 4 | 2 | J: Jack G Gilligan · T: John Butler · draw 7 6yo · G · b | 00000 | 84 | 58.0 | 20/1·21.00 SP |
| 5 | 4 | J: Billy Loughnane · T: James Tate · draw 3 5yo · G · b | 3511 | 81 | 47.9 | 11/4F·3.75 SP |
| 6 | 6 | J: Darragh Keenan · T: Brian Ellison · draw 12 5yo · M · b | 557670 | 79 | 40.1 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 7 | 7 | J: Sam James · T: Gemma Tutty · draw 13 6yo · G · chh | 29038 | 78 | 44.1 | 22/1·23.00 SP |
| 8 | 13 | J: Aiden Brookes · T: Ben Haslam · draw 4 4yo · G · br | 170059 | 65 | 45.7 | 25/1·26.00 SP |
| 9 | 12 | J: Andrew Mullen · T: Iain Jardine · draw 14 5yo · G · b | 48006 | 66 | 40.7 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| 10 | 11 | J: Dougie Costello · T: John & Sean Quinn · draw 8 8yo · G · bp | 040995 | 70 | 40.4 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
| 11 | 10 | J: Donagh Murphy(7) · T: Patrick Morris · draw 6 4yo · G · bp | 090973 | 74 | 39.1 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| PU | 8 | J: Jack Nicholls(5) · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 1 3yo · G · bpFT P | 129 | 85 | 50.5 | 100/30·4.33 SP |
| — | — | J: Jonny Peate · T: Susan Corbett · draw 10 5yo · G · bt | 7718 | 80 | 42.9 | — |
| — | — | J: Conor Whiteley(5) · T: David O'Meara · draw 2 6yo · G · b | 31080 | 85 | 48.3 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:00 Newcastle (AW)?
No — the AI top pick (Metal Merchant) finished 4.
What were the placings in the 16:00 Newcastle (AW)?
Top finishers: 1. Fantastic Fox (GB) (4.33), 2. Mr Mistoffelees (IRE) (10.00), 3. Chuzzlewit (GB) (12.00).
What was the winning time for the 16:00 Newcastle (AW)?
The winning time was 1m 42.91s.
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