16:35 Newcastle (AW)

John And Ross Greenhill Handicap Stakes

1m · Flat · Class 6 · Standard / Slow · 12 runners · £4,711 · Saturday, 25 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 6th

1st
Defence Missile (IRE)
Paddy Bradley·Linda Perratt
22/1·23.00
SP
2nd
Mercurius Power (IRE)
Rhys Elliott·Jessica Macey·beaten .5 lengths
13/2·7.50
SP
3rd
Pebble Dash (IRE)
Barry McHugh·W H Harrison·beaten 0.1 lengths
14/1·15.00
SP

Race time

1m 47.45s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Defence Missile (IRE))

“Held up towards the back - shaken up and made progress over 2f out - driven over 1f out and produced a powerful effort in the final furlong to hit the front close home and win”

AI top-rated Little Ted (score 45.2) finished 6th.

Settled · 1pt level stake = 4.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Little Ted

Mercurius Power heads our figures at 61 but Little Ted, rated 59, gets the vote for his progressive profile and a fitness edge over these rivals. He has been runner-up three times in his last six starts and looks capable of building on that. Suzette and Book Of Life both sit close behind on our figures and demand respect, while Mercurius Power's own indifferent recent form leaves the race open. We side with Little Ted to make the most of his conditions.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Little Ted

Oisin McSweeney · Tim Easterby · 9yo

Top-rated of 12

score 45.2 · +1.1 clear of next best (44.1)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
21d since last run (race-fit window)
Form20% weight
58average
Last 6: 0-5-2-7-2-2
Ratings50% weight
35below average
OR 53
Trainer20% weight
30weak
Tim Easterby: 8/68 winners last 14d (12%)

MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Newcastle (AW) 1m

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–4)

IV 0.94

Mid (5–8)

IV 1.06

High (9–12)

IV 1.01

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 632 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	8	Defence Missile J: Paddy Bradley · T: Linda Perratt · draw 3 4yo · G · bp	86895	9-01	47	—	—	29.1	22/1·23.00 SP
2	6	Mercurius Power J: Rhys Elliott(5) · T: Jessica Macey · draw 12 8yo · G · btp	366785	9-06	52	—	—	40.1	13/2·7.50 SP
3	10	Pebble Dash J: Barry McHugh · T: W H Harrison · draw 6 4yo · G · bvFT V	044467	9-00	45	—	—	37.7	14/1·15.00 SP
4	3	Adelaide Bay J: Billy Loughnane · T: Jane Chapple-Hyam · draw 1 4yo · G · b	882526	9-08	54	—	—	39.0	6/4F·2.50 SP
5	5	Miners Gamble J: Ben Robinson · T: Brian Ellison · draw 10 5yo · G · b	459680	9-06	52	—	—	30.8	15/2·8.50 SP
6	4	Little Ted J: Oisin McSweeney · T: Tim Easterby · draw 9 9yo · G · chp	052722	9-07	53	—	—	45.2	4/1·5.00 SP
7	1	Book Of Life J: Cian Horgan(5) · T: Patrick Morris · draw 7 6yo · G · grp	432452	9-09	55	—	—	39.7	15/2·8.50 SP
8	11	Wheres The Crumpet J: Callum Hutchinson · T: David Thompson · draw 11 8yo · M · chp	780098	9-00	45	—	—	26.2	33/1·34.00 SP
9	9	Sievier J: Jonny Peate · T: John Dawson · draw 2 5yo · M · ch	5569	9-00	45	—	—	31.0	125/1·126.00 SP
10	7	Arranmore J: Aiden Brookes · T: Micky Hammond · draw 4 9yo · G · btp	512567	9-04	50	—	—	44.0	20/1·21.00 SP
11	2	Suzette J: David Nolan · T: Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood · draw 8 4yo · F · chtFT T	66537	9-09	55	—	—	29.0	14/1·15.00 SP
12	12	Raja Charger J: Faye McManoman · T: Brian Rothwell · draw 5 4yo · G · chtb	00700	9-00	45	—	—	44.1	125/1·126.00 SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:35 Newcastle (AW) on 25 July 2026?

Defence Missile (IRE) won the 16:35 Newcastle (AW) at SP 23.00. Ridden by Paddy Bradley. Trained by Linda Perratt.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:35 Newcastle (AW)?

No — the AI top pick (Little Ted) finished 6.

What were the placings in the 16:35 Newcastle (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Defence Missile (IRE) (23.00), 2. Mercurius Power (IRE) (7.50), 3. Pebble Dash (IRE) (15.00).

What was the winning time for the 16:35 Newcastle (AW)?

The winning time was 1m 47.45s.

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