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RacingAlpha

Jimmy Tindall Handicap Stakes

5f · Flat · Class 6 · Standard / Slow · 10 runners · £3,768 · Saturday, 25 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 2nd
  1. 1st
    Too Much (GB)
    Callum Hutchinson·David Thompson
    7/2·4.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Ellie's De Vega (GB)AI top pick · 49.0
    Billy Garritty·Noel Wilson·beaten 2.5 lengths
    5/2F·3.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Let's Go Hugo (IRE)
    Tom Kiely-Marshall·Ollie Pears·beaten 0.3 lengths
    5/1·6.00
    SP
Race time
1m 1.63s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Too Much (GB))

“Raced in the pack - urged for effort and made progress 2f out - driven out over 1f out - hit the front inside the final furlong - drew several lengths away in the last 110 yards to win easily”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Too Much

Too Much heads these figures on our rating of 68 at Newcastle (AW) and rates the type to bounce back having been placed third in two of her last five starts. Ellie's de Vega is the closest of the dangers, just two pounds behind on our figures with a string of consistent placings of her own, while Black Cab and Let's Go Hugo both sit further back at 61 but cannot be ruled out. On balance we side with Too Much to prove best of a moderate field.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Ellie's de Vega

Billy Garritty · Noel Wilson · 3yo

Top-rated of 10
score 49.0 · +4.9 clear of next best (44.1)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    19d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Trainer20% weight
    63small sample (n=4)
    Noel Wilson: 1/4 winners last 14d (25%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Form20% weight
    49below average
    Last 6: 3-3-4-3-3-5
  • Ratings50% weight
    33weak
    OR 50
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Newcastle (AW) 5f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–4)
IV 1.02
Mid (5–7)
IV 0.88
High (8–10)
IV 1.09

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 571 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
11
6yo · M · brh
33067
5532.8
7/2·4.50
SP
26
J: Billy Garritty · T: Noel Wilson · draw 9
3yo · G · chb
334335
5049.0
5/2F·3.50
SP
34
6yo · G · ch
48708
5144.1
5/1·6.00
SP
48
J: Faye McManoman · T: Suzzanne France · draw 3
5yo · M · ch
86870
4525.4
40/1·41.00
SP
52
J: Billy Loughnane · T: Alison Hamilton · draw 4
5yo · G · br
89231
5437.8
4/1·5.00
SP
65
J: David Nolan · T: Peter Niven · draw 5
3yo · G · ch
586
5331.3
14/1·15.00
SP
73
J: Darragh Keenan · T: S R Bowring · draw 7
4yo · F · b
664
5332.7
12/1·13.00
SP
810
J: Alex Jary(3) · T: Noel Wilson · draw 6
3yo · G · bt
86887
4538.6
50/1·51.00
SP
97
J: Barry McHugh · T: W H Harrison · draw 2
7yo · M · b
758627
4538.3
14/1·15.00
SP
109
J: Rhys Elliott(5) · T: Michael Dods · draw 8
3yo · F · b
472524
4744.0
16/1·17.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 17:10 Newcastle (AW) on 25 July 2026?

Too Much (GB) won the 17:10 Newcastle (AW) at SP 4.50. Ridden by Callum Hutchinson. Trained by David Thompson.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:10 Newcastle (AW)?

No — the AI top pick (Ellie's de Vega) finished 2.

What were the placings in the 17:10 Newcastle (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Too Much (GB) (4.50), 2. Ellie's De Vega (GB) (3.50), 3. Let's Go Hugo (IRE) (6.00).

What was the winning time for the 17:10 Newcastle (AW)?

The winning time was 1m 1.63s.

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