18+ • Bet Responsibly • Racing Alpha does not accept betsBeGambleAware.org
RacingAlpha

18:45 Salisbury

Madar Corporation Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)

1m · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 4 runners · £5,400 · Saturday, 25 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick was a non-runner
  1. 1st
    Matins (GB)
    Hector Crouch·William Haggas
    6/4F·2.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Raggaas (GB)
    Ross Coakley·Simon & Ed Crisford·beaten 7 lengths
    5/2·3.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Kinetic Impact (GB)
    Callum Rodriguez·Charles Hills·beaten 1.25 lengths
    13/8·2.62
    SP
Race time
1m 44.89s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Matins (GB))

“settled in third early - urged along to hit the front over 1f out - took command inside the final furlong and soon opened a comfortable advantage - driven out to win in taking style”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Areti

Mason Paetel(5) · Oliver Cole · 3yo

Top-rated of 4
score 52.4 · +2.0 clear of next best (50.3)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    70strong
    8d since last run (quick turnaround)
  • Form20% weight
    52average
    Last 6: 2-5-2-4-4
  • Ratings50% weight
    50average
    OR 75
  • Trainer20% weight
    50average
    Oliver Cole: 2/10 winners last 14d (20%)
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Salisbury 1m

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.16).

Low (1–2)
IV 0.89
Mid (3–4)
IV 1.16
High (5–5)
IV 0.98

Today: Areti (draw 4) and Matins (draw 3) get the bias; Raggaas (draw 2) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 90 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
12
J: Hector Crouch · T: William Haggas · draw 3
3yo · C · btFT T
——19.5
6/4F·2.50
SP
23
3yo · G · bt
44
—33.5
5/2·3.50
SP
31
J: Callum Rodriguez · T: Charles Hills · draw 5
3yo · C · b
435
7950.3
13/8·2.62
SP
45
J: William Carver · T: Robbie Llewellyn · draw 1
3yo · F · b
9
—11.2
80/1·81.00
SP
——
J: Mason Paetel(5) · T: Oliver Cole · draw 4
3yo · F · b
25244
7552.4—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 18:45 Salisbury on 25 July 2026?

Matins (GB) won the 18:45 Salisbury at SP 2.50. Ridden by Hector Crouch. Trained by William Haggas.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 18:45 Salisbury?

No — the AI top pick (Areti) was a non-runner or unplaced.

What were the placings in the 18:45 Salisbury?

Top finishers: 1. Matins (GB) (2.50), 2. Raggaas (GB) (3.50), 3. Kinetic Impact (GB) (2.62).

What was the winning time for the 18:45 Salisbury?

The winning time was 1m 44.89s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org