15:00 Southwell (AW)

Prestige Safety First Aid Training Novice Stakes (gbb/gbbplus Race)

1m4f · Flat · Class 3 · Standard · 14 runners · £6,480 · Monday, 27 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 3rd

1st
Kokbastau (GB)
Ray Dawson·Roger Varian
11/4·3.75
SP
2nd
Turret (IRE)
P J McDonald·Andrew Balding·beaten 0.3 lengths
9/2·5.50
SP
3rd
Humphrey (GB)AI top pick · 44.1
Robert Havlin·John & Thady Gosden·beaten 3.5 lengths
5/4F·2.25
SP

Race time

2m 36.94s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Kokbastau (GB))

“racing in the pack out wide - made ground over 2f out - drifted left over 1f out before going to the front approaching the final furlong - fought back strongly when pressed late”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.25 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way36.8/100 rating

Kokbastau

5.50Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Why the model rates this top

Humphrey

Robert Havlin · John & Thady Gosden · 3yo

Top-rated of 14

score 44.1 · +3.5 clear of next best (40.6)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Trainer20% weight
100very strong
John & Thady Gosden: 8/15 winners last 14d (53%)
Freshness10% weight
85very strong
44d since last run (fresh)
Form20% weight
78strong
Last 6: 2
Ratings50% weight
0weak
no Racing Post ratings on file

MarketBest price 2.00 (SmarketsSBK) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Southwell (AW) 1m4f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–5)

IV 1.05

Mid (6–10)

IV 1.08

High (11–14)

IV 0.88

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 208 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	11	Kokbastau J: Ray Dawson · T: Roger Varian · draw 13 3yo · C · b	63	9-04	—	—	—	36.8	11/4·3.75 SP
2	5	Turret J: P J McDonald · T: Andrew Balding · draw 12 3yo · C · b	01	9-11	—	—	—	34.8	9/2·5.50 SP
3	10	Humphrey J: Robert Havlin · T: John & Thady Gosden · draw 2 3yo · C · ch	2	9-04	—	—	—	44.1	5/4F·2.25 SP
4	13	Hello Friend J: Sam James · T: K. R. Burke · draw 9 3yo · F · ch	22	8-13	—	—	—	40.6	10/1·11.00 SP
5	3	Bankatary J: Luke Morris · T: James Owen · draw 6 4yo · G · gr	4	10-01	—	—	—	36.0	33/1·34.00 SP
6	1	Alfred Wincham J: Julian Pietropaolo(7) · T: Patrick Neville · draw 3 4yo · G · b	1	10-08	—	—	—	30.0	18/1·19.00 SP
7	14	Marianita J: Hector Crouch · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 5 3yo · F · b	40	8-13	—	—	—	23.5	66/1·67.00 SP
8	2	Sharp Move J: Tom Marquand · T: William Haggas · draw 8 4yo · C · b	41	10-08	—	—	—	29.8	14/1·15.00 SP
9	8	Centrum J: Kieran O'Neill · T: John & Thady Gosden · draw 1 3yo · C · bpFT P	8	9-04	—	—	—	30.5	9/1·10.00 SP
10	9	Eshowe J: Georgia Dobie · T: Edward Smyth-Osbourne · draw 4 3yo · G · bh	0	9-04	—	—	—	21.0	250/1·251.00 SP
11	7	Argenteus J: Jack Doughty · T: David Menuisier · draw 10 3yo · G · gr	7	9-04	—	—	—	11.5	100/1·101.00 SP
12	6	Crack of Thunder J: Ross Coakley · T: Jack Jones · draw 11 4yo · F · b	08	9-10	—	—	—	11.3	500/1·501.00 SP
13	12	Sandpyper J: William Pyle · T: Kevin & Lauren Frost · draw 7 3yo · G · b	0	9-04	—	—	—	18.0	300/1·301.00 SP
14	4	Pic N Mix J: Jonny Peate · T: Nick Littmoden · draw 14 5yo · G · ch	—	10-01	—	—	—	16.5	300/1·301.00 SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 15:00 Southwell (AW) on 27 July 2026?

Kokbastau (GB) won the 15:00 Southwell (AW) at SP 3.75. Ridden by Ray Dawson. Trained by Roger Varian.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:00 Southwell (AW)?

No — the AI top pick (Humphrey) finished 3.

What were the placings in the 15:00 Southwell (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Kokbastau (GB) (3.75), 2. Turret (IRE) (5.50), 3. Humphrey (GB) (2.25).

What was the winning time for the 15:00 Southwell (AW)?

The winning time was 2m 36.94s.

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