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RacingAlpha

14:15 Ayr

Ladbrokes 'Bet £5 Get £30 New Customer Offer' EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race)

7f · Flat · Class 3 · Good To Firm · 5 runners · £7,020 · Monday, 27 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 4th
  1. 1st
    Bymiddaytomorrow (IRE)
    Kieran Shoemark·Ed Walker
    9/4·3.25
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Kanzi (GB)
    Connor Beasley·Charlie Johnston·beaten 1.5 lengths
    9/1·10.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Tegernsee (IRE)
    Jason Hart·Hugo Palmer·beaten 1.25 lengths
    7/1·8.00
    SP
Race time
1m 30.09s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Bymiddaytomorrow (IRE))

“close up early - went to the front over 1f out - driven out inside final furlong - ran on readily to score”

AI top-rated Little Lady Karen (score 64.1) finished 4th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.75 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Little Lady Karen

Pierre-Louis Jamin · K. R. Burke · 2yo

Top-rated of 5
score 64.1 · +14.9 clear of next best (49.2)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    34d since last run (fresh)
  • Trainer20% weight
    83very strong
    K. R. Burke: 9/27 winners last 14d (33%)
  • Form20% weight
    72strong
    Last 6: 3-2
  • Ratings50% weight
    49below average
    OR 74 — highest combined rating in the field
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Ayr 7f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–2)
IV 1.06
Mid (3–4)
IV 0.92
High (5–5)
IV 1.01

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 140 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
11
J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Ed Walker · draw 3
2yo · F · b
658
7249.2
9/4·3.25
SP
22
J: Connor Beasley · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 5
2yo · F · b
——17.5
9/1·10.00
SP
35
J: Jason Hart · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 4
2yo · F · b
9
—20.2
7/1·8.00
SP
43
J: Pierre-Louis Jamin · T: K. R. Burke · draw 1
2yo · F · b
32
7464.1
7/4F·2.75
SP
54
J: Tom Eaves · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 2
2yo · F · b
3
—20.5
7/2·4.50
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 14:15 Ayr on 27 July 2026?

Bymiddaytomorrow (IRE) won the 14:15 Ayr at SP 3.25. Ridden by Kieran Shoemark. Trained by Ed Walker.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:15 Ayr?

No — the AI top pick (Little Lady Karen) finished 4.

What were the placings in the 14:15 Ayr?

Top finishers: 1. Bymiddaytomorrow (IRE) (3.25), 2. Kanzi (GB) (10.00), 3. Tegernsee (IRE) (8.00).

What was the winning time for the 14:15 Ayr?

The winning time was 1m 30.09s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org