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RacingAlpha

14:45 Ayr

'Ladbrokes Get More With Racing Bet Builder' Handicap Stakes

6f · Flat · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 9 runners · £4,187 · Monday, 27 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 4th
  1. 1st
    Mr Cool (IRE)
    Connor Beasley·Charlie Johnston
    7/2·4.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Great Profit (IRE)
    Barry McHugh·W H Harrison·beaten 1.25 lengths
    17/2·9.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Lanarra (IRE)
    James Sullivan·R Mike Smith·beaten 0.1 lengths
    12/1·13.00
    SP
Race time
1m 10.82s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Mr Cool (IRE))

raced in the pack - progress on the inside from over 1f out - hit the front inside final furlong - drew clear with authority

AI top-rated Cotai Starlight (score 46.6) finished 4th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 5.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way46.6/100 rating
Cotai Starlight
7.20Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Kelpie Grey

Kelpie Grey is our selection at Ayr over six furlongs, heading our figures on a rating of 76. Mr Cool is only two pounds behind on 74 and the main danger, with Water Of Leith and Falcon Queen also holding claims in this competitive contest. It's a narrow verdict, in keeping with our medium confidence, but Kelpie Grey's slight edge on these figures makes it the selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Cotai Starlight

Jason Hart · Katie Scott · 3yo

Top-rated of 9
score 46.6 · +4.1 clear of next best (42.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    70strong
    7d since last run (quick turnaround)
  • Trainer20% weight
    55small sample (n=9)
    Katie Scott: 2/9 winners last 14d (22%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Form20% weight
    51average
    Last 6: 6-3-5-8-1
  • Ratings50% weight
    37below average
    OR 55
MarketBest price 7.20 (Betfair Exchange) · 3rd in the market of 9.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Ayr 6f

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.24).

Low (1–3)
IV 1.24
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.98
High (7–9)
IV 0.75

Today: Cotai Starlight (draw 1) and Great Profit (draw 2) get the bias; Water Of Leith (draw 7) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 122 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
11
J: Connor Beasley · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 8
4yo · G · b
673523
6441.3
7/2·4.50
SP
24
J: Barry McHugh · T: W H Harrison · draw 2
3yo · G · b
64822
6339.2
17/2·9.50
SP
39
J: James Sullivan · T: R Mike Smith · draw 5
3yo · F · b
61234
4939.1
12/1·13.00
SP
45
J: Jason Hart · T: Katie Scott · draw 1
3yo · F · ch
63581
5546.6
5/1·6.00
SP
53
J: Mark Winn · T: Jim Goldie · draw 7
8yo · G · b
465536
6242.5
5/1·6.00
SP
62
J: Amie Waugh(3) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 6
6yo · G · gr
65860
6438.9
100/30F·4.33
SP
78
J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Jim Goldie · draw 4
4yo · F · b
74673
5440.0
6/1·7.00
SP
87
J: Tom Eaves · T: R Mike Smith · draw 3
3yo · F · chh
44896
6037.4
40/1·41.00
SP
96
J: Lauren Young(5) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 9
4yo · G · b
3080
5535.1
40/1·41.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 14:45 Ayr on 27 July 2026?

Mr Cool (IRE) won the 14:45 Ayr at SP 4.50. Ridden by Connor Beasley. Trained by Charlie Johnston.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:45 Ayr?

No — the AI top pick (Cotai Starlight) finished 4.

What were the placings in the 14:45 Ayr?

Top finishers: 1. Mr Cool (IRE) (4.50), 2. Great Profit (IRE) (9.50), 3. Lanarra (IRE) (13.00).

What was the winning time for the 14:45 Ayr?

The winning time was 1m 10.82s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org