Who won the 15:45 Ayr on 27 July 2026?
Samra Star (IRE) won the 15:45 Ayr at SP 26.00. Ridden by Mark Winn. Trained by Linda Perratt.
← All racecards15:45
Ayr
Great BritainLadbrokes 'Get More With Ladbucks' Handicap Stakes
Monday, 27 July 2026
1m·Flat·Class 6·Good To Firm·9 runners·£3,664
Result
AI top pick placed 2ndRace report
- 1stSamra Star (IRE)Mark Winn·Linda Perratt25/1·26.00SP
- 2ndRunninsonofagun (IRE)AI top pick · 53.4Jason Hart·Tristan Davidson·beaten 0.3 lengths8/15F·1.53SP
- 3rdUnion Island (IRE)Connor Beasley·Charlie Johnston·beaten 2 lengths12/1·13.00SP
Race time
1m 39.52s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Samra Star (IRE))
“settled towards the back - short of room 1f out - drifted left to go second inside final 110yds - bumped but stayed on to hit the front towards finish”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 0.53 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Selections by model
Head-to-head dashboard →v1.053.4/100 rating
Runninsonofagun
1.81Betfair Exchange· informational only
Top-rated, but filter rejects this race
v1.1
No pick
Race outside the segment-edge filter
Each-way46.7/100 rating
Novak
7.00Unibet
Place portion settles at 2.20 · 1/5 odds · 3 places
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Racing Alpha pick
Runninsonofagun
Jason Hart · Tristan Davidson · 4yo
53.4/100
+6.7 vs next best (46.7)
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight70strong7d since last run (quick turnaround)
- Trainer20% weight68strongTristan Davidson: 4/15 winners last 14d (27%)
- Form20% weight56averageLast 6: 0-8-3-5-1-3
- Ratings50% weight43below averageOR 65 — highest combined rating in the field
MarketBest price 1.81 (Betfair Exchange) — market favourite. AI agrees with the market.
v1.3 rating · weights and method explained on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Runners
| Pos | # | Dr | Horse | Jockey / Trainer | Form | Wt | OR | RPR | TS | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | 5 | 4yo · G · bb | 083513 | 10-02 | 65 | — | — | 53.4 | 8/15F·1.53 SP | |
| 9 | 2 | 1 | 8yo · G · bp | 87808 | 10-01 | 64 | — | — | 43.9 | 28/1·29.00 SP | |
| 3 | 3 | 6 | 5yo · G · b | 154346 | 10-00 | 63 | — | — | 41.9 | 12/1·13.00 SP | |
| 6 | 4 | 7 | 4yo · G · bp | 43417 | 10-00 | 63 | — | — | 41.8 | 12/1·13.00 SP | |
| 4 | 5 | 2 | 7yo · G · gr | 585234 | 10-00 | 63 | — | — | 46.7 | 9/2·5.50 SP | |
| 5 | 6 | 4 | 4yo · G · bv | 27755 | 9-12 | 61 | — | — | 40.5 | 18/1·19.00 SP | |
| 1 | 7 | 9 | 5yo · M · bh | 164382 | 9-04 | 53 | — | — | 41.5 | 25/1·26.00 SP | |
| 7 | 8 | 8 | 4yo · G · b | 348 | 9-02 | 51 | — | — | 32.5 | 40/1·41.00 SP | |
| 8 | 9 | 3 | 6yo · G · ch | 519341 | 9-02 | 51 | — | — | 44.5 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:45 Ayr?
No — the AI top pick (Runninsonofagun) finished 2.
What were the placings in the 15:45 Ayr?
Top finishers: 1. Samra Star (IRE) (26.00), 2. Runninsonofagun (IRE) (1.53), 3. Union Island (IRE) (13.00).
What was the winning time for the 15:45 Ayr?
The winning time was 1m 39.52s.
Racing Post verdict
Third-partyKeats House is our selection at Ayr over a mile, narrowly heading our figures on a rating of 71. Novak is just a pound behind on 70 and the main danger, with Runninsonofagun and Mayor Of Maghera also holding solid claims in a well-packed race. Confidence is medium given how tightly these ratings are bunched, but Keats House gets the verdict on the strength of that slender edge.
Racing Post pick: Keats House
Editorial verdict from Racing Post via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha.
Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org