Who won the 16:15 Ayr on 27 July 2026?
Empirical (IRE) won the 16:15 Ayr at SP 3.50. Ridden by Kieran Shoemark. Trained by Ed Walker.
← All racecards16:15
Ayr
Great BritainLadbrokes 'Insure Your Acca On Football' Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)
Monday, 27 July 2026
1m2f·Flat·Class 4·Good To Firm·5 runners·£5,154
Result
AI top pick was a non-runnerRace report
- 1stEmpirical (IRE)Kieran Shoemark·Ed Walker5/2·3.50SP
- 2ndColourband (IRE)Jason Hart·Simon & Ed Crisford·beaten 1 length2/1J·3.00SP
- 3rdGeo (IRE)Andrew Mullen·Jim Goldie·beaten 1.25 lengths8/1·9.00SP
Race time
2m 7.95s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Empirical (IRE))
“settled in third early - progress on the outside over 2f out - shared the front over 1f out - asserted inside final furlong to score comfortably”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Selections by model
Head-to-head dashboard →v1.061.8/100 rating
Rastnet
—· informational only
Top-rated, but filter rejects this race
v1.1
No pick
Race outside the segment-edge filter
Racing Alpha pick
Rastnet
Connor Beasley · John Butler · 4yo
61.8/100
+2.9 vs next best (58.9)
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight85very strong44d since last run (fresh)
- Trainer20% weight73strongJohn Butler: 5/17 winners last 14d (29%)
- Ratings50% weight57averageOR 85 — highest combined rating in the field
- Form20% weight52averageLast 6: 2-2-2-3-7
Marketno market price available
v1.3 rating · weights and method explained on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Runners
| Pos | # | Dr | Horse | Jockey / Trainer | Form | Wt | OR | RPR | TS | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | 7 | 6yo · G · bp | 341361 | 9-07 | 76 | — | — | 53.6 | 2/1J·3.00 SP | |
| 2 | 4 | 1 | 3yo · G · b | 32164 | 9-04 | 82 | — | — | 56.3 | 2/1J·3.00 SP | |
| 3 | 5 | 3 | 4yo · F · b | 162422 | 9-01 | 70 | — | — | 48.8 | 8/1·9.00 SP | |
| 1 | 6 | 2 | 3yo · G · bbFT B | 73831 | 8-12 | 76 | — | — | 58.9 | 5/2·3.50 SP | |
| 5 | 7 | 6 | 8yo · G · baybrown | 311193 | 8-11 | 65 | — | — | 49.5 | 16/1·17.00 SP | |
| — | — | 4 | 4yo · G · bh | 68255 | 9-10 | 79 | — | — | 48.1 | — | |
| — | — | 5 | 4yo · F · bp | 22237 | 10-02 | 85 | — | — | 61.8 | — |
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:15 Ayr?
No — the AI top pick (Rastnet) was a non-runner or unplaced.
What were the placings in the 16:15 Ayr?
Top finishers: 1. Empirical (IRE) (3.50), 2. Colourband (IRE) (3.00), 3. Geo (IRE) (9.00).
What was the winning time for the 16:15 Ayr?
The winning time was 2m 7.95s.
Racing Post verdict
Third-partyObito is our selection at Ayr over a mile and a quarter, and clear on our figures with a rating of 96 - fully ten pounds up on Pearl Eye in second. Colourband and Geo also feature among the dangers, but neither closes that gap on these ratings. It's a high-confidence verdict for Obito, who rates well above the rest of this field.
Racing Post pick: Obito
Editorial verdict from Racing Post via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha.
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