Who won the 16:45 Ayr on 27 July 2026?
Sixcor (GB) won the 16:45 Ayr at SP 12.00. Ridden by Tom Kiely-Marshall. Trained by Linda Perratt.
16:45 Ayr
Ladbrokes 'Get Extra Places On Selected Races' Handicap Stakes
5f · Flat · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 8 runners · £3,664 · Monday, 27 July 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 2ndRace report
- 1stSixcor (GB)Tom Kiely-Marshall·Linda Perratt11/1·12.00SP
- 2ndStartling (GB)AI top pick · 51.5Jason Hart·John Wainwright·beaten .5 lengths4/1F·5.00SP
- 3rdHenery Hawk (GB)Connor Beasley·Linda Perratt·beaten 0.3 lengths7/1·8.00SP
Race time
58.72s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Sixcor (GB))
“handy with the front group - driven to the front inside final 110yds - kept on strongly”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 4.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way51.5/100 rating
Startling
5.60Betfair Exchange
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Startling
Startling is our selection, rated 70 to lead this Class 6 5f contest at Ayr on good to firm, 7 lb clear of nearest-rated rival Henery Hawk on our figures. Wee Mary and Doon The Glen also feature among the leading dangers in a well-matched nine-runner field. Confidence in the selection is only low, reflecting how competitive this line-up looks on paper, but Startling's figures still make her the one to beat.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Startling
Jason Hart · John Wainwright · 4yo
Top-rated of 8
score 51.5 · +6.7 clear of next best (44.8)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight70strong9d since last run (quick turnaround)
- Trainer20% weight63small sample (n=4)John Wainwright: 1/4 winners last 14d (25%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Form20% weight60averageLast 6: 8-3-2-2-4
- Ratings50% weight40below averageOR 60 — highest combined rating in the field
MarketBest price 5.60 (Betfair Exchange) · market favourite.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Ayr 5f
full course data →Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.24).
Low (1–3)
IV 1.24
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.98
High (7–9)
IV 0.75
Today: Supremissy (draw 2) and Doon The Glen (draw 3) get the bias; Henery Hawk (draw 8) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 122 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | J: Tom Kiely-Marshall(5) · T: Linda Perratt · draw 5 8yo · G · bp | 953753 | 45 | 37.3 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 2 | 1 | J: Jason Hart · T: John Wainwright · draw 4 4yo · F · b | 83224 | 60 | 51.5 | 4/1F·5.00 SP |
| 3 | 2 | J: Connor Beasley · T: Linda Perratt · draw 8 7yo · G · b | 613035 | 58 | 42.2 | 7/1·8.00 SP |
| 4 | 3 | J: Mark Winn · T: Jim Goldie · draw 9 4yo · F · bh | 162474 | 54 | 38.6 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
| 5 | 6 | J: Shay Farmer(5) · T: R Mike Smith · draw 6 5yo · G · bp | 637756 | 48 | 31.4 | 5/1·6.00 SP |
| 6 | 8 | J: Lauren Young(5) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 1 4yo · F · b | 35772 | 45 | 35.2 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 7 | 7 | J: Amie Waugh(3) · T: R Mike Smith · draw 7 6yo · M · b | 456238 | 46 | 36.8 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| 8 | 5 | J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Jim Goldie · draw 3 6yo · G · bv | 183471 | 51 | 40.0 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| — | — | J: Andrew Mullen · T: Iain Jardine · draw 2 3yo · F · b | 0U931 | 56 | 44.8 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:45 Ayr?
No — the AI top pick (Startling) finished 2.
What were the placings in the 16:45 Ayr?
Top finishers: 1. Sixcor (GB) (12.00), 2. Startling (GB) (5.00), 3. Henery Hawk (GB) (8.00).
What was the winning time for the 16:45 Ayr?
The winning time was 58.72s.
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