18+ • Bet Responsibly • Racing Alpha does not accept betsBeGambleAware.org
RacingAlpha

16:45 Goodwood

British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Stakes (Colts And Geldings Only)

6f · Flat · Class 2 · Good · 15 runners · £30,924 · Tuesday, 28 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 12th
  1. 1st
    Agrippa (IRE)
    Pat Dobbs·Richard Hannon
    11/1·12.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Dorigo (IRE)
    Kevin Stott·Kevin Ryan·beaten 0.2 lengths
    12/1·13.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Launch Sequence (IRE)
    James Doyle·K. R. Burke·beaten 1.5 lengths
    5/2·3.50
    SP
Race time
1m 10.72s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Agrippa (IRE))

“Settled in midfield - travelling smoothly 3f out and closing 2f out - pushed along to reach the front-runner inside the final furlong - finished full of running to score”

AI top-rated Shemiyla Star (score 48.4) finished 12th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 66.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Shemiyla Star

Silvestre De Sousa · Charlie Johnston · 2yo

Top-rated of 15
score 48.4 · +9.4 clear of next best (39.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    27d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    56average
    Last 6: 2-4
  • Ratings50% weight
    47below average
    OR 71 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Trainer20% weight
    18weak
    Charlie Johnston: 3/43 winners last 14d (7%)
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Goodwood 6f

full course data →

Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.33).

Low (1–6)
IV 1.33
Mid (7–11)
IV 0.96
High (12–16)
IV 0.66

Today: Shemiyla Star (draw 4) and Agrippa (draw 6) get the bias; Launch Sequence (draw 13) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 112 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
11
J: Pat Dobbs · T: Richard Hannon · draw 6
2yo · C · b
52
—27.4
11/1·12.00
SP
26
J: Kevin Stott · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 8
2yo · C · b
27
—15.7
12/1·13.00
SP
39
J: James Doyle · T: K. R. Burke · draw 13
2yo · C · b
3
—39.0
5/2·3.50
SP
47
2yo · G · chh
27
—15.7
2/1F·3.00
SP
515
J: Robert Havlin · T: Michael Appleby · draw 9
2yo · C · b
45
—19.0
66/1·67.00
SP
65
2yo · C · b
——20.0
28/1·29.00
SP
711
2yo · C · b
4
—23.5
100/1·101.00
SP
813
J: Ryan Moore · T: Richard Hughes · draw 11
2yo · C · b
7
—19.5
9/1·10.00
SP
92
J: Colin Keane · T: David Evans · draw 2
2yo · C · b
5
—23.0
16/1·17.00
SP
1016
J: Clifford Lee · T: Alan King · draw 16
2yo · C · b
0
—10.0
125/1·126.00
SP
1112
J: Oisin Murphy · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 7
2yo · C · b
20
—21.7
9/2·5.50
SP
1214
2yo · C · b
24
7148.4
66/1·67.00
SP
138
J: Cieren Fallon · T: James Owen · draw 14
2yo · C · b
——33.0
66/1·67.00
SP
143
J: Hector Crouch · T: Gary & Josh Moore · draw 12
2yo · G · br
8
—16.0
125/1·126.00
SP
154
J: Edward Greatrex · T: Oliver Cole · draw 1
2yo · C · ch
——15.0
80/1·81.00
SP
——
J: David Probert · T: Gary & Josh Moore · draw 15
2yo · C · b
——19.0—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:45 Goodwood on 28 July 2026?

Agrippa (IRE) won the 16:45 Goodwood at SP 12.00. Ridden by Pat Dobbs. Trained by Richard Hannon.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:45 Goodwood?

No — the AI top pick (Shemiyla Star) finished 12.

What were the placings in the 16:45 Goodwood?

Top finishers: 1. Agrippa (IRE) (12.00), 2. Dorigo (IRE) (13.00), 3. Launch Sequence (IRE) (3.50).

What was the winning time for the 16:45 Goodwood?

The winning time was 1m 10.72s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org