Who won the 15:45 Yarmouth on 28 July 2026?
Luminous Warrior (IRE) won the 15:45 Yarmouth at SP 1.67. Ridden by Marco Ghiani. Trained by Dylan Cunha.
15:45 Yarmouth
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1m · Flat · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 5 runners · £3,768 · Tuesday, 28 July 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 2ndRace report
- 1stLuminous Warrior (IRE)Marco Ghiani·Dylan Cunha4/6F·1.67SP
- 2ndHeer's Sadie (GB)AI top pick · 50.2Christian Howarth·Julia & Shelley Birkett·beaten 1.25 lengths12/1·13.00SP
- 3rdTurpin (GB)Pat Cosgrave·Jim Boyle·beaten 3 lengths11/2·6.50SP
Race time
1m 39.66s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Luminous Warrior (IRE))
“Settled close to the pace - pushed along with 2f left - moved through to hit the front inside the final furlong - powered clear to the line for the win”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 12.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way50.2/100 rating
Heer's Sadie
11.50Betfair Exchange
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Love You More
Love You More is preferred to the pole position on our figures on the strength of her more progressive profile, despite sitting just a pound behind Luminous Warrior at the top. Luminous Warrior, Heer's Sadie and Chloe's Courage represent the main dangers, with Luminous Warrior clearly the pick of that trio. A winning run last time out gives Love You More the edge in a race that lacks a standout, and she is our selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Heer's Sadie
Christian Howarth(3) · Julia & Shelley Birkett · 8yo
Top-rated of 5
score 50.2 · +13.1 clear of next best (37.1)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong20d since last run (race-fit window)
- Trainer20% weight83small sample (n=3)Julia & Shelley Birkett: 1/3 winners last 14d (33%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Form20% weight42below averageLast 6: 4-5-6-2-5
- Ratings50% weight31weakOR 46
MarketBest price 11.50 (Betfair Exchange) · 4th in the market of 5.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Yarmouth 1m
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–3)
IV 1.08
Mid (4–5)
IV 1.02
High (6–7)
IV 0.89
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 189 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | J: Marco Ghiani · T: Dylan Cunha · draw 5 4yo · G · bt | 007862 | 55 | 37.1 | 4/6F·1.67 SP |
| 2 | 5 | J: Christian Howarth(3) · T: Julia & Shelley Birkett · draw 4 8yo · M · b | 45625 | 46 | 50.2 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 3 | 4 | J: Pat Cosgrave · T: Jim Boyle · draw 1 4yo · G · blv | 57595 | 49 | 35.7 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
| 4 | 3 | J: Darragh Keenan · T: John Ryan · draw 2 4yo · F · bp | 92693 | 51 | 31.3 | 11/4·3.75 SP |
| 5 | 7 | J: Jonny Peate · T: J. R. Jenkins · draw 6 5yo · G · b | 0900 | 45 | 19.7 | 80/1·81.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Billy Loughnane · T: Joseph Parr · draw 3 4yo · F · bh | 27071 | 53 | 36.6 | — |
| — | — | J: Millie Wonnacott(5) · T: Tony Carroll · draw 7 4yo · G · bp | 98806 | 45 | 31.1 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:45 Yarmouth?
No — the AI top pick (Heer's Sadie) finished 2.
What were the placings in the 15:45 Yarmouth?
Top finishers: 1. Luminous Warrior (IRE) (1.67), 2. Heer's Sadie (GB) (13.00), 3. Turpin (GB) (6.50).
What was the winning time for the 15:45 Yarmouth?
The winning time was 1m 39.66s.
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