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18:30 Ffos Las

DragonBet/Martin Davies Handicap Stakes

7½f · Flat · Class 5 · Good · 4 runners · £4,187 · Tuesday, 28 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick was a non-runner
  1. 1st
    Distinct Spirit (GB)
    Ebrahim Nader·Daniel & Claire Kubler
    2/7F·1.29
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Flyta (IRE)
    Rob Hornby·Mark Loughnane·beaten 1.75 lengths
    7/2·4.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Sofian (IRE)
    Ryan Kavanagh·Nikki Evans·beaten 0.1 lengths
    12/1·13.00
    SP
Race time
1m 39.40s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Distinct Spirit (GB))

Went straight to front early - pressed and lost command 2f out - fought back to regain command inside final furlong - held on for victory

Settled · 1pt level stake = 0.29 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Distinct Spirit

Distinct Spirit stands out on our figures in this small Class 5 field, a full 13 lb clear of Sofian in second. That kind of margin makes him a confident selection, and he heads our shortlist with a high degree of conviction. Sofian, Name The Day and Flyta all cluster together a few pounds apart and represent the chief dangers should the form not hold, but none get near his level. He is clearly the one to beat on merit.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Decalogue

William Carver · Jamie Osborne · 3yo

Top-rated of 4
score 52.7 · +3.3 clear of next best (49.4)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    83very strong
    Jamie Osborne: 4/12 winners last 14d (33%)
  • Freshness10% weight
    70strong
    4d since last run (quick turnaround)
  • Ratings50% weight
    48below average
    OR 72
  • Form20% weight
    26weak
    Last 6: 8-6-8-4
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Ffos Las 7½f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–2)
IV 0.91
Mid (3–4)
IV 1.08
High (5–5)
IV 1.03

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 56 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
11
6yo · G · b
5U33
7548.0
2/7F·1.29
SP
24
J: Rob Hornby · T: Mark Loughnane · draw 5
3yo · F · bt
24021
7049.4
7/2·4.50
SP
35
J: Ryan Kavanagh(3) · T: Nikki Evans · draw 3
4yo · G · b
81286
6138.1
12/1·13.00
SP
42
3yo · F · chtFT T
4910
7544.1
25/1·26.00
SP
J: William Carver · T: Jamie Osborne · draw 1
3yo · G · b
8684
7252.7

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 18:30 Ffos Las on 28 July 2026?

Distinct Spirit (GB) won the 18:30 Ffos Las at SP 1.29. Ridden by Ebrahim Nader. Trained by Daniel & Claire Kubler.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 18:30 Ffos Las?

No — the AI top pick (Decalogue) was a non-runner or unplaced.

What were the placings in the 18:30 Ffos Las?

Top finishers: 1. Distinct Spirit (GB) (1.29), 2. Flyta (IRE) (4.50), 3. Sofian (IRE) (13.00).

What was the winning time for the 18:30 Ffos Las?

The winning time was 1m 39.40s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org