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RacingAlpha

14:40 Redcar

Start Your Racing Tv Free Trial Apprentice Fillies' Novice Stakes (gbb Race)

7f · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 7 runners · £5,400 · Wednesday, 29 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 2nd
  1. 1st
    Areti (GB)
    Jack Callan·Oliver Cole
    5/6F·1.83
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Vanilla Skies (GB)AI top pick · 61.4
    Harry Burns·William Haggas·beaten 1.75 lengths
    100/30·4.33
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Royale Union (IRE)
    Jack Nicholls·K. R. Burke·beaten 2.25 lengths
    11/4·3.75
    SP
Race time
1m 25.11s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Areti (GB))

“Set the pace from the off - edged clear inside the final furlong - kept finding more to hold the finish”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.33 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Vanilla Skies

Harry Burns · William Haggas · 3yo

Top-rated of 7
score 61.4 · +13.7 clear of next best (47.7)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    18d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    85very strong
    Last 6: 1-2
  • Ratings50% weight
    51average
    OR 76 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Trainer20% weight
    45below average
    William Haggas: 6/34 winners last 14d (18%)
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Redcar 7f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)
IV 1.06
Mid (4–5)
IV 0.98
High (6–7)
IV 0.95

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 127 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
14
J: Jack Callan · T: Oliver Cole · draw 4
3yo · F · bt
25244
7647.7
5/6F·1.83
SP
22
J: Harry Burns · T: William Haggas · draw 5
3yo · F · bb
12
7661.4
100/30·4.33
SP
37
J: Jack Nicholls · T: K. R. Burke · draw 3
3yo · F · b
7
—28.0
11/4·3.75
SP
46
J: Jake Dickson · T: Tim Easterby · draw 7
3yo · F · gr
78
—12.8
150/1·151.00
SP
53
3yo · F · b
——15.0
14/1·15.00
SP
65
J: Alex Jary · T: Nigel Tinkler · draw 1
3yo · F · b
——19.5
80/1·81.00
SP
71
J: Rhys Elliott · T: David Thompson · draw 6
4yo · F · b
——25.0
250/1·251.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 14:40 Redcar on 29 July 2026?

Areti (GB) won the 14:40 Redcar at SP 1.83. Ridden by Jack Callan. Trained by Oliver Cole.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:40 Redcar?

No — the AI top pick (Vanilla Skies) finished 2.

What were the placings in the 14:40 Redcar?

Top finishers: 1. Areti (GB) (1.83), 2. Vanilla Skies (GB) (4.33), 3. Royale Union (IRE) (3.75).

What was the winning time for the 14:40 Redcar?

The winning time was 1m 25.11s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org