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RacingAlpha

16:20 Redcar

Happy Big Birthday Rachel Blizzard Apprentice Handicap Stakes

6f · Flat · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 9 runners · £3,140 · Wednesday, 29 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 3rd
  1. 1st
    Night Emperor (IRE)
    Warren Fentiman·Tina Jackson
    4/1J·5.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    South Shore Island (IRE)
    Molly Keegan-Price·Lizzie Quinlan·beaten 0.3 lengths
    11/1·12.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Stormy Pearl (GB)AI top pick · 44.5
    Rhys Elliott·David Thompson·beaten .75 lengths
    11/2·6.50
    SP
Race time
1m 11.15s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Night Emperor (IRE))

Held up in the pack early - improved into contention 2f out then hit the front inside final 110yds - kept finding more to the line

Settled · 1pt level stake = 5.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way44.5/100 rating
Stormy Pearl
9.80Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: South Shore Island

South Shore Island is our selection, level with Valsharah at the top of our ratings but preferred on a more progressive profile. Valsharah has been running well of late and remains the chief danger, with Stormy Pearl and Dolly's Delight both holding claims of their own on recent form. Confidence is low in this contest, but South Shore Island's overall picture edges it for us.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Stormy Pearl

Rhys Elliott · David Thompson · 6yo

Top-rated of 9
score 44.5 · +2.1 clear of next best (42.4)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    28d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Trainer20% weight
    50small sample (n=5)
    David Thompson: 1/5 winners last 14d (20%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Ratings50% weight
    35below average
    OR 53 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Form20% weight
    34weak
    Last 6: 2-5-4-3-0
MarketBest price 9.80 (Betfair Exchange) · 5th in the market of 9.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Redcar 6f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)
IV 1.02
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.98
High (7–9)
IV 0.99

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 125 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
13
J: Warren Fentiman · T: Tina Jackson · draw 8
4yo · G · gr
86445
4930.2
4/1J·5.00
SP
28
4yo · G · bp
57534
4732.4
11/1·12.00
SP
31
J: Rhys Elliott · T: David Thompson · draw 6
6yo · M · bp
25430
5344.5
11/2·6.50
SP
45
4yo · G · grtb
604422
4939.7
9/2·5.50
SP
54
J: Jack Nicholls · T: Paul Midgley · draw 2
6yo · M · b
87678
4932.1
4/1J·5.00
SP
62
J: Elle-May Croot · T: Ivan Furtado · draw 4
4yo · F · b
65685
5242.2
11/2·6.50
SP
76
7yo · G · chp
605433
4942.4
12/1·13.00
SP
89
J: Poppy Scott(5) · T: M Mullineaux · draw 5
7yo · G · b
60006
4525.1
125/1·126.00
SP
97
J: Amie Waugh · T: Gary Rutherford · draw 3
4yo · F · b
75048
4830.1
8/1·9.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:20 Redcar on 29 July 2026?

Night Emperor (IRE) won the 16:20 Redcar at SP 5.00. Ridden by Warren Fentiman. Trained by Tina Jackson.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:20 Redcar?

No — the AI top pick (Stormy Pearl) finished 3.

What were the placings in the 16:20 Redcar?

Top finishers: 1. Night Emperor (IRE) (5.00), 2. South Shore Island (IRE) (12.00), 3. Stormy Pearl (GB) (6.50).

What was the winning time for the 16:20 Redcar?

The winning time was 1m 11.15s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org