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16:10 Goodwood

Buccellati Handicap Stakes

5f · Flat · Class 3 · Good To Firm · 18 runners · £25,770 · Thursday, 30 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 9th
  1. 1st
    Naana's Shadow (IRE)
    Oisin Murphy·Katie Scott
    5/1J·6.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    U S S Charleston (GB)
    Connor Planas·Lemos De Souza·beaten 1.75 lengths
    50/1·51.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Miss Yechance (IRE)
    Sam James·K. R. Burke·beaten 0.3 lengths
    17/2·9.50
    SP
Race time
56.63s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Naana's Shadow (IRE))

Settled just off the pace in mid-group - moved strongly into contention over a furlong out - pushed along with plenty in hand - hit the front inside the final furlong - drove on comfortably to the line

AI top-rated Quantum Power (score 71.0) finished 9th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 18.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way61.6/100 rating
Miss Yechance
11.50Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Shes Got A Brother

Shes Got A Brother sits level on ratings with Manatee Mehmas at the head of this competitive 18-runner Class 3 sprint, and it is her progressive profile that tips the balance in her favour as the selection here. Manatee Mehmas represents the most obvious threat given that shared rating, while Schrodinger's Cat, just a pound behind, and Baker Blue further back cannot be dismissed on good ground over five furlongs at Goodwood. Confidence is modest in a wide-open field, but the upward curve of form gives Shes Got A Brother the edge. **Selection: Shes Got A Brother.**

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Quantum Power

David Egan · Tom Clover · 3yo

Top-rated of 18
score 71.0 · +9.4 clear of next best (61.6)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    26d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    84very strong
    Last 6: 7-3-4-1-1-1
  • Trainer20% weight
    78strong
    Tom Clover: 5/16 winners last 14d (31%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    57average
    OR 86
MarketBest price 30.00 (Betfair Exchange) · 12th in the market of 18.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Goodwood 5f

full course data →

Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.33).

Low (1–6)
IV 1.33
Mid (7–12)
IV 0.96
High (13–18)
IV 0.66

Today: Miss Yechance (draw 6) and Naana's Shadow (draw 2) get the bias; River Spey (draw 17) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 112 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
13
J: Oisin Murphy · T: Katie Scott · draw 2
3yo · F · gr
613119
9460.6
5/1J·6.00
SP
216
J: Connor Planas · T: Lemos De Souza · draw 7
3yo · C · b
391505
7751.6
50/1·51.00
SP
36
J: Sam James · T: K. R. Burke · draw 6
3yo · F · ch
15427
9061.6
17/2·9.50
SP
44
J: Daniel Tudhope · T: David O'Meara · draw 11
3yo · G · ch
1483
9354.2
14/1·15.00
SP
51
J: Oliver Stammers · T: Grant Tuer · draw 4
3yo · G · b
283126
9557.5
15/2·8.50
SP
62
J: Pat Dobbs · T: Dylan Cunha · draw 13
3yo · G · b
241002
9553.1
28/1·29.00
SP
79
J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Ed Walker · draw 17
3yo · G · br
31610
8660.8
22/1·23.00
SP
87
J: Jason Watson · T: Roger Teal · draw 9
3yo · G · b
14625
8748.5
6/1·7.00
SP
912
J: David Egan · T: Tom Clover · draw 10
3yo · G · bv
734111
8671.0
18/1·19.00
SP
1010
J: James Doyle · T: Andrew Balding · draw 1
3yo · G · b
18306
8650.5
5/1J·6.00
SP
1117
3yo · G · bt
013741
7147.2
14/1·15.00
SP
125
J: Marco Ghiani · T: Robert Cowell · draw 16
3yo · F · ch
15510
9147.5
33/1·34.00
SP
1311
J: Ryan Kavanagh(3) · T: Ian Williams · draw 12
3yo · G · b
334011
8656.6
28/1·29.00
SP
1418
J: Gina Mangan · T: Christopher Mason · draw 8
3yo · G · bpFT P
26411
7256.4
11/1·12.00
SP
1513
J: Pierre-Louis Jamin · T: Tom Dascombe · draw 18
3yo · G · brtFT T
12084
8344.6
66/1·67.00
SP
168
3yo · F · b
11435
8753.0
11/1·12.00
SP
1714
J: Joe Leavy · T: Richard Hannon · draw 15
3yo · G · b
53110
8257.7
25/1·26.00
SP
1815
J: Ashley Lewis(5) · T: Gemma Tutty · draw 3
3yo · F · g
521726
8048.7
12/1·13.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:10 Goodwood on 30 July 2026?

Naana's Shadow (IRE) won the 16:10 Goodwood at SP 6.00. Ridden by Oisin Murphy. Trained by Katie Scott.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:10 Goodwood?

No — the AI top pick (Quantum Power) finished 9.

What were the placings in the 16:10 Goodwood?

Top finishers: 1. Naana's Shadow (IRE) (6.00), 2. U S S Charleston (GB) (51.00), 3. Miss Yechance (IRE) (9.50).

What was the winning time for the 16:10 Goodwood?

The winning time was 56.63s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org