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Race & Rest - Wolverhampton Holiday Inn Handicap Stakes

1m4f · Flat · Class 5 · Standard · 7 runners · £3,978 · Friday, 31 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 1/4F·1.25
  1. 1st
    Roc De Fer (IRE)AI top pick · 57.5
    Luke Morris·Sir Mark Prescott Bt
    1/4F·1.25
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Much (GB)
    Daniel Muscutt·James Fanshawe·beaten 1.5 lengths
    9/2·5.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Fans Favourite (GB)
    Harry Davies·Hugo Palmer·beaten 5 lengths
    12/1·13.00
    SP
Race time
2m 42.81s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Roc De Fer (IRE))

“led throughout - nudged and drifted right 4f out - pulled away from rivals over 2f out - driven in the closing stages and kept on strongly to win with something in hand”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 0.25 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Roc De Fer

Roc De Fer heads this seven-runner Wolverhampton mile-and-a-half contest narrowly ahead of Dartmouth Jet on identical ratings, with the pair pulling clear of the remainder on form. The real edge here lies in consistency and class over this sort of trip, and Roc De Fer's profile suggests he is well-placed to confirm that superiority over the all-weather surface. Dartmouth Jet represents the most obvious threat on a matching figure, while Jodhpur Blue and Joseph are capable of making the frame if either of the principals underperforms. **Roc De Fer** to win.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Roc De Fer

Luke Morris · Sir Mark Prescott Bt · 3yo

Top-rated of 7
score 57.5 · +5.7 clear of next best (51.8)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    75strong
    Sir Mark Prescott Bt: 7/23 winners last 14d (30%)
  • Freshness10% weight
    70strong
    4d since last run (quick turnaround)
  • Form20% weight
    64average
    Last 6: 0-4-4-3-1
  • Ratings50% weight
    45below average
    OR 68
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Wolverhampton (AW) 1m4f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)
IV 0.96
Mid (4–5)
IV 1.12
High (6–7)
IV 0.94

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 771 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
13
3yo · G · b
04431
6857.5
1/4F·1.25
SP
26
J: Daniel Muscutt · T: James Fanshawe · draw 2
3yo · G · bt
874
6944.3
9/2·5.50
SP
37
J: Harry Davies · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 4
3yo · G · bp
73115
6950.1
12/1·13.00
SP
41
J: Jack Gilligan · T: John Butler · draw 5
4yo · G · chp
120104
6951.8
25/1·26.00
SP
52
J: Edward Greatrex · T: Ian Williams · draw 7
5yo · G · bt
232262
6948.0
28/1·29.00
SP
65
J: Silvestre De Sousa · T: John Mackie · draw 1
5yo · G · b
686
5929.5
33/1·34.00
SP
74
4yo · F · ch
52548
6040.8
125/1·126.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:20 Wolverhampton (AW) on 31 July 2026?

Roc De Fer (IRE) won the 16:20 Wolverhampton (AW) at SP 1.25. Ridden by Luke Morris. Trained by Sir Mark Prescott Bt.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:20 Wolverhampton (AW)?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Roc De Fer, won the race (AI score 57.5).

What were the placings in the 16:20 Wolverhampton (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Roc De Fer (IRE) (1.25), 2. Much (GB) (5.50), 3. Fans Favourite (GB) (13.00).

What was the winning time for the 16:20 Wolverhampton (AW)?

The winning time was 2m 42.81s.

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