Who won the 17:45 Musselburgh on 31 July 2026?
Sophiesticate (IRE) won the 17:45 Musselburgh at SP 3.75. Ridden by Shay Farmer. Trained by R Mike Smith.
17:45 Musselburgh
Edinburgh Childrens Hospital Charity Handicap Stakes
1m5f · Flat · Class 6 · Good · 9 runners · £3,664 · Friday, 31 July 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 7thRace report
- 1stSophiesticate (IRE)Shay Farmer·R Mike Smith11/4·3.75SP
- 2ndGemini Man (IRE)Kevin Stott·Iain Jardine·beaten 3 lengths2/1F·3.00SP
- 3rdJedhi Knight (GB)David Nolan·Paul Midgley·beaten 4.5 lengths100/30·4.33SP
Race time
2m 49.35s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Sophiesticate (IRE))
“Held a handy position early - eased forward without fuss to hit the front 3f out - given a squeeze 2f out - pushed along a furlong out - kicked away inside the final furlong - won with something in hand”
AI top-rated Falaise Blanc (score 50.8) finished 7th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 7.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Mr Withington
Mr Withington heads this nine-runner Musselburgh Class 6 contest over thirteen furlongs on good ground, sitting narrowly ahead of Gemini Man and Jedhi Knight, who are both rated a couple of pounds behind him. Ivynator also warrants respect as a live each-way threat, and with three rivals capable of running him close, this is no gimme. That said, Mr Withington's rating advantage, modest as it is, gives him the edge on form figures, and he is taken to hold on. **Selection: Mr Withington.**
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Falaise Blanc
Greg Fairley · Katie Scott · 4yo
Top-rated of 9
score 50.8 · +2.8 clear of next best (48.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight85very strong31d since last run (fresh)
- Trainer20% weight73small sample (n=7)Katie Scott: 2/7 winners last 14d (29%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Form20% weight62averageLast 6: 6-8-2-4-2-2
- Ratings50% weight31weakOR 46
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Musselburgh 1m5f
full course data →Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.17).
Low (1–4)
IV 1.17
Mid (5–7)
IV 0.64
High (8–10)
IV 1.13
Today: Jedhi Knight (draw 3) and Gemini Man (draw 2) get the bias; Mr Withington (draw 6) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 54 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | J: Shay Farmer(5) · T: R Mike Smith · draw 1 7yo · M · b | 76333 | 51 | 34.3 | 11/4·3.75 SP |
| 2 | 2 | J: Kevin Stott · T: Iain Jardine · draw 2 8yo · G · b | 1211P9 | 53 | 36.6 | 2/1F·3.00 SP |
| 3 | 3 | J: David Nolan · T: Paul Midgley · draw 3 4yo · G · bb | 42352 | 52 | 41.7 | 100/30·4.33 SP |
| 4 | 1 | J: Connor Beasley · T: Ewan Whillans · draw 6 5yo · G · btpFT TP | 36876 | 53 | 48.0 | 13/2·7.50 SP |
| 5 | 10 | J: Oisin McSweeney · T: Gary Rutherford · draw 8 10yo · M · b | 70444 | 45 | 30.9 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
| 6 | 9 | J: Ben Robinson · T: Adam Nicol · draw 7 5yo · G · cht | 4040 | 45 | 25.1 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 7 | 8 | J: Greg Fairley · T: Katie Scott · draw 10 4yo · G · bv | 682422 | 46 | 50.8 | 15/2·8.50 SP |
| 8 | 7 | J: Billy Garritty · T: Liam Bailey · draw 9 7yo · G · bb | 430493 | 46 | 32.3 | 28/1·29.00 SP |
| 9 | 6 | J: James Sullivan · T: Jean McGregor · draw 5 8yo · G · bp | P500 | 48 | 35.7 | 200/1·201.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Lauren Young(5) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 4 4yo · F · b | 09648 | 48 | 32.5 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:45 Musselburgh?
No — the AI top pick (Falaise Blanc) finished 7.
What were the placings in the 17:45 Musselburgh?
Top finishers: 1. Sophiesticate (IRE) (3.75), 2. Gemini Man (IRE) (3.00), 3. Jedhi Knight (GB) (4.33).
What was the winning time for the 17:45 Musselburgh?
The winning time was 2m 49.35s.
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