18:15 Musselburgh

EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Band D) (EBF Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race)

7f · Flat · Class 4 · Good · 5 runners · £5,940 · Friday, 31 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 11/8F·2.38

1st
Gerry's Darling (GB)AI top pick · 43.8
Kevin Stott·Roger Fell
11/8F·2.38
SP
2nd
Hey Up Ronnie (GB)
Harry Russell·Ollie Pears·beaten 6.5 lengths
6/4·2.50
SP
3rd
Nosey Book (GB)
Oisin McSweeney·Tim Easterby·beaten 0.3 lengths
17/2·9.50
SP

Race time

1m 29.31s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Gerry's Darling (GB))

“Set the pace from the off - clear in front throughout - saw off rivals with ease”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.38 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Gerry's Darling

Kevin Stott · Roger Fell · 2yo

Top-rated of 5

score 43.8 · +16.8 clear of next best (27.0)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
70strong
12d since last run (quick turnaround)
Form20% weight
46below average
Last 6: 8-7-2
Ratings50% weight
43below average
OR 65 — highest combined rating in the field
Trainer20% weight
30weak
Roger Fell: 2/17 winners last 14d (12%)

MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Musselburgh 7f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.20).

Low (1–2)

IV 0.85

Mid (3–4)

IV 0.97

High (5–5)

IV 1.20

Today: Thai Paddy (draw 5) gets the bias; Coul Blue (draw 1) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 126 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	5	Gerry's Darling J: Kevin Stott · T: Roger Fell · draw 4 2yo · F · b	872	9-02	65	—	—	43.8	11/8F·2.38 SP
2	2	Hey Up Ronnie J: Harry Russell · T: Ollie Pears · draw 2 2yo · G · b	53	9-07	—	—	—	26.0	6/4·2.50 SP
3	3	Nosey Book J: Oisin McSweeney · T: Tim Easterby · draw 3 2yo · G · bpFT P	6	9-07	—	—	—	14.5	17/2·9.50 SP
4	1	Coul Blue J: Connor Beasley · T: Michael Dods · draw 1 2yo · G · gr	—	9-07	—	—	—	27.0	13/2·7.50 SP
5	4	Thai Paddy J: Duran Fentiman · T: Tim Easterby · draw 5 2yo · C · ch	08	9-07	—	—	—	11.8	40/1·41.00 SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 18:15 Musselburgh on 31 July 2026?

Gerry's Darling (GB) won the 18:15 Musselburgh at SP 2.38. Ridden by Kevin Stott. Trained by Roger Fell.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 18:15 Musselburgh?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Gerry's Darling, won the race (AI score 43.8).

What were the placings in the 18:15 Musselburgh?

Top finishers: 1. Gerry's Darling (GB) (2.38), 2. Hey Up Ronnie (GB) (2.50), 3. Nosey Book (GB) (9.50).

What was the winning time for the 18:15 Musselburgh?

The winning time was 1m 29.31s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org