19:18 Bath

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5½f · Flat · Class 5 · Firm · 6 runners · £4,320 · Friday, 31 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 5th

1st
Honky Tonk Girl (GB)
Mason Paetel·Oliver Cole
5/6F·1.83
SP
2nd
Kodicall (IRE)
Taylor Fisher·J S Moore·beaten 2.25 lengths
3/1·4.00
SP
3rd
Elmfield (IRE)
Darragh Keenan·George Scott·beaten .75 lengths
11/2·6.50
SP

Race time

1m 11.20s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Honky Tonk Girl (GB))

“Settled towards the back - nudged when the pace told over 3f out - pushed into contention from 1f out - surged to the front and drew away inside the final furlong to win with authority”

AI top-rated Nzuri (score 48.4) finished 5th.

Settled · 1pt level stake = 7.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Racing Alpha pick

Nzuri

Gina Mangan · F Brennan · 3yo

48.4/100

+5.5 vs next best (42.8)

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
17d since last run (race-fit window)
Trainer20% weight
63average
F Brennan: 1/4 winners last 14d (25%)
Ratings50% weight
38below average
OR 57 — highest combined rating in the field
Form20% weight
34weak
Last 6: 8-2-0-7-4-4

MarketBest price 7.80 (Betfair Exchange) — 3rd pick of 6 in market. AI is contrarian here.

v1.3 rating · weights and method explained on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Bath 5½f

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.12).

Low (1–2)

IV 1.12

Mid (3–4)

IV 1.06

High (5–6)

IV 0.81

Today: Elmfield (draw 2) and Kodicall (draw 1) get the bias; Honky Tonk Girl (draw 6) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 187 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	4	Honky Tonk Girl J: Mason Paetel(5) · T: Oliver Cole · draw 6 3yo · F · ch	5943	9-04	57	—	—	42.8	5/6F·1.83 SP
2	2	Kodicall J: Taylor Fisher · T: J S Moore · draw 1 3yo · G · b	5	9-07	—	—	—	24.5	3/1·4.00 SP
3	3	Elmfield J: Darragh Keenan · T: George Scott · draw 2 3yo · F · b	57	9-06	—	—	—	29.0	11/2·6.50 SP
4	1	It's A Mugs Game J: Callum Hutchinson · T: Joe Tickle · draw 5 3yo · G · b	0	9-07	—	—	—	4.5	18/1·19.00 SP
5	5	Nzuri J: Gina Mangan · T: F Brennan · draw 4 3yo · F · bpFT P	820744	9-04	57	—	—	48.4	15/2·8.50 SP
6	6	Kaiko J: Finley Marsh · T: Adrian Wintle · draw 3 3yo · F · b	59	9-02	—	—	—	19.8	100/1·101.00 SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 19:18 Bath on 31 July 2026?

Honky Tonk Girl (GB) won the 19:18 Bath at SP 1.83. Ridden by Mason Paetel. Trained by Oliver Cole.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 19:18 Bath?

No — the AI top pick (Nzuri) finished 5.

What were the placings in the 19:18 Bath?

Top finishers: 1. Honky Tonk Girl (GB) (1.83), 2. Kodicall (IRE) (4.00), 3. Elmfield (IRE) (6.50).

What was the winning time for the 19:18 Bath?

The winning time was 1m 11.20s.

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