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19:48 Bath

Thank You To Great Western Air Ambulance Handicap Stakes

5½f · Flat · Class 6 · Firm · 5 runners · £3,454 · Friday, 31 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 4th
  1. 1st
    Nordic Glory (IRE)
    Owen Lewis·Michael Attwater
    9/2·5.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Beerwah (IRE)
    Warren Fentiman·John & Sean Quinn·beaten .5 lengths
    100/30·4.33
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Candy Warhol (USA)
    Mikkel Mortensen·Scott Dixon·beaten 1.5 lengths
    15/8F·2.88
    SP
Race time
1m 10.48s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Nordic Glory (IRE))

Settled with eagerness close to the pace - pushed along with two furlongs left - moved through to hit the front a furlong out - stayed on strongly to win

AI top-rated Connie's Rose (score 44.8) finished 4th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Connie's Rose

Connie's Rose holds a clear edge in this Class 6 sprint at Bath, rated ten pounds clear of the nearest rivals Candy Warhol and Beerwah, and the firm six furlongs should suit. Candy Warhol and Beerwah represent the chief dangers given they share the same rating and could fill the minor placings, while Nordic Glory, a further two pounds back, is unlikely to trouble the principals. **Connie's Rose** is the selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Connie's Rose

William Carson · Grace Harris · 7yo

Top-rated of 5
score 44.8 · +1.0 clear of next best (43.8)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    15d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    51average
    Last 6: 3-2-7-2-4-4
  • Ratings50% weight
    43below average
    OR 65 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Trainer20% weight
    15weak
    Grace Harris: 1/17 winners last 14d (6%)
MarketBest price 3.55 (Betfair Exchange) · 2nd in the market of 5.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Bath 5½f

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.12).

Low (1–2)
IV 1.12
Mid (3–4)
IV 1.06
High (5–5)
IV 0.81

Today: Candy Warhol (draw 2) and Nordic Glory (draw 1) get the bias; Beerwah (draw 5) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 187 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
13
J: Owen Lewis(5) · T: Michael Attwater · draw 1
7yo · G · ch
245180
5533.6
9/2·5.50
SP
22
4yo · G · bb
217618
6243.8
100/30·4.33
SP
34
J: Mikkel Mortensen(5) · T: Scott Dixon · draw 2
7yo · G · btp
247442
5439.3
15/8F·2.88
SP
41
J: William Carson · T: Grace Harris · draw 3
7yo · M · btp
327244
6544.8
5/2·3.50
SP
55
J: Gina Mangan · T: Simon Hodgson · draw 4
6yo · G · bp
36057
4527.4
14/1·15.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 19:48 Bath on 31 July 2026?

Nordic Glory (IRE) won the 19:48 Bath at SP 5.50. Ridden by Owen Lewis. Trained by Michael Attwater.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 19:48 Bath?

No — the AI top pick (Connie's Rose) finished 4.

What were the placings in the 19:48 Bath?

Top finishers: 1. Nordic Glory (IRE) (5.50), 2. Beerwah (IRE) (4.33), 3. Candy Warhol (USA) (2.88).

What was the winning time for the 19:48 Bath?

The winning time was 1m 10.48s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org