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RacingAlpha

Racing TV Handicap Stakes

7f · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 6 runners · £6,442 · Saturday, 1 August 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 4th
  1. 1st
    Tryst (IRE)
    Billy Loughnane·George Boughey
    5/1·6.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Lion of Mali (GB)
    Jack Mitchell·James Fanshawe·beaten 1.75 lengths
    5/2F·3.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Spirit Of Saxony (IRE)
    Charles Bishop·Eve Johnson Houghton·beaten .5 lengths
    100/30·4.33
    SP
Race time
1m 24.81s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Tryst (IRE))

“Went straight to front and dictated modest gallop - moved clear approaching final furlong - driven inside last 110 yards - kept finding more to score comfortably”

AI top-rated Sierra Sands (score 60.5) finished 4th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 5.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Sierra Sands

Sierra Sands arrives here on a progressive profile that makes the narrow rating gap to Spirit Of Saxony and Tryst less daunting than it appears on paper, and a return to seven furlongs on good-to-firm ground at Newmarket, conditions already proven, should suit a horse still finding improvement. Spirit Of Saxony heads the field on ratings and must be respected, while Tryst and Hardy's Hero both sit close enough to make this competitive. With confidence modest, **Sierra Sands** is taken to edge it on the strength of that upward trajectory.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Sierra Sands

Robert Havlin · Ed Dunlop · 3yo

Top-rated of 6
score 60.5 · +3.3 clear of next best (57.2)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    22d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    75strong
    Last 6: 4-0-3-1-1
  • Ratings50% weight
    56average
    OR 84
  • Trainer20% weight
    38below average
    Ed Dunlop: 2/13 winners last 14d (15%)
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Newmarket (July) 7f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–2)
IV 0.91
Mid (3–4)
IV 1.06
High (5–6)
IV 1.05

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 167 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
11
J: Billy Loughnane · T: George Boughey · draw 1
3yo · F · bp
42761
8756.0
5/1·6.00
SP
25
J: Jack Mitchell · T: James Fanshawe · draw 4
3yo · G · b
121512
7355.5
5/2F·3.50
SP
33
3yo · G · b
255124
8454.8
100/30·4.33
SP
42
J: Robert Havlin · T: Ed Dunlop · draw 3
3yo · C · ch
40311
8460.5
5/1·6.00
SP
56
J: Joe Leavy · T: Brian Toomey · draw 2
3yo · G · ch
84767
7236.5
40/1·41.00
SP
64
J: Cieren Fallon · T: William Haggas · draw 6
3yo · G · bpFT P
52322
8157.2
100/30·4.33
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 15:23 Newmarket (July) on 1 August 2026?

Tryst (IRE) won the 15:23 Newmarket (July) at SP 6.00. Ridden by Billy Loughnane. Trained by George Boughey.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:23 Newmarket (July)?

No — the AI top pick (Sierra Sands) finished 4.

What were the placings in the 15:23 Newmarket (July)?

Top finishers: 1. Tryst (IRE) (6.00), 2. Lion of Mali (GB) (3.50), 3. Spirit Of Saxony (IRE) (4.33).

What was the winning time for the 15:23 Newmarket (July)?

The winning time was 1m 24.81s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org