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RacingAlpha

16:55 Thirsk

John Joseph Robson Memorial Handicap Stakes

6f · Flat · Class 6 · Good · 9 runners · £3,140 · Saturday, 1 August 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 9th
  1. 1st
    Maldevious (IRE)
    Ben Robinson·Brian Ellison
    15/2·8.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Northcliff (IRE)
    Silvestre De Sousa·Ross Burdon·beaten 1.25 lengths
    6/4F·2.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Great (GB)
    Jonathan England·Sam England·beaten 2.75 lengths
    7/2·4.50
    SP
Race time
1m 10.18s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Maldevious (IRE))

“Sat close to front early - nudged into command 2f out - asked for effort and stormed clear 1f out - drifted left inside final furlong - won easily”

AI top-rated Khabib (score 52.8) finished 9th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 33.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Great

Kings Merchant holds a narrow edge over Great on our ratings, though it is the progressive profile that tips the balance in favour of our selection ahead of the top-rated pair Northcliff and Khabib, both of whom post competitive figures across this six-furlong trip at Thirsk. Kings Merchant, a pound ahead of Great, cannot be dismissed, and Northcliff and Khabib — rated just a couple of pounds clear of the selection — represent the chief dangers if showing their best form on this good ground. Confidence is modest, but the upside profile makes Great the call. **Selection: Great**

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Khabib

Cian Horgan(5) · Ray Craggs · 8yo

Top-rated of 9
score 52.8 · +2.9 clear of next best (49.9)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    100small sample (n=1)
    Ray Craggs: 1/1 winners last 14d (100%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    46d since last run (fresh)
  • Ratings50% weight
    41below average
    OR 62
  • Form20% weight
    18weak
    Last 6: 4-2-0-9-8
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Thirsk 6f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.22).

Low (1–3)
IV 0.73
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.08
High (7–9)
IV 1.22

Today: Khabib (draw 7) and Bay Breeze (draw 8) get the bias; Northcliff (draw 2) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 163 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
14
J: Ben Robinson · T: Brian Ellison · draw 9
4yo · F · btp
494439
6336.2
15/2·8.50
SP
21
J: Silvestre De Sousa · T: Ross Burdon · draw 2
6yo · G · chv
081460
6549.9
6/4F·2.50
SP
32
J: Jonathan England · T: Sam England · draw 3
4yo · G · b
378715
6542.9
7/2·4.50
SP
49
J: Billy Garritty · T: Michael Dods · draw 4
7yo · G · chb
59778
5640.8
9/1·10.00
SP
53
J: Cam Hardie · T: Philip Kirby · draw 5
5yo · G · bp
478214
6439.6
9/2·5.50
SP
67
J: Duran Fentiman · T: Tim Easterby · draw 8
7yo · G · bp
67344
6041.5
14/1·15.00
SP
78
J: Jack Callan(3) · T: Ed Dunlop · draw 1
3yo · G · bpFT P
24696
6442.0
33/1·34.00
SP
86
J: Connor Beasley · T: Michael Dods · draw 6
4yo · F · bt
37020
6044.9
20/1·21.00
SP
95
J: Cian Horgan(5) · T: Ray Craggs · draw 7
8yo · G · bp
42098
6252.8
33/1·34.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:55 Thirsk on 1 August 2026?

Maldevious (IRE) won the 16:55 Thirsk at SP 8.50. Ridden by Ben Robinson. Trained by Brian Ellison.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:55 Thirsk?

No — the AI top pick (Khabib) finished 9.

What were the placings in the 16:55 Thirsk?

Top finishers: 1. Maldevious (IRE) (8.50), 2. Northcliff (IRE) (2.50), 3. Great (GB) (4.50).

What was the winning time for the 16:55 Thirsk?

The winning time was 1m 10.18s.

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