Who won the 16:52 Chester on 2 August 2026?
Tiger (FR) won the 16:52 Chester at SP 3.00. Ridden by Edward Greatrex. Trained by Ian Williams.
16:52 Chester
Tom Jones Live At Chester Racecourse Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)
1m2½f · Flat · Class 4 · Good · 9 runners · £7,731 · Sunday, 2 August 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 2ndRace report
- 1stTiger (FR)Edward Greatrex·Ian Williams2/1F·3.00SP
- 2ndCape Fear (GB)AI top pick · 58.4Oisin Murphy·Andrew Balding·beaten 5.5 lengths9/4·3.25SP
- 3rdFarasi Lane (IRE)Aiden Brookes·Micky Hammond·beaten 0.3 lengths28/1·29.00SP
Race time
2m 10.12s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Tiger (FR))
“Settled in midfield early - made progress into contention 3f out - hit front with a furlong left after a nudge along - powered away to score”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.25 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Tiger
Tiger sits 2 lb behind the joint top-rated Naples and Farasi Lane, but the clock has consistently backed up what the eye sees in his performances, and his progressive profile suggests that gap is narrowing with each run. Naples and Farasi Lane are the obvious dangers at the head of affairs, with Secret Beach also worth monitoring over this ten-furlong trip at Chester. On balance, the upward trajectory makes Tiger the one to side with. **TIGER**
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Cape Fear
Oisin Murphy · Andrew Balding · 3yo
Top-rated of 9
score 58.4 · +3.2 clear of next best (55.2)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong22d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight75strongLast 6: 3-2-3-2-1-3
- Ratings50% weight52averageOR 78
- Trainer20% weight38below averageAndrew Balding: 7/48 winners last 14d (15%)
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Chester 1m2½f
full course data →Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.23).
Low (1–4)
IV 1.23
Mid (5–7)
IV 0.97
High (8–10)
IV 0.76
Today: Cape Fear (draw 4) and Saligo Bay (draw 1) get the bias; Farasi Lane (draw 9) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 48 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | J: Edward Greatrex · T: Ian Williams · draw 5 4yo · G · b | 34642 | 75 | 47.9 | 2/1F·3.00 SP |
| 2 | 9 | J: Oisin Murphy · T: Andrew Balding · draw 4 3yo · C · chpFT P | 323213 | 78 | 58.4 | 9/4·3.25 SP |
| 3 | 1 | J: Aiden Brookes · T: Micky Hammond · draw 9 8yo · G · bp | 655515 | 79 | 49.1 | 28/1·29.00 SP |
| 4 | 2 | J: Toby Moore(7) · T: Donald McCain · draw 6 5yo · G · bt | 95742 | 79 | 51.4 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 5 | 10 | J: J F Egan · T: David Evans · draw 7 6yo · G · b | 180494 | 62 | 39.4 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| 6 | 7 | J: Zak Wheatley · T: Tony Carroll · draw 2 8yo · G · ch | 841479 | 71 | 43.3 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 7 | 6 | J: David Probert · T: Ian Williams · draw 8 4yo · G · bh | 667034 | 74 | 45.1 | 28/1·29.00 SP |
| 8 | 3 | J: Tom Eaves · T: Sam England · draw 1 8yo · G · b | 13421 | 77 | 55.2 | 7/1·8.00 SP |
| 9 | 8 | J: Laura Pearson · T: David Loughnane · draw 10 4yo · G · ch/es | 880548 | 71 | 37.8 | 28/1·29.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Dougie Costello · T: Steph Hollinshead · draw 3 4yo · G · g | 10530 | 76 | 39.6 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:52 Chester?
No — the AI top pick (Cape Fear) finished 2.
What were the placings in the 16:52 Chester?
Top finishers: 1. Tiger (FR) (3.00), 2. Cape Fear (GB) (3.25), 3. Farasi Lane (IRE) (29.00).
What was the winning time for the 16:52 Chester?
The winning time was 2m 10.12s.
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