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15:54

Ripon

Great Britain

Wilmot-smith Memorial Handicap Stakes

Monday, 3 August 2026

6f·Flat·Class 3·Good·7 runners·£9,277
Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 11/4·3.75
  1. 1st
    Lord Roxby (IRE)AI top pick · 54.4
    Alex Jary·Nigel Tinkler
    11/4·3.75
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Dark Cloud Rising (GB)
    Daniel Tudhope·David O'Meara·beaten 1.75 lengths
    15/8F·2.88
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Commanche Falls (GB)
    Connor Beasley·Michael Dods·beaten 0.05 lengths
    5/1·6.00
    SP
Race time
1m 9.68s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Lord Roxby (IRE))

Set the pace from the start - given a shake up 2f out under company pressure - driven approaching the final furlong - kept finding late to forge clear close home

Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.75 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Selections by model

Head-to-head dashboard →
v1.054.4/100 rating
Lord Roxby
4.33William Hill· informational only

Top-rated, but filter rejects this race

v1.1
No pick

Race outside the segment-edge filter

Each-way49.8/100 rating
Commanche Falls
9.40Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Racing Alpha pick

Lord Roxby

Alex Jary(3) · Nigel Tinkler · 4yo

54.4/100
+1.7 vs next best (52.6)

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    14d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Ratings50% weight
    57average
    OR 85
  • Form20% weight
    53average
    Last 6: 9-0-1-4-5-2
  • Trainer20% weight
    28weak
    Nigel Tinkler: 3/28 winners last 14d (11%)
MarketBest price 4.33 (William Hill) — 2nd favourite. AI sees slight value vs consensus.

v1.3 rating · weights and method explained on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Runners

Pos#DrHorseJockey / TrainerFormWtORRPRTSAISP
216
4yo · G · bv
090U13
10-009452.6
15/8F·2.88
SP
321
9yo · G · brp
22070
9-119149.8
5/1·6.00
SP
132
4yo · G · b
901452
9-058554.4
11/4·3.75
SP
644
8yo · G · bb
09205
9-038346.5
11/1·12.00
SP
553
6yo · G · b
504030
9-038347.6
17/2·9.50
SP
767
3yo · C · b
90004
9-008439.6
12/1·13.00
SP
475
7yo · G · g
483000
8-117735.0
8/1·9.00
SP

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 15:54 Ripon on 3 August 2026?

Lord Roxby (IRE) won the 15:54 Ripon at SP 3.75. Ridden by Alex Jary. Trained by Nigel Tinkler.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:54 Ripon?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Lord Roxby, won the race (AI score 54.4).

What were the placings in the 15:54 Ripon?

Top finishers: 1. Lord Roxby (IRE) (3.75), 2. Dark Cloud Rising (GB) (2.88), 3. Commanche Falls (GB) (6.00).

What was the winning time for the 15:54 Ripon?

The winning time was 1m 9.68s.

Racing Post verdict

Third-party

Commanche Falls holds a clear advantage at the head of the ratings here, sitting 13 lb clear of the next-rated pair, and over six furlongs at Ripon that level of superiority gives him a sound platform to dictate terms. Dark Cloud Rising and Saint Lawrence both rate as the chief dangers on identical figures, while Rousing Encore cannot be entirely dismissed if the selection fails to fire. Provided Commanche Falls reproduces his best, the class edge should just about tell. **Selection: Commanche Falls**

Racing Post pick: Commanche Falls

Editorial verdict from Racing Post via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org