Who won the 17:20 Kempton (AW) on 5 August 2026?
Invincible Isaac (GB) won the 17:20 Kempton (AW) at SP 10.00. Ridden by Rossa Ryan. Trained by Lemos De Souza.
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6f · Flat · Class 6 · Standard / Slow · 10 runners · £3,140 · Wednesday, 5 August 2026
Race time recorded.
“Tracked front group early - moved left and pushed along 2f out then surged clear approaching final furlong - stayed on strongly to the line”
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Nascent Star is preferred over the top-rated Tallahassee Lassie on the strength of a progressive profile that the clock has consistently backed up, suggesting there is more to come from this runner at a track and trip that suits. Tallahassee Lassie holds a narrow ratings edge and cannot be dismissed, while Najmet Minzaal and Kochella are capable of making life difficult if either finds their best form on the night. The selection's upward trajectory gives reasonable confidence that the bare figures do not yet tell the full story. **Nascent Star** is the pick.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Callum Rodriguez · Jack Channon · 2yo
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.33).
Today: Najmet Minzaal (draw 3) and Nascent Star (draw 4) get the bias; Pageant Girl (draw 9) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 251 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | J: Rossa Ryan · T: Lemos De Souza · draw 6 2yo · G · bv | 04956 | 62 | 33.5 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 2 | 5 | J: Robert Havlin · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 4 2yo · C · b | 440 | 65 | 41.7 | 7/2·4.50 SP |
| 3 | 2 | J: David Egan · T: Henry Dwyer · draw 1 2yo · F · b | 306 | 65 | 35.7 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 4 | 6 | J: Callum Rodriguez · T: Jack Channon · draw 3 2yo · F · b | 445 | 64 | 48.8 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 5 | 7 | J: Colin Keane · T: Michael Keady · draw 8 2yo · C · b | 34 | 63 | 39.5 | 2/1F·3.00 SP |
| 6 | 3 | J: Toby Moore(7) · T: Gary & Josh Moore · draw 5 2yo · C · bt | 44 | 65 | 42.2 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| 7 | 8 | J: Finley Marsh · T: Richard Hughes · draw 2 2yo · C · ch | 805 | 63 | 37.3 | 5/1·6.00 SP |
| 8 | 11 | J: Silvestre De Sousa · T: Ivan Furtado · draw 10 2yo · F · b | 402 | 61 | 39.1 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 9 | 4 | J: Oisin Murphy · T: James Fanshawe · draw 7 2yo · F · br | 6531 | 65 | 47.9 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
| 10 | 1 | J: Luke Morris · T: James Owen · draw 9 2yo · F · bbFT B | 71875 | 65 | 48.2 | 150/1·151.00 SP |
| — | — | J: James Doyle · T: James Tate · draw 12 2yo · C · b | 006 | 61 | 39.3 | — |
| — | — | J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Ed Walker · draw 11 2yo · F · b | 867 | 62 | 47.8 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Invincible Isaac (GB) won the 17:20 Kempton (AW) at SP 10.00. Ridden by Rossa Ryan. Trained by Lemos De Souza.
No — the AI top pick (Najmet Minzaal) finished 4.
Top finishers: 1. Invincible Isaac (GB) (10.00), 2. Nascent Star (GB) (4.50), 3. Kochella (IRE) (15.00).
The winning time was 1m 14.57s.
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