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6f · Flat · Class 6 · Standard / Slow · 10 runners · £3,140 · Wednesday, 5 August 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 4th
  1. 1st
    Invincible Isaac (GB)
    Rossa Ryan·Lemos De Souza
    9/1·10.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Nascent Star (GB)
    Robert Havlin·Hugo Palmer·beaten .75 lengths
    7/2·4.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Kochella (IRE)
    David Egan·Henry Dwyer·beaten 1 length
    14/1·15.00
    SP
Race time
1m 14.57s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Invincible Isaac (GB))

“Tracked front group early - moved left and pushed along 2f out then surged clear approaching final furlong - stayed on strongly to the line”

AI top-rated Najmet Minzaal (score 48.8) finished 4th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 14.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Nascent Star

Nascent Star is preferred over the top-rated Tallahassee Lassie on the strength of a progressive profile that the clock has consistently backed up, suggesting there is more to come from this runner at a track and trip that suits. Tallahassee Lassie holds a narrow ratings edge and cannot be dismissed, while Najmet Minzaal and Kochella are capable of making life difficult if either finds their best form on the night. The selection's upward trajectory gives reasonable confidence that the bare figures do not yet tell the full story. **Nascent Star** is the pick.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Najmet Minzaal

Callum Rodriguez · Jack Channon · 2yo

Top-rated of 10
score 48.8 · +0.6 clear of next best (48.2)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    28d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Trainer20% weight
    50average
    Jack Channon: 4/20 winners last 14d (20%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    43below average
    OR 64
  • Form20% weight
    38below average
    Last 6: 4-4-5
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Kempton (AW) 6f

full course data →

Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.33).

Low (1–4)
IV 1.33
Mid (5–8)
IV 0.89
High (9–12)
IV 0.74

Today: Najmet Minzaal (draw 3) and Nascent Star (draw 4) get the bias; Pageant Girl (draw 9) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 251 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
19
J: Rossa Ryan · T: Lemos De Souza · draw 6
2yo · G · bv
04956
6233.5
9/1·10.00
SP
25
J: Robert Havlin · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 4
2yo · C · b
440
6541.7
7/2·4.50
SP
32
J: David Egan · T: Henry Dwyer · draw 1
2yo · F · b
306
6535.7
14/1·15.00
SP
46
J: Callum Rodriguez · T: Jack Channon · draw 3
2yo · F · b
445
6448.8
14/1·15.00
SP
57
J: Colin Keane · T: Michael Keady · draw 8
2yo · C · b
34
6339.5
2/1F·3.00
SP
63
J: Toby Moore(7) · T: Gary & Josh Moore · draw 5
2yo · C · bt
44
6542.2
40/1·41.00
SP
78
J: Finley Marsh · T: Richard Hughes · draw 2
2yo · C · ch
805
6337.3
5/1·6.00
SP
811
J: Silvestre De Sousa · T: Ivan Furtado · draw 10
2yo · F · b
402
6139.1
33/1·34.00
SP
94
J: Oisin Murphy · T: James Fanshawe · draw 7
2yo · F · br
6531
6547.9
11/2·6.50
SP
101
J: Luke Morris · T: James Owen · draw 9
2yo · F · bbFT B
71875
6548.2
150/1·151.00
SP
——
J: James Doyle · T: James Tate · draw 12
2yo · C · b
006
6139.3—
——
J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Ed Walker · draw 11
2yo · F · b
867
6247.8—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 17:20 Kempton (AW) on 5 August 2026?

Invincible Isaac (GB) won the 17:20 Kempton (AW) at SP 10.00. Ridden by Rossa Ryan. Trained by Lemos De Souza.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:20 Kempton (AW)?

No — the AI top pick (Najmet Minzaal) finished 4.

What were the placings in the 17:20 Kempton (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Invincible Isaac (GB) (10.00), 2. Nascent Star (GB) (4.50), 3. Kochella (IRE) (15.00).

What was the winning time for the 17:20 Kempton (AW)?

The winning time was 1m 14.57s.

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