19:20 Kempton (AW)

Becky Burke Memorial Novice Stakes (Div I) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)

1m3f · Flat · Class 3 · Standard / Slow · 12 runners · £6,480 · Wednesday, 5 August 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 3rd

1st
Fortitudine (IRE)
James Doyle·Charlie Appleby
7/2·4.50
SP
2nd
Dialstone (GB)
Rossa Ryan·Ralph Beckett·beaten 21 lengths
5/6F·1.83
SP
3rd
Treble Bass (GB)AI top pick · 34.0
Ray Dawson·Roger Varian·beaten 1.5 lengths
6/1·7.00
SP

Race time

2m 19.89s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Fortitudine (IRE))

“Made the running at a steady tempo - pressed into action 2f out - forged decisively ahead from just outside the final furlong - won with plenty in hand”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 6.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Treble Bass

Ray Dawson · Roger Varian · 3yo

Top-rated of 12

score 34.0 · +1.5 clear of next best (32.5)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Trainer20% weight
100very strong
Roger Varian: 12/29 winners last 14d (41%)
Freshness10% weight
100very strong
16d since last run (race-fit window)
Form20% weight
20weak
Last 6: 6
Ratings50% weight
0weak
no Racing Post ratings on file

MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Kempton (AW) 1m3f

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.21).

Low (1–4)

IV 0.99

Mid (5–8)

IV 1.21

High (9–12)

IV 0.83

Today: Treble Bass (draw 5) and Purple Moon (draw 8) get the bias; Fortitudine (draw 11) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 242 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	9	Fortitudine J: James Doyle · T: Charlie Appleby · draw 11 3yo · G · b	—	9-04	—	—	—	32.5	7/2·4.50 SP
2	8	Dialstone J: Rossa Ryan · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 3 3yo · G · b	2	9-04	—	—	—	29.1	5/6F·1.83 SP
3	11	Treble Bass J: Ray Dawson · T: Roger Varian · draw 5 3yo · G · gr	6	9-04	—	—	—	34.0	6/1·7.00 SP
4	1	Purple Moon J: Benoit de la Sayette · T: George Baker · draw 8 4yo · G · ch	01	10-06	—	—	—	32.3	7/1·8.00 SP
5	3	Barachiel J: Luke Morris · T: Robert Stephens · draw 4 5yo · G · b	—	9-13	—	—	—	16.5	80/1·81.00 SP
6	6	Be Hopeful J: Sean Levey · T: David Menuisier · draw 6 3yo · G · b	70	9-04	—	—	—	7.5	300/1·301.00 SP
7	12	Westender J: Silvestre De Sousa · T: David Menuisier · draw 12 3yo · G · ch	0	9-04	—	—	—	2.5	150/1·151.00 SP
8	4	Digger One J: Josephine Gordon · T: Keiran Burke · draw 9 5yo · G · b	94	9-13	—	—	—	14.9	80/1·81.00 SP
9	5	Arklan J: Callum Hutchinson · T: Eve Johnson Houghton · draw 7 3yo · G · b	5	9-04	—	—	—	19.0	33/1·34.00 SP
10	10	Mid Flight J: Robert Havlin · T: P Charalambous & J Clutterbuck · draw 10 3yo · G · btv	58	9-04	—	—	—	7.8	80/1·81.00 SP
11	7	Centrum J: Colin Keane · T: John & Thady Gosden · draw 2 3yo · C · bp	89	9-04	—	—	—	18.5	17/2·9.50 SP
12	2	Anchor J: Gina Mangan · T: Clare Hobson · draw 1 4yo · G · b	—	9-13	—	—	—	16.5	300/1·301.00 SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 19:20 Kempton (AW) on 5 August 2026?

Fortitudine (IRE) won the 19:20 Kempton (AW) at SP 4.50. Ridden by James Doyle. Trained by Charlie Appleby.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 19:20 Kempton (AW)?

No — the AI top pick (Treble Bass) finished 3.

What were the placings in the 19:20 Kempton (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Fortitudine (IRE) (4.50), 2. Dialstone (GB) (1.83), 3. Treble Bass (GB) (7.00).

What was the winning time for the 19:20 Kempton (AW)?

The winning time was 2m 19.89s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org