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18:30 Chepstow

Dunraven Windows Supports Chepstow Centenary Celebrations Handicap Stakes

5f · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 7 runners · £5,339 · Thursday, 6 August 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 2nd
  1. 1st
    Solar Edge (GB)
    Gina Mangan·Christopher Mason
    15/8F·2.88
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Rogue Bullet (IRE)AI top pick · 58.5
    Harry Davies·James Owen·beaten 4.25 lengths
    3/1·4.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Over Spiced (GB)
    Ray Dawson·Grace Harris·beaten 0.2 lengths
    7/1·8.00
    SP
Race time
57.77s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Solar Edge (GB))

“Set the pace from the outset - moved over to the far rail on own terms early - pushed along inside final furlong - opened a decisive advantage close home to score comfortably”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Rogue Bullet

Rogue Bullet heads this seven-runner Chepstow sprint on a performance rating that sits narrowly ahead of Solar Edge and Alkuwarrior, who share the same figure and represent the chief dangers alongside Moe's Legacy just a pound further back. The tight nature of the form figures means this is no foregone conclusion, yet Rogue Bullet's edge at five furlongs on good-to-firm ground gives enough reason to side with him. **Rogue Bullet** is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Rogue Bullet

Harry Davies · James Owen · 4yo

Top-rated of 7
score 58.5 · +4.4 clear of next best (54.1)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    20d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    57average
    Last 6: 6-5-1-4-3
  • Trainer20% weight
    55average
    James Owen: 13/58 winners last 14d (22%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    52average
    OR 78 — highest combined rating in the field
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Chepstow 5f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)
IV 1.00
Mid (4–5)
IV 0.90
High (6–7)
IV 1.08

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 106 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
12
J: Gina Mangan · T: Christopher Mason · draw 6
4yo · G · gr
25127
7753.7
15/8F·2.88
SP
21
J: Harry Davies · T: James Owen · draw 7
4yo · G · bp
65143
7858.5
3/1·4.00
SP
35
J: Ray Dawson · T: Grace Harris · draw 2
4yo · F · bp
554332
7042.1
7/1·8.00
SP
47
J: Seamus Cronin(5) · T: Grace Harris · draw 5
3yo · F · gr
21232
6948.2
6/1·7.00
SP
54
J: Rose Dawes(5) · T: Christopher Mason · draw 4
3yo · G · bp
90157
7446.9
28/1·29.00
SP
66
J: Miss Amy Tucker(7) · T: David Evans · draw 3
7yo · G · bb
352221
6754.1
11/1·12.00
SP
73
J: David Egan · T: R Harris · draw 1
5yo · M · grv
374252
7543.0
9/2·5.50
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 18:30 Chepstow on 6 August 2026?

Solar Edge (GB) won the 18:30 Chepstow at SP 2.88. Ridden by Gina Mangan. Trained by Christopher Mason.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 18:30 Chepstow?

No — the AI top pick (Rogue Bullet) finished 2.

What were the placings in the 18:30 Chepstow?

Top finishers: 1. Solar Edge (GB) (2.88), 2. Rogue Bullet (IRE) (4.00), 3. Over Spiced (GB) (8.00).

What was the winning time for the 18:30 Chepstow?

The winning time was 57.77s.

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