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RacingAlpha

Carling Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

6f · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 5 runners · £5,234 · Friday, 7 August 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 2/5F·1.40
  1. 1st
    Nabati (IRE)AI top pick · 81.1
    Billy Loughnane·Charlie Appleby
    2/5F·1.40
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Tawakal (FR)
    James Doyle·Simon & Ed Crisford·beaten 0.2 lengths
    9/4·3.25
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Roll Up Raymond (GB)
    George Wood·Gihan Arnolda·beaten 5.5 lengths
    80/1·81.00
    SP
Race time
1m 11.48s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Nabati (IRE))

“Settled close to the pace early - moved into second with 3f left - pushed along 2f out - lost momentum for a moment turning into the straight - responded strongly in the final 110 yards - got up to win on the line”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 0.40 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Nabati

Billy Loughnane · Charlie Appleby · 2yo

Top-rated of 5
score 81.1 · +39.1 clear of next best (42.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    100very strong
    Charlie Appleby: 8/19 winners last 14d (42%)
  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    21d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    85very strong
    Last 6: 1-2
  • Ratings50% weight
    68strong
    OR 102 — highest combined rating in the field
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Newmarket (July) 6f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.24).

Low (1–2)
IV 0.95
Mid (3–4)
IV 0.80
High (5–5)
IV 1.24

Today: Tawakal (draw 5) gets the bias; Al Widyan (draw 3) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 92 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
11
J: Billy Loughnane · T: Charlie Appleby · draw 1
2yo · C · ch
12
10281.1
2/5F·1.40
SP
22
J: James Doyle · T: Simon & Ed Crisford · draw 5
2yo · C · ch
1
—42.0
9/4·3.25
SP
34
J: George Wood · T: Gihan Arnolda · draw 4
2yo · C · b
——15.0
80/1·81.00
SP
43
J: Oisin Murphy · T: Andrew Balding · draw 3
2yo · C · b
——24.5
11/1·12.00
SP
55
2yo · G · b
87
—16.2
150/1·151.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 18:37 Newmarket (July) on 7 August 2026?

Nabati (IRE) won the 18:37 Newmarket (July) at SP 1.40. Ridden by Billy Loughnane. Trained by Charlie Appleby.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 18:37 Newmarket (July)?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Nabati, won the race (AI score 81.1).

What were the placings in the 18:37 Newmarket (July)?

Top finishers: 1. Nabati (IRE) (1.40), 2. Tawakal (FR) (3.25), 3. Roll Up Raymond (GB) (81.00).

What was the winning time for the 18:37 Newmarket (July)?

The winning time was 1m 11.48s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org