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14:50 Musselburgh

Copper Blossom Ladies Day Nursery Selling Handicap Stakes

7f · Flat · Class 5 · Good · 5 runners · £7,851 · Friday, 7 August 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 4th
  1. 1st
    Bella Lucia (GB)
    William Pyle·Gemma Tutty
    13/2·7.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Bigalo (GB)
    Joanna Mason·Roger Fell·beaten 1.25 lengths
    4/5F·1.80
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Amantha (IRE)
    Luke Morris·Brian Ellison·beaten 1.5 lengths
    4/1·5.00
    SP
Race time
1m 29.41s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Bella Lucia (GB))

“Settled in the pack early - pushed along with 2f remaining then eased to the left inside final furlong - stayed on strongly to hit the front near the line - drew clear at the finish”

AI top-rated Bluestone Lady (score 46.9) finished 4th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 5.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Bigalo

Bigalo holds a narrow edge over this modest Class 5 field at Musselburgh, rated narrowly ahead of Extended Order and a more meaningful step clear of the rest, and he tops our figures for this seven-furlong contest on good ground. Extended Order is the most likely to give him a race, with Bella Lucia and Bluestone Lady sharing the same rating and capable of mixing it if Bigalo fails to fire. The form sets up neatly for a performance to match his standing in this company, and there is little here to suggest he will be troubled if reproducing his best. **Bigalo** is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Bluestone Lady

Jack Nicholls(3) · Phillip Makin · 2yo

Top-rated of 5
score 46.9 · +0.7 clear of next best (46.2)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    70strong
    7d since last run (quick turnaround)
  • Form20% weight
    55average
    Last 6: 2-6-4-2-0-1
  • Trainer20% weight
    43small sample (n=6)
    Phillip Makin: 1/6 winners last 14d (17%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Ratings50% weight
    41below average
    OR 61
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Musselburgh 7f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.20).

Low (1–2)
IV 0.85
Mid (3–4)
IV 0.97
High (5–5)
IV 1.20

Today: Bella Lucia (draw 5) gets the bias; Bigalo (draw 1) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 126 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
15
Bella Lucia
J: William Pyle · T: Gemma Tutty · draw 5
2yo · F · b
363
6146.2
13/2·7.50
SP
22
Bigalo
J: Joanna Mason · T: Roger Fell · draw 1
2yo · G · b
69722
6746.2
4/5F·1.80
SP
34
Amantha
J: Luke Morris · T: Brian Ellison · draw 2
2yo · F · b
866123
6244.2
4/1·5.00
SP
43
Bluestone Lady
J: Jack Nicholls(3) · T: Phillip Makin · draw 4
2yo · F · bb
264201
6146.9
11/2·6.50
SP
51
Extended Order
J: Daniel Muscutt · T: Eve Johnson Houghton · draw 3
2yo · G · b
100
7341.7
12/1·13.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 14:50 Musselburgh on 7 August 2026?

Bella Lucia (GB) won the 14:50 Musselburgh at SP 7.50. Ridden by William Pyle. Trained by Gemma Tutty.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:50 Musselburgh?

No — the AI top pick (Bluestone Lady) finished 4.

What were the placings in the 14:50 Musselburgh?

Top finishers: 1. Bella Lucia (GB) (7.50), 2. Bigalo (GB) (1.80), 3. Amantha (IRE) (5.00).

What was the winning time for the 14:50 Musselburgh?

The winning time was 1m 29.41s.

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