Who won the 18:30 Ayr on 8 August 2026?
Pol Roger (IRE) won the 18:30 Ayr at SP 21.00. Ridden by Sean Kirrane. Trained by Michael Dods.
← All racecards18:30
Ayr
Great BritainBook Ladbrokes Ayr Gold Cup Ladies Day Handicap Stakes
Saturday, 8 August 2026
1m2f·Flat·Class 5·Good·13 runners·£4,187
Result
AI top pick finished 7thRace report
- 1stPol Roger (IRE)Sean Kirrane·Michael Dods20/1·21.00SP
- 2ndTiger (FR)Ryan Kavanagh·Ian Williams·beaten 0.3 lengths6/5F·2.20SP
- 3rdFaeberon (IRE)Dougie Costello·Simon & Ed Crisford·beaten 2.25 lengths22/1·23.00SP
Race time
2m 7.11s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Pol Roger (IRE))
“Pulled hard early - tracked the front pack - pushed into command 2f out - held on gamely to the line despite gap narrowing”
AI top-rated Phantom Shadow (score 61.5) finished 7th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 5.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Selections by model
Head-to-head dashboard →v1.061.5/100 rating
Phantom Shadow
7.60Betfair Exchange· informational only
Top-rated, but filter rejects this race
v1.1
No pick
Race outside the segment-edge filter
Each-way61.5/100 rating
Phantom Shadow
7.60Betfair Exchange
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Racing Alpha pick
Phantom Shadow
Jason Hart · Ewan Whillans · 3yo
61.5/100
+6.0 vs next best (55.5)
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong19d since last run (race-fit window)
- Trainer20% weight75strongEwan Whillans: 3/10 winners last 14d (30%)
- Form20% weight69strongLast 6: 8-2-3-5-2-1
- Ratings50% weight45below averageOR 68
MarketBest price 7.60 (Betfair Exchange) — 3rd pick of 13 in market. AI is contrarian here.
v1.3 rating · weights and method explained on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Runners
| Pos | # | Dr | Horse | Jockey / Trainer | Form | Wt | OR | RPR | TS | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | 8 | 4yo · G · b | 46421 | 10-07 | 75 | — | — | 52.3 | 6/5F·2.20 SP | |
| 8 | 2 | 13 | 6yo · G · g | 88623 | 10-02 | 75 | — | — | 53.4 | 15/2·8.50 SP | |
| 5 | 3 | 6 | 4yo · G · b | 35370 | 9-11 | 70 | — | — | 42.6 | 12/1·13.00 SP | |
| 4 | 4 | 1 | 4yo · F · bp | 624223 | 9-11 | 70 | — | — | 45.9 | 12/1·13.00 SP | |
| 1 | 5 | 5 | 6yo · G · bp | 88234 | 9-10 | 69 | — | — | 48.7 | 20/1·21.00 SP | |
| 9 | 6 | 10 | 3yo · G · bh | 73282 | 9-08 | 75 | — | — | 42.1 | 11/2·6.50 SP | |
| 6 | 7 | 7 | 3yo · G · b | 44731 | 9-07 | 74 | — | — | 50.4 | 14/1·15.00 SP | |
| 3 | 8 | 9 | 3yo · G · bp | 74831 | 9-06 | 73 | — | — | 55.5 | 22/1·23.00 SP | |
| 10 | 9 | 14 | 4yo · G · bp | 34176 | 9-03 | 62 | — | — | 41.3 | 100/1·101.00 SP | |
| 12 | 10 | 4 | 6yo · G · bp | 04908 | 9-01 | 60 | — | — | 29.1 | 150/1·151.00 SP | |
| 7 | 11 | 2 | 3yo · G · ch | 823521 | 9-01 | 68 | — | — | 61.5 | 5/1·6.00 SP | |
| 13 | 12 | 12 | 3yo · F · btbFT TB | 906 | 9-00 | 67 | — | — | 39.5 | 150/1·151.00 SP | |
| 11 | 14 | 11 | 3yo · G · grb | 76034 | 8-13 | 66 | — | — | 47.9 | 33/1·34.00 SP | |
| — | — | 3 | 8yo · G · ch | 241334 | 8-13 | 58 | — | — | 44.0 | — |
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 18:30 Ayr?
No — the AI top pick (Phantom Shadow) finished 7.
What were the placings in the 18:30 Ayr?
Top finishers: 1. Pol Roger (IRE) (21.00), 2. Tiger (FR) (2.20), 3. Faeberon (IRE) (23.00).
What was the winning time for the 18:30 Ayr?
The winning time was 2m 7.11s.
Racing Post verdict
Third-partyMr Lincoln sits just a pound behind the top-rated Tiger but holds a meaningful fitness edge that tilts the case in his favour at this Class 5 trip of ten furlongs on good ground at Ayr. Tiger remains the most obvious danger given his narrow rating advantage, while Faeberon and Unchartedterritory could also make their presence felt in a competitive 13-runner field. That fitness edge is the deciding factor here, though the contest is tight enough to warrant modest confidence. **Mr Lincoln** is our selection.
Racing Post pick: Mr Lincoln
Editorial verdict from Racing Post via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha.
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