Who won the 16:45 Ayr on 10 August 2026?
West Tyrone (GB) won the 16:45 Ayr at SP 15.00. Ridden by Shane Gray. Trained by Lizzie Quinlan.
16:45 Ayr
Ladbrokes 'Free Rewards With Instant Spins' Handicap Stakes (Div II)
1m2f · Flat · Class 6 · Good To Soft · 11 runners · £3,664 · Monday, 10 August 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 10thRace report
- 1stWest Tyrone (GB)Shane Gray·Lizzie Quinlan14/1·15.00SP
- 2ndTee Aitch Aye (IRE)Andrew Mullen·Iain Jardine·beaten .75 lengths7/2·4.50SP
- 3rdCeinture D'orion (GB)Daniel Tudhope·David O'Meara·beaten .75 lengths17/2·9.50SP
Race time
2m 10.98s
Race time recorded.
In-running (West Tyrone (GB))
“Set the pace from the off - given a nudge and edged left 3f out - asked for effort inside final furlong - kept responding to the line before slowing up close home”
AI top-rated Royal Blaze (score 56.9) finished 10th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.33 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way56.9/100 rating
Royal Blaze
4.80Betfair Exchange
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Racing Alpha pick
Royal Blaze
David Nolan · Ewan Whillans · 5yo
56.9/100
+5.4 vs next best (51.5)
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong14d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight65strongLast 6: 4-8-3-9-1-1
- Trainer20% weight63averageEwan Whillans: 3/12 winners last 14d (25%)
- Ratings50% weight43below averageOR 64
MarketBest price 4.80 (Betfair Exchange) — market favourite. AI agrees with the market.
v1.3 rating · weights and method explained on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Ayr 1m2f
full course data →Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.20).
Low (1–4)
IV 0.76
Mid (5–8)
IV 1.06
High (9–12)
IV 1.20
Today: Ceinture d'Orion (draw 9) and Spirit Catcher (draw 11) get the bias; Royal Blaze (draw 3) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 57 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | J: Shane Gray · T: Lizzie Quinlan · draw 10 4yo · G · bp | 02803 | 65 | 34.6 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 2 | 5 | J: Andrew Mullen · T: Iain Jardine · draw 7 5yo · G · bpFT P | 80763 | 59 | 44.0 | 7/2·4.50 SP |
| 3 | 8 | J: Daniel Tudhope · T: David O'Meara · draw 9 3yo · F · ch | 4634 | 64 | 45.2 | 17/2·9.50 SP |
| 4 | 6 | J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Jim Goldie · draw 1 4yo · G · b | 776565 | 58 | 36.1 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 5 | 3 | J: Cieren Fallon · T: Philip Kirby · draw 11 7yo · G · ch | 122857 | 62 | 36.5 | 100/30J·4.33 SP |
| 6 | 4 | J: Jake Dickson(5) · T: Tim Easterby · draw 2 4yo · F · b | 94562 | 60 | 41.8 | 5/1·6.00 SP |
| 7 | 9 | J: Tom Eaves · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 5 3yo · G · b | 44908 | 63 | 33.2 | 66/1·67.00 SP |
| 8 | 11 | J: Kaiya Fraser · T: Gemma Tutty · draw 4 3yo · G · b | 90595 | 56 | 41.3 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| 9 | 10 | J: Sam James · T: Phillip Makin · draw 12 3yo · G · b | 70384 | 60 | 35.6 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| 10 | 2 | J: David Nolan · T: Ewan Whillans · draw 3 5yo · G · btp | 483911 | 64 | 56.9 | 100/30J·4.33 SP |
| 11 | 7 | J: David Allan · T: R Mike Smith · draw 8 11yo · G · ch | 567514 | 57 | 41.6 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Jason Hart · T: Karl Thornton · draw 6 3yo · G · bb | 707407 | 55 | 51.5 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:45 Ayr?
No — the AI top pick (Royal Blaze) finished 10.
What were the placings in the 16:45 Ayr?
Top finishers: 1. West Tyrone (GB) (15.00), 2. Tee Aitch Aye (IRE) (4.50), 3. Ceinture D'orion (GB) (9.50).
What was the winning time for the 16:45 Ayr?
The winning time was 2m 10.98s.
Racing Post verdict
Third-partyTee Aitch Aye rates narrowly behind the top-rated on paper but is preferred here on the strength of a progressive profile and a fitness edge that could prove telling over this ten-furlong trip at Ayr. West Tyrone heads the ratings and must be respected, while Spirit Catcher matches Tee Aitch Aye's figure and will not be far away, and Farabove The Limit is capable of mixing it if conditions suit. This is a competitive Class 6 affair with little to split the principals, but there is enough reason to side with a horse moving in the right direction. **Tee Aitch Aye** is the selection.
Racing Post pick: Tee Aitch Aye
Editorial verdict from Racing Post via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha.
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