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17:15 Ayr

'Ladbrokes Play 1-2-Free' Handicap Stakes

1m · Flat · Class 5 · Good To Soft · 10 runners · £4,187 · Monday, 10 August 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 4th
  1. 1st
    Keep An Eye On It (GB)
    David Nolan·Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood
    3/1F·4.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Hatamoto (GB)
    David Allan·Tim Easterby·beaten 1.25 lengths
    5/1·6.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Vega Storm (IRE)
    Harry Russell·Richard & Peter Fahey·beaten 1 length
    11/2·6.50
    SP
Race time
1m 40.78s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Keep An Eye On It (GB))

“Settled in the pack early - driven up into contention with 2f left - drifted left to hit the front inside the final furlong - kept going to score”

AI top-rated Wise Crack (score 48.8) finished 4th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 8.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Keep An Eye On It

Keep An Eye On It heads this ten-runner Class 5 contest at Ayr on good ground holding a three-pound advantage over nearest rival Napolian, with Paroda Diva and Light The Night Up also meriting respect as the chief dangers in an open-looking field. The selection's rating edge may be narrow, but it is consistent across the card and gives connections a solid platform over a mile on decent going. Napolian and Paroda Diva will push hardest, so a clean passage through the race will be important. **Keep An Eye On It** is the call.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Wise Crack

Shane Gray · Ruth Carr · 3yo

Top-rated of 10
score 48.8 · +2.4 clear of next best (46.4)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    19d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Ratings50% weight
    44below average
    OR 66
  • Form20% weight
    44below average
    Last 6: 0-5-6-8-1
  • Trainer20% weight
    40below average
    Ruth Carr: 4/25 winners last 14d (16%)
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Ayr 1m

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–4)
IV 1.06
Mid (5–7)
IV 0.92
High (8–10)
IV 1.01

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 140 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
13
3yo · G · ch
44523
6740.0
3/1F·4.00
SP
29
J: David Allan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 6
3yo · G · bp
372116
6045.8
5/1·6.00
SP
37
3yo · G · b
335046
6341.9
11/2·6.50
SP
45
J: Shane Gray · T: Ruth Carr · draw 4
3yo · G · bv
05681
6648.8
8/1·9.00
SP
58
J: Sam James · T: K. R. Burke · draw 10
3yo · F · ro
34455
6346.4
13/2·7.50
SP
66
J: Andrew Mullen · T: Patrick Neville · draw 8
3yo · F · bp
74612
6540.9
6/1·7.00
SP
71
J: Daniel Tudhope · T: David O'Meara · draw 5
3yo · G · b
48104
6944.4
7/1·8.00
SP
82
J: Sean Kirrane · T: Michael Dods · draw 2
3yo · F · bh
524
6945.2
28/1·29.00
SP
94
J: Tom Eaves · T: Susan Corbett · draw 3
3yo · F · ch
43163
6639.8
33/1·34.00
SP
1010
J: Mark Winn · T: Michael Dods · draw 9
3yo · G · b
879
5836.8
28/1·29.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 17:15 Ayr on 10 August 2026?

Keep An Eye On It (GB) won the 17:15 Ayr at SP 4.00. Ridden by David Nolan. Trained by Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:15 Ayr?

No — the AI top pick (Wise Crack) finished 4.

What were the placings in the 17:15 Ayr?

Top finishers: 1. Keep An Eye On It (GB) (4.00), 2. Hatamoto (GB) (6.00), 3. Vega Storm (IRE) (6.50).

What was the winning time for the 17:15 Ayr?

The winning time was 1m 40.78s.

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