Who won the 13:45 Curragh on 9 August 2026?
Ibelieveicanfly (USA) won the 13:45 Curragh at SP 2.62. Ridden by Ryan Moore. Trained by A P O'Brien.
13:45 Curragh
IrelandGrand Hotel Malahide Irish EBF Fillies Juvenile Race
7f · Flat · Good To Firm · 14 runners · €21,000 · Sunday, 9 August 2026
Result
AI top pick was a non-runnerRace report
- 1stIbelieveicanfly (USA)Ryan Moore·A P O'Brien13/8F·2.62SP
- 2ndSpeckles (IRE)Jack Cleary·A P O'Brien·beaten 5 lengths11/2·6.50SP
- 3rdExceptionally (USA)Ronan Whelan·A P O'Brien·beaten .5 lengths8/1·9.00SP
Race time
1m 22.85s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Ibelieveicanfly (USA))
“Sat behind the front group early - third at halfway then second with two furlongs left - hit the front a furlong out under pressure - edged away inside the final 150 yards to hold on strongly”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.62 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way34.1/100 rating
Admired Beauty
7.20Betfair Exchange
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Racing Alpha pick
Sword Of State
Rory Cleary · Brendan W Duke · 2yo
44.3/100
+7.8 vs next best (36.5)
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Trainer20% weight100very strongBrendan W Duke: 2/5 winners last 14d (40%)
- Freshness10% weight100very strong15d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight72strongLast 6: 7-1
- Ratings50% weight0weakno Racing Post ratings on file
Marketno market price available
v1.3 rating · weights and method explained on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Curragh 7f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–6)
IV 0.96
Mid (7–12)
IV 0.99
High (13–18)
IV 1.04
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 211 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | J: Ryan Moore · T: A P O'Brien · draw 14 2yo · F · chhFT H | 424 | — | 32.7 | 13/8F·2.62 SP |
| 2 | 9 | J: Jack Cleary(5) · T: A P O'Brien · draw 12 2yo · F · b | 6 | — | 25.5 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
| 3 | 4 | J: Ronan Whelan · T: A P O'Brien · draw 18 2yo · F · b | 03 | — | 29.5 | 8/1·9.00 SP |
| 4 | 12 | J: Shane Foley · T: Mrs John Harrington · draw 8 2yo · F · b | — | — | 19.5 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| 5 | 7 | J: Chris Hayes · T: D K Weld · draw 7 2yo · F · b | 8 | — | 14.5 | 66/1·67.00 SP |
| 6 | 17 | J: Dylan Browne McMonagle · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 11 2yo · F · b | — | — | 21.0 | 13/2·7.50 SP |
| 7 | 10 | J: Gary Carroll · T: M C Hickey · draw 3 2yo · F · b | 5 | — | 24.5 | 18/1·19.00 SP |
| 8 | 2 | J: Declan McDonogh · T: J S Bolger · draw 9 2yo · F · b | 2 | — | 34.1 | 100/30·4.33 SP |
| 9 | 18 | J: Andrew Slattery · T: Andrew Slattery · draw 1 2yo · F · b | — | — | 19.0 | 28/1·29.00 SP |
| 10 | 5 | J: J M Sheridan · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 6 2yo · F · b | 9 | — | 17.2 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
| 11 | 13 | J: Reese Holohan(7) · T: Robson De Aguiar · draw 10 2yo · F · b | — | — | 31.5 | 66/1·67.00 SP |
| 12 | 16 | J: Wesley Joyce(3) · T: Michael Mulvany · draw 2 2yo · F · ch | — | — | 19.0 | 80/1·81.00 SP |
| 13 | 8 | J: Leigh Roche · T: Kieran P Cotter · draw 13 2yo · F · b | 08 | — | 11.3 | 250/1·251.00 SP |
| 14 | 15 | J: Nathan Crosse · T: Donnacha Aidan O'Brien · draw 5 2yo · F · b | — | — | 15.0 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| — | — | 2yo · F · ch | 53 | — | 36.5 | — |
| — | — | J: Gavin Ryan · T: Donnacha Aidan O'Brien · draw 4 2yo · F · b | — | — | 15.0 | — |
| — | — | J: Colin Keane · T: C W J Farrell · draw 17 2yo · F · b | — | — | 15.0 | — |
| — | — | J: Rory Cleary · T: Brendan W Duke · draw 16 2yo · F · b | 71 | — | 44.3 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 13:45 Curragh?
No — the AI top pick (Sword Of State) was a non-runner or unplaced.
What were the placings in the 13:45 Curragh?
Top finishers: 1. Ibelieveicanfly (USA) (2.62), 2. Speckles (IRE) (6.50), 3. Exceptionally (USA) (9.00).
What was the winning time for the 13:45 Curragh?
The winning time was 1m 22.85s.
Racing Post verdict
Third-partyAdmired Beauty holds a rating three pounds below the top-rated Ibelieveicanfly, but her progressive profile suggests there is more to come and she may well be ahead of her current assessment. Ibelieveicanfly represents the most obvious danger, with Speckles and Voice Of You also capable of making their presence felt in a competitive fifteen-runner field on good-to-firm ground at the Curragh. The case for our selection rests on upside rather than raw figures, and that is a leap of faith in a race with several unknowns. **Admired Beauty** is our selection.
Racing Post pick: Admired Beauty
Editorial verdict from Racing Post via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha.
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