What time is the Cummersdale Apprentice Handicap Stakes?
The Cummersdale Apprentice Handicap Stakes is off at 14:45 on 11 August 2026 at Carlisle (Great Britain).
← All racecards14:45
Carlisle
Great BritainCummersdale Apprentice Handicap Stakes
Tuesday, 11 August 2026
1m·Flat·Class 6·Good·8 runners·£3,611
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Selections by model
Head-to-head dashboard →v1.047.1/100 rating
Hostility
5.40Betfair Exchange· informational only
Top-rated, but filter rejects this race
v1.1
No pick
Race outside the segment-edge filter
Each-way47.1/100 rating
Hostility
5.40Betfair Exchange
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Racing Alpha pick
Hostility
Conor Whiteley(3) · David O'Meara · 4yo
47.1/100
+0.1 vs next best (47.0)
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight85very strong38d since last run (fresh)
- Form20% weight52averageLast 6: 4-9-7-2-1-5
- Ratings50% weight43below averageOR 65 — highest combined rating in the field
- Trainer20% weight33weakDavid O'Meara: 7/52 winners last 14d (13%)
MarketBest price 5.40 (Betfair Exchange) — 3rd pick of 8 in market. AI is contrarian here.
v1.3 rating · weights and method explained on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Pace map
inferred from last 6 runsShape: Lone front-runner — could dictate from the front if unchallenged.
- Front-runners(1)
- Prominent(3)
- Mid-division(1)
- Hold-up / closers(3)
Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.
Runners
| # | Dr | Horse | Jockey / Trainer | Form | Wt | OR | RPR | TS | AI | Fair | Best price | Add to betslip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 4yo · G · b | 497215 | 10-02 | 65 | — | — | 47.1 | 9/2·5.65 | 5.4·5.40Betfair Exchange | ||
| 2 | 3 | 7yo · M · bh | 051761 | 10-01 | 64 | — | — | 47.0 | 4/1·5.02+31% vs mkt | 6.6·6.60Betfair Exchange | ||
| 3 | 6 | 5yo · G · b | 480069 | 10-00 | 63 | — | — | 42.9 | 9/1·10.04 | 7/1·8.00Bet365 | ||
| 4 | 7 | 4yo · G · bp | 591227 | 9-13 | 62 | — | — | 44.5 | 11/2·6.28 | 5.1·5.10Betfair Exchange | ||
| 5 | 4 | 6yo · G · bp | 184342 | 9-11 | 60 | — | — | 45.3 | 3/1·4.08 | 3.6·3.60Betfair Exchange | ||
| 6 | 5 | 11yo · G · b | 074877 | 9-06 | 55 | — | — | 34.9 | 16/1·16.32 | 12/1·13.00BetAhoy | ||
| 7 | 2 | 6yo · M · btb | 875060 | 8-11 | 45 | — | — | 25.7 | 80/1·84.12 | 70/1·71.007Bet | ||
| 8 | 8 | 3yo · G · b | 043945 | 8-06 | 48 | — | — | 32.7 | 20/1·21.34 | 18/1·19.00Bet365 |
Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 29 bookmakers per horse with the 26% overround stripped out. A green badge means the best book currently pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.
Frequently asked questions
What is the field size and distance of the 14:45 Carlisle?
1m, Class 6, Flat, 8 runners declared.
What is the going for the 14:45 Carlisle?
Going is reported as Good on Turf.
What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 14:45 Carlisle?
The AI top-rated runner is Hostility (score 47.1, best price 5.40). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.
Who is the favourite for the 14:45 Carlisle?
The market favourite is Tees George at a best price of 3.60. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Hostility.
Racing Post verdict
Third-partyIzzari heads this Class 6 contest at Carlisle on a rating a pound clear of Hostility, and that narrow edge looks enough over eight furlongs on good ground. Hostility represents the chief threat alongside Tees George and Perfidia, both of whom will need to outrun their ratings to cause an upset. The case for Izzari rests on topping this field on current form, even if the margin is slim and nothing can be taken for granted in a competitive lower-grade heat. **Izzari** is our selection.
Racing Post pick: Izzari
Editorial verdict from Racing Post via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha.
Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org