Who won the 14:45 Carlisle on 11 August 2026?
Hostility (IRE) won the 14:45 Carlisle at SP 3.00. Ridden by Conor Whiteley. Trained by David O'Meara.
14:45 Carlisle
Cummersdale Apprentice Handicap Stakes
1m · Flat · Class 6 · Good · 8 runners · £3,611 · Tuesday, 11 August 2026
Result
AI top pick wonat SP 2/1F·3.00Race report
- 1stHostility (IRE)AI top pick · 47.6Conor Whiteley·David O'Meara2/1F·3.00SP
- 2ndIzzari (GER)Cara Tuke·Iain Jardine·beaten 1 length100/30·4.33SP
- 3rdPerfidia (IRE)Cian Horgan·Tim Easterby·beaten .5 lengths9/2·5.50SP
Race time
1m 39.19s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Hostility (IRE))
“Fought for control early - settled mid-pack - moved into third with 3f left - travelling well approaching 2f out - closed strongly into the final furlong - asked for effort to hit front and stay on to the line”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Izzari
Izzari heads this Class 6 contest at Carlisle on a rating a pound clear of Hostility, and that narrow edge looks enough over eight furlongs on good ground. Hostility represents the chief threat alongside Tees George and Perfidia, both of whom will need to outrun their ratings to cause an upset. The case for Izzari rests on topping this field on current form, even if the margin is slim and nothing can be taken for granted in a competitive lower-grade heat. **Izzari** is our selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Hostility
Conor Whiteley(3) · David O'Meara · 4yo
Top-rated of 8
score 47.6 · +0.6 clear of next best (47.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight85very strong38d since last run (fresh)
- Form20% weight52averageLast 6: 4-9-7-2-1-5
- Ratings50% weight43below averageOR 65 — highest combined rating in the field
- Trainer20% weight35below averageDavid O'Meara: 8/56 winners last 14d (14%)
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Carlisle 1m
full course data →Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.16).
Low (1–3)
IV 1.00
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.83
High (7–8)
IV 1.16
Today: Perfidia (draw 7) and Balance Of Trade (draw 8) get the bias; Tees George (draw 4) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 96 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | J: Conor Whiteley(3) · T: David O'Meara · draw 1 4yo · G · b | 497215 | 65 | 47.6 | 2/1F·3.00 SP |
| 2 | 3 | J: Cara Tuke(7) · T: Iain Jardine · draw 6 5yo · G · b | 480069 | 63 | 42.4 | 100/30·4.33 SP |
| 3 | 4 | J: Cian Horgan(3) · T: Tim Easterby · draw 7 4yo · G · bp | 591227 | 62 | 45.0 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 4 | 5 | J: Oliver Carmichael(5) · T: Adrian Nicholls · draw 4 6yo · G · bp | 184342 | 60 | 45.3 | 7/2·4.50 SP |
| 5 | 2 | J: Kyle McHugh(5) · T: Mark Walford · draw 3 7yo · M · bh | 051761 | 64 | 47.0 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 6 | 6 | J: Amie Waugh · T: Tim Easterby · draw 5 11yo · G · b | 074877 | 55 | 35.4 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 7 | 7 | J: Shay Farmer(3) · T: Brian Rothwell · draw 2 6yo · M · btb | 875060 | 45 | 25.7 | 200/1·201.00 SP |
| 8 | 8 | J: Alex Jary · T: Gary Rutherford · draw 8 3yo · G · b | 043945 | 48 | 32.7 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:45 Carlisle?
Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Hostility, won the race (AI score 47.6).
What were the placings in the 14:45 Carlisle?
Top finishers: 1. Hostility (IRE) (3.00), 2. Izzari (GER) (4.33), 3. Perfidia (IRE) (5.50).
What was the winning time for the 14:45 Carlisle?
The winning time was 1m 39.19s.
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