What time is the Colin Parker Raceday 1st Nov Nursery Handicap Stakes?
The Colin Parker Raceday 1st Nov Nursery Handicap Stakes is off at 15:45 on 11 August 2026 at Carlisle (Great Britain).
← All racecards15:45
Carlisle
Great BritainColin Parker Raceday 1st Nov Nursery Handicap Stakes
Tuesday, 11 August 2026
5f·Flat·Class 5·Good·7 runners·£5,496
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Selections by model
Head-to-head dashboard →v1.056.9/100 rating
Influencer Man
3.80Betfair Exchange· informational only
Top-rated, but filter rejects this race
v1.1
No pick
Race outside the segment-edge filter
Each-way49.0/100 rating
Onslaught
8.60Betfair Exchange
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Racing Alpha pick
Influencer Man
M. P. Sheehy · Adrian Keatley · 2yo
56.9/100
+7.2 vs next best (49.7)
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong24d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight67strongLast 6: 4-2
- Ratings50% weight50averageOR 75 — highest combined rating in the field
- Trainer20% weight43below averageAdrian Keatley: 2/12 winners last 14d (17%)
MarketBest price 3.80 (Betfair Exchange) — market favourite. AI agrees with the market.
v1.3 rating · weights and method explained on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Pace map
inferred from last 6 runsShape: Lone front-runner — could dictate from the front if unchallenged.
- Front-runners(1)
- Prominent(2)
- Mid-division(0)—
- Hold-up / closers(3)
- Unknown(1)
Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.
Runners
| # | Dr | Horse | Jockey / Trainer | Form | Wt | OR | RPR | TS | AI | Fair | Best price | Add to betslip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 2yo · G · ch | 42 | 9-09 | 75 | — | — | 56.9 | 3/1·4.09 | 3.8·3.80Betfair Exchange | ||
| 2 | 1 | 2yo · C · b | 7363 | 9-05 | 71 | — | — | 48.4 | 8/1·8.76 | 8.6·8.60Betfair Exchange | ||
| 3 | 3 | 2yo · C · bbFT B | 633 | 9-04 | 70 | — | — | 49.0 | 8/1·8.76 | 8.6·8.60Betfair Exchange | ||
| 4 | 7 | 2yo · F · b | 62454 | 9-02 | 68 | — | — | 44.4 | 6/1·7.01+7% vs mkt | 13/2·7.50Betfred | ||
| 5 | 2 | 2yo · F · b | 3217 | 9-00 | 66 | — | — | 40.0 | 10/1·10.52 | 10.5·10.50Betfair Exchange | ||
| 6 | 4 | 2yo · C · b | 326622 | 8-13 | 65 | — | — | 49.7 | 3/1·4.09+6% vs mkt | 10/3·4.33Betfred | ||
| 7 | 6 | 2yo · G · bpFT P | 459 | 8-11 | 63 | — | — | 38.6 | 22/1·22.20 | 20/1·21.00Unibet |
Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 30 bookmakers per horse with the 17% overround stripped out. A green badge means the best book currently pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.
Frequently asked questions
What is the field size and distance of the 15:45 Carlisle?
5f, Class 5, Flat, 7 runners declared.
What is the going for the 15:45 Carlisle?
Going is reported as Good on Turf.
What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 15:45 Carlisle?
The AI top-rated runner is Influencer Man (score 56.9, best price 3.80). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.
Who is the favourite for the 15:45 Carlisle?
The market favourite is Influencer Man at a best price of 3.80.
Racing Post verdict
Third-partyConcert Pitch heads this seven-runner Carlisle sprint on a rating five pounds clear of Lauralynn and seven ahead of Jazz Queen and Influencer Man, and that edge gives him a solid platform in a Class 5 five-furlong contest on good ground. Lauralynn represents the chief threat if she can translate her rating into a performance, while Jazz Queen and Influencer Man cannot be dismissed at their joint level. The selection, though, holds a modest advantage over his rivals and should take some beating. **Concert Pitch** is our selection.
Racing Post pick: Concert Pitch
Editorial verdict from Racing Post via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha.
Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org