16:15 Carlisle

Off in 1h 52m

Christmas Community Raceday 13th Dec Handicap Stakes

6f · Flat · Class 5 · Good · 8 runners · £4,187 · Tuesday, 11 August 2026

Compare all prices

E/W terms3 places at 1/5 odds (8 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

AI top-rated

Another Investment · No. 4 · best 4/1·5.00 Betfair Exchange

Highest AI score (52.0) in the field, 3.9 clear of the next best. Best price is currently 5% below the market's fair price — no value at the current quote. Not on today's published card — the v1.0 filter rejects this race profile.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way52.0/100 rating

Another Investment

5.00Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Racing Alpha pick

Another Investment

Alex Jary(3) · Nigel Tinkler · 7yo

52.0/100

+3.9 vs next best (48.1)

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
70strong
10d since last run (quick turnaround)
Form20% weight
62average
Last 6: 0-0-2-2-2
Ratings50% weight
48below average
OR 72
Trainer20% weight
43below average
Nigel Tinkler: 5/29 winners last 14d (17%)

MarketBest price 5.00 (Betfair Exchange) — market favourite. AI agrees with the market.

v1.3 rating · weights and method explained on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: 3 confirmed front-runners — expect a pace duel; closers from the rear advantaged.

Front-runners(3)
2Sixtygeesbaby 7Pickersgill 9Valentine Catcher
Prominent(1)
8Showtown
Mid-division(2)
1Jenever 5Maldevious
Hold-up / closers(1)
6Great
Unknown(1)
4Another Investment

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Carlisle 6f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)

IV 0.99

Mid (4–6)

IV 1.10

High (7–9)

IV 0.91

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 99 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
4	Another InvestmentPick J: Alex Jary(3) · T: Nigel Tinkler · draw 3 7yo · G · b	00222	9-13	72	—	—	52.0	9/2·5.27	5·5.00 Betfair Exchange · -5% vs fair
6	Great J: Jonathan England · T: Sam England · draw 9 4yo · G · b	871531	9-11	65	—	—	48.1	11/2·6.44	5.8·5.80 Betfair Exchange · -10% vs fair
5	Maldevious J: Ben Robinson · T: Brian Ellison · draw 6 4yo · F · btp	944391	9-11	70	—	—	47.3	6/1·7.03	6.6·6.60 Betfair Exchange · -6% vs fair
7	Pickersgill J: M. P. Sheehy · T: Iain Jardine · draw 1 4yo · F · ch	752728	9-09	68	—	—	47.0	9/1·9.95	9.8·9.80 Betfair Exchange
2	Sixtygeesbaby J: Mark Winn · T: David O'Meara · draw 5 4yo · G · chtv	050855	10-00	73	—	—	45.4	7/1·8.20	8·8.00 Betfair Exchange · -2% vs fair
1	Jenever J: Jason Hart · T: Jessica Macey · draw 2 7yo · G · bb	565783	10-00	73	—	—	40.3	9/2·5.27	5.5·5.50 Betfair Exchange · +4% vs fair
8	Showtown J: Tom Eaves · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 4 3yo · G · bpFirst after wind op	20458	9-04	67	—	—	39.4	18/1·19.91	19.5·19.50 Betfair Exchange · -2% vs fair
9	Valentine Catcher J: James Sullivan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 7 5yo · G · bp	264397	9-03	62	—	—	38.5	18/1·19.91	18/1·19.00 PricedUp Bet · -5% vs fair
—	Stirrup CupNon-runner J: Duran Fentiman · T: Tim Easterby · draw 8 4yo · G · bt	23915	10-00	73	—	—	—	—	Withdrawn

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 30 bookmakers per horse with the 17% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Christmas Community Raceday 13th Dec Handicap Stakes?

The Christmas Community Raceday 13th Dec Handicap Stakes is off at 16:15 on 11 August 2026 at Carlisle (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 16:15 Carlisle?

6f, Class 5, Flat, 8 runners declared.

What is the going for the 16:15 Carlisle?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 16:15 Carlisle?

The AI top-rated runner is Another Investment (score 52.0, best price 5.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 16:15 Carlisle?

The market favourite is Another Investment at a best price of 5.00.

Racing Post verdict

Third-party

Sixtygeesbaby heads this Class 5 six-furlong contest at Carlisle narrowly ahead of Jenever on our ratings, and the form behind that pair gives further confidence that the selection is the one to beat. Jenever and Showtown will press hardest, with Maldevious also meriting respect down the weights, but none of them look likely to have enough to peg back the selection on current evidence. **Sixtygeesbaby** is our selection.

Racing Post pick: Sixtygeesbaby

Editorial verdict from Racing Post via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org