17:15 Carlisle

Racing Again Wednesday 19th August Handicap Stakes

7f · Flat · Class 6 · Good · 8 runners · £3,611 · Tuesday, 11 August 2026

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E/W terms3 places at 1/5 odds (8 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

AI top-rated

Viviana · No. 4 · best 13/2·7.50 Unibet

Highest AI score (44.5) in the field, 1.5 clear of the next best. Best price is currently 8% below the market's fair price — no value at the current quote. Not on today's published card — the v1.0 filter rejects this race profile.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way44.5/100 rating

Viviana

7.50Unibet

Place portion settles at 2.30 · 1/5 odds · 3 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Racing Alpha pick

Viviana

Oisin Orr · Charlie Johnston · 3yo

44.5/100

+1.5 vs next best (42.9)

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
28d since last run (race-fit window)
Ratings50% weight
41below average
OR 62
Form20% weight
39below average
Last 6: 3-3-6-5-4
Trainer20% weight
30weak
Charlie Johnston: 5/43 winners last 14d (12%)

MarketBest price 7.50 (Unibet) — 4th pick of 8 in market. AI is contrarian here.

v1.3 rating · weights and method explained on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: 3 confirmed front-runners — expect a pace duel; closers from the rear advantaged.

Front-runners(3)
3Only Dream Big 6Sparkling Pink 9Truly Special
Prominent(4)
1Storm Esme 2Leelawadee 4Viviana 7Oasis Cover
Mid-division(0)—
Hold-up / closers(1)
5Douwantitrightnow

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Carlisle 7f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.16).

Low (1–3)

IV 1.00

Mid (4–6)

IV 0.83

High (7–9)

IV 1.16

Today: Sparkling Pink (draw 8) and Douwantitrightnow (draw 7) get the bias; Viviana (draw 5) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 96 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
4	VivianaPick J: Oisin Orr · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 5 3yo · F · b	33654	9-08	62	—	—	44.5	7/1·8.13	13/2·7.50 Unibet · -8% vs fair
2	Leelawadee J: Mark Winn · T: Michael Dods · draw 4 3yo · F · b	7542	9-09	63	—	—	42.9	5/2·3.49	3.35·3.35 Betfair Exchange · -4% vs fair
6	Sparkling Pink J: Jack Garritty · T: Adrian Nicholls · draw 8 3yo · F · bp	030437	9-04	58	—	—	39.9	11/2·6.39	5.9·5.90 Betfair Exchange · -8% vs fair
3	Only Dream Big J: Ben Robinson · T: Tim Easterby · draw 1 3yo · F · bb	811556	9-08	62	—	—	39.7	4/1·4.84	4.7·4.70 Betfair Exchange · -3% vs fair
5	Douwantitrightnow J: Tom Eaves · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 7 3yo · F · b	54470	9-08	62	—	—	36.9	25/1·26.72	25/1·26.00 Spreadex · -3% vs fair
1	Storm Esme J: Duran Fentiman · T: Tim Easterby · draw 9 3yo · F · brpFT P	70858	9-09	63	—	—	35.9	11/1·11.62	13·13.00 Betfair Exchange · +12% vs fair
7	Oasis Cover J: Aiden Brookes · T: Micky Hammond · draw 2 3yo · F · b	30287	9-04	58	—	—	34.8	40/1·39.50	35/1·36.00 7Bet · -9% vs fair
9	Truly Special J: Jason Hart · T: John Wainwright · draw 3 3yo · F · b	39661	8-13	53	—	—	33.7	12/1·12.78	12/1·13.00 Unibet · +2% vs fair
—	YokoNon-runner J: Clifford Lee · T: David Loughnane · draw 6 3yo · F · bh	04259	9-04	58	—	—	—	—	Withdrawn

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 30 bookmakers per horse with the 16% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Racing Again Wednesday 19th August Handicap Stakes?

The Racing Again Wednesday 19th August Handicap Stakes is off at 17:15 on 11 August 2026 at Carlisle (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 17:15 Carlisle?

7f, Class 6, Flat, 8 runners declared.

What is the going for the 17:15 Carlisle?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 17:15 Carlisle?

The AI top-rated runner is Viviana (score 44.5, best price 7.50). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 17:15 Carlisle?

The market favourite is Leelawadee at a best price of 3.35. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Viviana.

Racing Post verdict

Third-party

Storm Esme sits just two pounds behind the top-rated Only Dream Big, but her progressive profile suggests there is more to come and makes her the preferred call at seven furlongs on good ground at Carlisle. Only Dream Big, Viviana — rated level with our selection — and Sparkling Pink all pose genuine threats in what looks an open contest. On balance, Storm Esme's upward trajectory gives her the edge. **Selection: Storm Esme.**

Racing Post pick: Storm Esme

Editorial verdict from Racing Post via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org