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15:00 Lingfield (AW)

Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 British EBF Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (EBF Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race)

5f · Flat · Class 3 · Standard · 5 runners · £9,180 · Tuesday, 11 August 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 7/1·8.00
  1. 1st
    Bellatina (GB)AI top pick · 47.2
    Cieren Fallon·Charlie Johnston
    7/1·8.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Birkacre Brow (GB)
    Billy Loughnane·James Tate·beaten 3.25 lengths
    12/1·13.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Desert Sands (IRE)
    Benoit de la Sayette·Ismail Mohammed & Jose Santos·beaten 1.5 lengths
    6/4·2.50
    SP
Race time
58.58s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Bellatina (GB))

“Sprung to the front smartly - set the pace throughout - urged forward with 2f remaining and opened up a gap - kept finding more to the line unopposed”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 7.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Bellatina

Cieren Fallon · Charlie Johnston · 2yo

Top-rated of 5
score 47.2 · +1.6 clear of next best (45.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    27d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    46below average
    Last 6: 2-8-7-2-2-6
  • Ratings50% weight
    44below average
    OR 66
  • Trainer20% weight
    30weak
    Charlie Johnston: 5/43 winners last 14d (12%)
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Lingfield (AW) 5f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–2)
IV 0.96
Mid (3–4)
IV 1.03
High (5–5)
IV 1.02

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 290 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
15
Bellatina
J: Cieren Fallon · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 4
2yo · F · b
287226
6647.2
7/1·8.00
SP
23
Birkacre Brow
J: Billy Loughnane · T: James Tate · draw 5
2yo · F · b
40
—26.5
12/1·13.00
SP
32
Desert Sands
J: Benoit de la Sayette · T: Ismail Mohammed & Jose Santos · draw 2
2yo · F · b
609
7936.1
6/4·2.50
SP
41
Crimson Blaze
J: Finley Marsh · T: Richard Hughes · draw 3
2yo · F · b
5686
6736.4
11/1·12.00
SP
54
Ouragan
J: Luke Morris · T: Archie Watson · draw 1
2yo · F · ch
524
7345.5
11/8F·2.38
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 15:00 Lingfield (AW) on 11 August 2026?

Bellatina (GB) won the 15:00 Lingfield (AW) at SP 8.00. Ridden by Cieren Fallon. Trained by Charlie Johnston.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:00 Lingfield (AW)?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Bellatina, won the race (AI score 47.2).

What were the placings in the 15:00 Lingfield (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Bellatina (GB) (8.00), 2. Birkacre Brow (GB) (13.00), 3. Desert Sands (IRE) (2.50).

What was the winning time for the 15:00 Lingfield (AW)?

The winning time was 58.58s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org