19:30 Hamilton

1m½f · Flat · Class 5 · Good · 9 runners · £4,187 · Tuesday, 11 August 2026

E/W terms3 places at 1/5 odds (9 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

AI top-rated

Second Fiddle · No. 7 · best 13/2·7.40 Betfair Exchange

Highest AI score (51.6) in the field, 4.1 clear of the next best. Not on today's published card — the v1.0 filter rejects this race profile.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way51.6/100 rating

Second Fiddle

7.40Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Racing Alpha pick

Second Fiddle

Andrew Mullen · Iain Jardine · 7yo

51.6/100

+4.1 vs next best (47.5)

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
25d since last run (race-fit window)
Form20% weight
54average
Last 6: 8-0-4-3-2-3
Trainer20% weight
48below average
Iain Jardine: 6/31 winners last 14d (19%)
Ratings50% weight
43below average
OR 64

MarketBest price 7.40 (Betfair Exchange) — 3rd pick of 9 in market. AI is contrarian here.

v1.3 rating · weights and method explained on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Lone front-runner — could dictate from the front if unchallenged.

Front-runners(1)
6Sanafi Zabeel
Prominent(6)
1Quiet Resolve 4Toralou 5Epidavros 8Sogniamo 9Turtle Reef 10Vitality
Mid-division(0)—
Hold-up / closers(1)
7Second Fiddle
Unknown(1)
3Real Trouper

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Hamilton 1m½f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–4)

IV 0.95

Mid (5–7)

IV 1.02

High (8–10)

IV 1.04

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 145 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
7	Second FiddlePick J: Andrew Mullen · T: Iain Jardine · draw 8 7yo · M · b	804323	9-09	64	—	—	51.6	13/2·7.30	7.4·7.40 Betfair Exchange
8	Sogniamo J: Daniel Tudhope · T: David O'Meara · draw 7 3yo · F · b	8175	9-07	69	—	—	47.5	18/1·18.24	20·20.00 Betfair Exchange · +10% vs fair
4	Toralou J: Dougie Costello · T: Mark Loughnane · draw 2 5yo · M · b	77726	9-12	67	—	—	46.0	12/1·13.38	12.5·12.50 Betfair Exchange · -7% vs fair
5	Epidavros J: P J McDonald · T: Katie Scott · draw 9 5yo · M · bpFT P	44435	9-12	67	—	—	43.6	8/1·9.12	7.5·8.50 SmarketsSBK · -7% vs fair
10	Vitality J: Sean D Bowen · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 1 3yo · F · chhFT H	32469	9-04	66	—	—	42.6	33/1·35.26	36·36.00 Betfair Exchange · +2% vs fair
1	Quiet Resolve J: Sean Kirrane · T: Alan Brown · draw 6 5yo · G · b	12646	10-01	70	—	—	41.3	11/2·6.69	11/2·6.50 Bet365 · -3% vs fair
6	Sanafi Zabeel J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Jim Goldie · draw 10 5yo · G · ch	193345	9-09	64	—	—	39.8	2/1·3.04	7/4·2.75 Unibet · -9% vs fair
9	Turtle Reef J: Alistair Rawlinson · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 5 3yo · G · b	65037	9-05	67	—	—	39.1	20/1·20.67	19·19.00 Betfair Exchange · -8% vs fair
3	Real Trouper J: David Allan · T: Craig Lidster · draw 4 4yo · G · b	397	9-13	68	—	—	36.6	14/1·14.59	13·14.00 SmarketsSBK · -4% vs fair
—	Pink AzaleaNon-runner J: Jake Dickson(5) · T: John & Sean Quinn · draw 3 4yo · F · b	08909	9-13	68	—	—	—	—	Withdrawn

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 29 bookmakers per horse with the 22% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Follow Us On X @HamiltonParkRC Handicap Stakes?

The Follow Us On X @HamiltonParkRC Handicap Stakes is off at 19:30 on 11 August 2026 at Hamilton (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 19:30 Hamilton?

1m½f, Class 5, Flat, 9 runners declared.

What is the going for the 19:30 Hamilton?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 19:30 Hamilton?

The AI top-rated runner is Second Fiddle (score 51.6, best price 7.40). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 19:30 Hamilton?

The market favourite is Sanafi Zabeel at a best price of 2.75. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Second Fiddle.

Racing Post verdict

Third-party

Toralou rates 2 lb below the top-rated Epidavros on our assessments, yet it is the progressive profile here that tilts the verdict in her favour, suggesting she remains on an upward curve that the bare figures do not fully capture. Epidavros and Quiet Resolve, separated by just a pound at the head of the ratings, are the principal dangers alongside Pink Azalea, who holds solid claims on a lower figure. On good-to-soft ground over eight furlongs at Hamilton, Toralou looks the one most likely to improve again and outrun her current standing. **Toralou** is our selection.

Racing Post pick: Toralou

Editorial verdict from Racing Post via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org