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14:52 Gowran Park

Ireland

Irish EBF Median Sires Series Maiden

7f · Flat · Good To Firm · 19 runners · €15,000 · Wednesday, 12 August 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

AI top-rated
Not You Too · No. 11 · best 15/2·8.40 Betfair Exchange

Highest AI score (33.1) in the field, 1.6 clear of the next best. Drawn 4, inside the favoured low third at this course and trip. Not on today's published card — the v1.0 filter rejects this race profile.

Each-way33.1/100 rating
Not You Too
8.40Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Racing Alpha pick

Not You Too

Donagh O'Connor · M D O'Callaghan · 2yo

33.1/100
+1.6 vs next best (31.5)

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    27d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    78strong
    Last 6: 2
  • Trainer20% weight
    38below average
    M D O'Callaghan: 2/13 winners last 14d (15%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    0weak
    no Racing Post ratings on file
MarketBest price 8.40 (Betfair Exchange) — 4th pick of 19 in market. AI is contrarian here.

v1.3 rating · weights and method explained on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: No confirmed front-runner — likely a slow start, race may turn into a sprint.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Gowran Park 7f

full course data →

Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.38).

Low (1–7)
IV 1.38
Mid (8–13)
IV 0.82
High (14–19)
IV 0.75

Today: Not You Too (draw 4) and Feel The Sting (draw 6) get the bias; Citrus Springs (draw 15) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 145 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
11
J: Donagh O'Connor · T: M D O'Callaghan · draw 4
2yo · F · bOnly pairing
2
33.115/2·8.478.4·8.40
Betfair Exchange
All 28 books ▾
2
J: Gary Carroll · T: A Oliver · draw 6 · combo 1/14 (7%)
2yo · C · bOnly pairing
31.550/1·57.6133/1·34.00
Bet365 · -41% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
14
J: Shane Foley · T: K J Condon · draw 13
2yo · F · chOnly pairing
27.550/1·49.1433/1·34.00
Midnite · -31% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
5
J: Dylan Browne McMonagle · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 15 · combo 38/186 (20%)
2yo · F · brvFT V
62
27.211/2·6.353/1·4.00
Bet365 · -37% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
4
J: Colin Keane · T: G M Lyons · draw 8 · combo 18/71 (25%)
2yo · C · bOnly pairing
4
23.09/1·10.176/1·7.00
Bet365 · -31% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
16
2yo · F · bOnly pairing
3
22.013/2·7.626.6·6.60
Betfair Exchange · -13% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
10
J: Declan McDonogh · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 11 · combo 4/56 (7%)
2yo · C · b
20.514/1·15.259/1·10.00
Bet365 · -34% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
3
J: Gavin Ryan · T: Patrick T Foley · draw 1
2yo · G · chhOnly runner
79
18.380/1·86.4260/1·61.00
BetWright · -29% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
1
J: W J Lee · T: Jack Foley · draw 10 · combo 3/8 (38%)
2yo · C · bOnly runner
25
17.717/2·9.328.4·8.40
Betfair Exchange · -10% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
18
J: · T: J P Murtagh · draw 7
2yo · F · br
6
17.516/1·16.1010/1·11.00
Bet365 · -32% vs fair
All 25 books ▾
6
J: Chris Hayes · T: Noel Meade · draw 3 · combo 0/12 (0%)
2yo · C · bOnly pairing
17.040/1·44.0628/1·29.00
Midnite · -34% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
17
J: · T: G M Lyons · draw 9
2yo · C · b
6
16.528/1·28.8118/1·19.00
BetWright · -34% vs fair
All 25 books ▾
7
J: Luke McAteer · T: David Marnane · draw 2 · combo 5/58 (9%)
2yo · G · bOnly pairing
5
16.014/1·14.408/1·9.00
Dragon Bet · -37% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
13
J: Nathan Crosse · T: Daniel McLoughlin · draw 12 · combo 0/16 (0%)
2yo · F · brOnly pairing
15.050/1·57.6150/1·51.00
Bet365 · -11% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
8
J: Ronan Whelan · T: Adrian McGuinness · draw 5 · combo 0/11 (0%)
2yo · G · b
8
14.550/1·57.6133/1·34.00
Bet365 · -41% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
9
2yo · C · bOnly runner
00
13.0200/1·213.50150/1·151.00
Midnite · -29% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
19
J: · T: David Marnane · draw 16
2yo · G · b
7
13.033/1·32.1925/1·26.00
Bet365 · -19% vs fair
All 25 books ▾
15
J: Mel Sheridan(7) · T: Denis Gerard Hogan · draw 18 · combo 0/10 (0%)
2yo · F · bOnly pairing
08
11.3200/1·213.50150/1·151.00
Midnite · -29% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
12
J: Jamie Powell · T: Daniel McLoughlin · draw 17
2yo · G · bOnly ride
0
8.5100/1·113.5380/1·81.00
Midnite · -29% vs fair
All 28 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 25–28 bookmakers per horse with the 69% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Irish EBF Median Sires Series Maiden?

The Irish EBF Median Sires Series Maiden is off at 14:52 on 12 August 2026 at Gowran Park (Ireland).

What is the field size and distance of the 14:52 Gowran Park?

7f, Flat, 19 runners declared.

What is the going for the 14:52 Gowran Park?

Going is reported as Good To Firm on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 14:52 Gowran Park?

The AI top-rated runner is Not You Too (score 33.1, best price 8.40). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 14:52 Gowran Park?

The market favourite is Citrus Springs at a best price of 4.00. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Not You Too.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org