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16:52 Gowran Park

Ireland

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Median Auction Maiden

1m1½f · Flat · Good To Firm · 15 runners · €12,000 · Wednesday, 12 August 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

AI top-rated
Storm Petrel · No. 14 · best 25/1·26.00 Bet365

Highest AI score (54.7) in the field, 3.0 clear of the next best. Drawn 12, inside the favoured high third at this course and trip. Best price is currently 25% below the market's fair price — no value at the current quote. Not on today's published card — the v1.0 filter rejects this race profile.

Each-way51.6/100 rating
Karrygrant
7.00Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Racing Alpha pick

Storm Petrel

Gary Halpin · Ms M McDowall · 3yo

54.7/100
+3.0 vs next best (51.6)

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    24d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Ratings50% weight
    51average
    OR 77
  • Trainer20% weight
    50average
    Ms M McDowall — no runners last 14 days
  • Form20% weight
    45below average
    Last 6: 0-4-3
MarketBest price 26.00 (Bet365) — 9th pick of 15 in market. AI is contrarian here.

v1.3 rating · weights and method explained on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Lone front-runner — could dictate from the front if unchallenged.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Gowran Park 1m1½f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.13).

Low (1–5)
IV 1.11
Mid (6–10)
IV 0.73
High (11–15)
IV 1.13

Today: Storm Petrel (draw 12) and Karrygrant (draw 15) get the bias; One Cool County (draw 8) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 95 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
14
J: Gary Halpin · T: Ms M McDowall · draw 12
3yo · F · bOnly rideOnly runner
043
7754.733/1·34.6425/1·26.00
Bet365 · -25% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
6
J: Ben Coen · T: J P Murtagh · draw 15 · combo 12/99 (12%)
3yo · G · bp
324532
7951.613/2·7.537·7.00
Betfair Exchange · -7% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
5
J: Rory Cleary · T: Gordon Elliott · draw 4
3yo · G · bOnly runner
743
8049.228/1·28.6222/1·23.00
Bet365 · -20% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
9
J: W J Lee · T: A Oliver · draw 3 · combo 3/28 (11%)
3yo · G · bpFT P
53
35.09/1·9.7911/2·6.50
Bet365 · -34% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
4
J: Dylan Browne McMonagle · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 2 · combo 38/186 (20%)
3yo · G · ch
2
29.65/4·2.308/13·1.62
Bet365 · -30% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
8
J: Conor Cusack(7) · T: P J F Murphy · draw 8 · combo 0/12 (0%)
3yo · G · bOnly pairing
6
25.0100/1·121.99100/1·101.00
Bet365 · -17% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
3
J: Chris Hayes · T: D K Weld · draw 7 · combo 6/55 (11%)
4yo · G · bOnly pairing
23.566/1·61.7540/1·41.00
Bet365 · -34% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
13
J: Ronan Whelan · T: W McCreery · draw 1
3yo · F · bOnly pairing
7
23.018/1·19.5816/1·17.00
Bet365 · -13% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
12
J: Declan McDonogh · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 13 · combo 4/56 (7%)
3yo · F · b
20.533/1·34.6422/1·23.00
Bet365 · -34% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
10
J: Gavin Ryan · T: Donnacha Aidan O'Brien · draw 5 · combo 3/35 (9%)
3yo · C · btbOnly runner
62
20.218/1·18.0712/1·13.00
Betfred · -28% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
15
J: Colin Keane · T: Noel Meade · draw 14 · combo 3/35 (9%)
3yo · F · chtOnly pairing
63
18.316/1·16.5716.5·16.50
Betfair Exchange
All 28 books ▾
11
J: Alan Casey(7) · T: Denis Gerard Hogan · draw 11 · combo 0/7 (0%)
3yo · F · bOnly ride
50
15.0100/1·121.99100/1·101.00
Bet365 · -17% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
7
J: Luke McAteer · T: Rory Anthony Devine · draw 10 · combo 0/6 (0%)
3yo · G · bOnly pairing
6
12.550/1·51.2140/1·41.00
Bet365 · -20% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
2
J: Alan Persse(5) · T: Patrick J Flynn · draw 9 · combo 0/9 (0%)
5yo · G · bOnly rideOnly runner
8
12.066/1·61.7550/1·51.00
Bet365 · -17% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
1
J: James Ryan · T: Seamus G O'Donnell · draw 6
5yo · G · bOnly runner
00
10.0250/1·302.72250/1·251.00
Bet365 · -17% vs fair
All 28 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 28 bookmakers per horse with the 51% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Irish Stallion Farms EBF Median Auction Maiden?

The Irish Stallion Farms EBF Median Auction Maiden is off at 16:52 on 12 August 2026 at Gowran Park (Ireland).

What is the field size and distance of the 16:52 Gowran Park?

1m1½f, Flat, 15 runners declared.

What is the going for the 16:52 Gowran Park?

Going is reported as Good To Firm on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 16:52 Gowran Park?

The AI top-rated runner is Storm Petrel (score 54.7, best price 26.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 16:52 Gowran Park?

The market favourite is Gliondar at a best price of 1.62. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Storm Petrel.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org