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17:52 Gowran Park

Ireland

1XBET IRISH SPIRIT Handicap (Div II)

1m1½f · Flat · Good To Firm · 20 runners · €6,000 · Wednesday, 12 August 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

AI top-rated
Chapel Island · No. 8 · best 12/1·13.00 Bet365

Highest AI score (52.9) in the field, 9.4 clear of the next best. Best price is currently 34% below the market's fair price — no value at the current quote. Not on today's published card — the v1.0 filter rejects this race profile.

Each-way52.9/100 rating
Chapel Island
13.00Bet365
Place portion settles at 3.40 · 1/5 odds · 5 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Racing Alpha pick

Chapel Island

Wesley Joyce(3) · A Oliver · 3yo

52.9/100
+9.4 vs next best (43.5)

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    26d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Trainer20% weight
    83very strong
    A Oliver: 2/6 winners last 14d (33%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    39below average
    OR 58
  • Form20% weight
    35below average
    Last 6: 7-8-5-4-4
MarketBest price 13.00 (Bet365) — 8th pick of 20 in market. AI is contrarian here.

v1.3 rating · weights and method explained on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: No confirmed front-runner — likely a slow start, race may turn into a sprint.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Gowran Park 1m1½f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.13).

Low (1–7)
IV 1.11
Mid (8–14)
IV 0.73
High (15–20)
IV 1.13

Today: Invincible Destiny (draw 20) and Urban War (draw 16) get the bias; Nibras Rainbow (draw 11) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 95 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
8
J: Wesley Joyce(3) · T: A Oliver · draw 5
3yo · C · brtOnly pairing
78544
5852.918/1·19.7912/1·13.00
Bet365 · -34% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
4
J: Leigh Roche · T: Paul W Flynn · draw 11 · combo 2/16 (13%)
6yo · G · bbDOnly pairing
013213
5643.510/1·10.726/1·7.00
Bet365 · -35% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
9
J: Chris Hayes · T: H Rogers · draw 10 · combo 1/6 (17%)
8yo · M · chhOnly runner
20229
5042.414/1·15.679/1·10.00
Bet365 · -36% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
6
J: Robbie Colgan · T: Peter McCreery · draw 9
10yo · G · bOnly runner
03050
5541.550/1·56.0733/1·34.00
talkSPORT BET · -39% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
1
J: Gary Carroll · T: Peter Fahey · draw 14
4yo · F · bOnly runner
342437
6039.112/1·13.1915/2·8.50
Bet365 · -36% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
14
J: Colin Keane · T: Gerard Keane · draw 8 · combo 2/11 (18%)
9yo · M · btFT T
64003
4837.013/2·7.424/1·5.00
Bet365 · -33% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
15
J: Terry Casey(7) · T: Michael Mulvany · draw 7 · combo 2/11 (18%)
3yo · G · chD
840516
5436.512/1·13.1917/2·9.50
Bet365 · -28% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
3
J: W J Lee · T: Denis Gerard Hogan · draw 4
4yo · G · btbOnly pairing
830476
5636.518/1·19.7914/1·15.00
Bet365 · -24% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
7
J: Dylan Browne McMonagle · T: M D O'Callaghan · draw 12 · combo 1/10 (10%)
7yo · G · gtpOnly pairing
006079
5435.620/1·21.4414/1·15.00
Bet365 · -30% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
10
J: Shane Foley · T: Mrs John Harrington · draw 20 · combo 18/137 (13%)
3yo · F · btFT T
007
5833.833/1·34.6320/1·21.00
Betfred · -39% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
5
J: Gavin Ryan · T: John Joseph Hanlon · draw 16
8yo · G · btOnly runner
32065
5633.150/1·56.0733/1·34.00
Bet365 · -39% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
12
J: Paddy Harnett(5) · T: D P Coakley · draw 17
8yo · G · gvOnly rideOnly runner
00000
4932.850/1·56.0733/1·34.00
Bet365 · -39% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
16
J: Ben Coen · T: Mrs Denise Foster · draw 1
5yo · M · brOnly pairing
00642
4332.78/1·9.076.2·6.20
Betfair Exchange · -32% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
20
J: · T: Adrian McGuinness · draw 15
5yo · G · bv
00008
5831.025/1·24.7420/1·21.00
Boyle Sports · -15% vs fair
All 25 books ▾
18
J: · T: Andrew Slattery · draw 13
4yo · F · ch
990006
4330.128/1·31.3320/1·21.00
BetWright · -33% vs fair
All 25 books ▾
2
J: Ronan Whelan · T: Timothy Doyle · draw 18
4yo · F · baybrownOnly runner
080
5729.780/1·84.1050/1·51.00
William Hill · -39% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
19
J: · T: Liam P Cusack · draw 3
3yo · G · bhFT H
088
5028.350/1·56.0740/1·41.00
BetWright · -27% vs fair
All 25 books ▾
17
J: Robert Whearty · T: Gavin Cromwell · draw 2 · combo 0/25 (0%)
4yo · F · gOnly rideOnly runner
60084
4226.314/1·14.8417/2·9.50
Bet365 · -36% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
13
5yo · G · chOnly pairing
17990
4925.128/1·31.3320/1·21.00
Bet365 · -33% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
11
J: James Ryan · T: W M Roper · draw 19
6yo · M · baybrownbFT BOnly runner
0680
5024.666/1·67.6140/1·41.00
Betfred · -39% vs fair
All 28 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 25–28 bookmakers per horse with the 65% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the 1XBET IRISH SPIRIT Handicap (Div II)?

The 1XBET IRISH SPIRIT Handicap (Div II) is off at 17:52 on 12 August 2026 at Gowran Park (Ireland).

What is the field size and distance of the 17:52 Gowran Park?

1m1½f, Flat, 20 runners declared.

What is the going for the 17:52 Gowran Park?

Going is reported as Good To Firm on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 17:52 Gowran Park?

The AI top-rated runner is Chapel Island (score 52.9, best price 13.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 17:52 Gowran Park?

The market favourite is Thegooseiscooked at a best price of 5.00. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Chapel Island.

Racing Post verdict

Third-party

Urban War heads this 20-runner Gowran Park contest on good-to-firm ground over ten furlongs, rated narrowly ahead of Brewel Hill and the remainder of the field, with that modest edge providing a slim but genuine case for selection. Brewel Hill, Chapel Island and Dancing Steve represent the most credible dangers in a competitive and open-looking handicap, and with confidence in the outcome understandably tempered by the size of the field, the result could go several ways. That said, Urban War's superiority over the principals on our figures, even if modest, gives him the call. **Urban War** is our selection.

Racing Post pick: Urban War

Editorial verdict from Racing Post via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org