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14:15 Beverley

Macan At Porsche Centre Hull EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (EBF Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race)

5f · Flat · Class 5 · Good To Firm · 14 runners · £4,860 · Wednesday, 12 August 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

AI top-rated
Lexington Boom · No. 7 · best 7/2·4.60 Betfair Exchange

Highest AI score (48.3) in the field, 2.3 clear of the next best. Best price is currently 26% below the market's fair price — no value at the current quote. Not on today's published card — the v1.0 filter rejects this race profile.

Each-way48.3/100 rating
Lexington Boom
4.60Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Racing Alpha pick

Lexington Boom

Oliver Stammers · Grant Tuer · 2yo

48.3/100
+2.3 vs next best (45.9)

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    15d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    78strong
    Last 6: 2-2
  • Ratings50% weight
    45below average
    OR 68
  • Trainer20% weight
    0weak
    Grant Tuer: 0/5 winners last 14d (0%)
MarketBest price 4.60 (Betfair Exchange) — 2nd favourite. AI sees slight value vs consensus.

v1.3 rating · weights and method explained on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: 4 confirmed front-runners — expect a pace duel; closers from the rear advantaged.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Beverley 5f

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.19).

Low (1–5)
IV 1.19
Mid (6–10)
IV 1.06
High (11–14)
IV 0.74

Today: Ubettabequeen (draw 1) and Scottys Rocket (draw 4) get the bias; Lexington Boom (draw 12) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 130 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
7
J: Oliver Stammers · T: Grant Tuer · draw 12 · combo 5/50 (10%)
2yo · C · bOnly ride
22
6848.35/1·6.254.6·4.60
Betfair Exchange · -26% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
4
2yo · G · btFT TClass drop
205
7045.97/1·7.949.4·9.40
Betfair Exchange · +18% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
9
J: David Allan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 6 · combo 19/178 (11%)
2yo · G · bClass drop
256
6538.312/1·13.7215·16.00
SmarketsSBK · +17% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
8
J: Clifford Lee · T: K. R. Burke · draw 7 · combo 24/93 (26%)
2yo · G · b
22.010/3·4.334.7·4.70
Betfair Exchange · +9% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
3
J: Ben Robinson · T: Brian Ellison · draw 14 · combo 2/58 (3%)
2yo · C · chClass drop
21.525/1·27.4318/1·19.00
BetWright · -31% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
5
2yo · G · bOnly runner
7
19.5200/1·218.02150/1·151.00
Bet365 · -31% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
11
J: Sean Kirrane · T: Tim Easterby · draw 1 · combo 7/96 (7%)
2yo · F · bOnly pairing
18.525/1·24.5516/1·17.00
BetWright · -31% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
12
J: Billy Garritty · T: Michael & David Easterby · draw 10 · combo 6/65 (9%)
2yo · F · bhFT HClass drop
04
18.514/1·15.8813·14.00
SmarketsSBK · -12% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
10
J: Cam Hardie · T: Brian Ellison · draw 4 · combo 2/15 (13%)
2yo · F · b
9
17.7100/1·96.7470/1·71.00
7Bet · -27% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
13
J: Tom Eaves · T: Ivan Furtado · draw 8 · combo 2/15 (13%)
2yo · F · bOnly runner
17.550/1·49.0935/1·36.00
7Bet · -27% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
1
J: Joanna Mason · T: David Evans · draw 3
2yo · C · bClass dropOnly pairing
59
16.34/1·5.053·4.00
SmarketsSBK · -21% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
6
J: Mark Winn · T: Paul Midgley · draw 13 · combo 0/9 (0%)
2yo · G · bOnly pairing
96
13.1200/1·218.02150/1·151.00
Bet365 · -31% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
2
J: David Nolan · T: Paul Midgley · draw 5 · combo 4/40 (10%)
2yo · C · bClass dropOnly pairing
07
9.0100/1·116.95125/1·126.00
Bet365 · +8% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
14
J: Jason Hart · T: Ollie Pears · draw 2
2yo · F · chClass dropOnly pairing
0
7.040/1·41.8730/1·31.00
7Bet · -26% vs fair
All 29 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 29 bookmakers per horse with the 44% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Macan At Porsche Centre Hull EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (EBF Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race)?

The Macan At Porsche Centre Hull EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (EBF Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race) is off at 14:15 on 12 August 2026 at Beverley (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 14:15 Beverley?

5f, Class 5, Flat, 14 runners declared.

What is the going for the 14:15 Beverley?

Going is reported as Good To Firm on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 14:15 Beverley?

The AI top-rated runner is Lexington Boom (score 48.3, best price 4.60). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 14:15 Beverley?

The market favourite is Ard As A Rock at a best price of 4.00. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Lexington Boom.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org