19:00 Kempton (AW)

Unibet Support Safer Gambling Handicap Stakes (Div II)

7f · Flat · Class 4 · Standard To Slow · 11 runners · £6,281 · Wednesday, 12 August 2026

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E/W terms3 places at 1/5 odds (11 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

AI top-rated

Racingbreaks Ryder · No. 5 · best 11/2·6.60 Betfair Exchange

Highest AI score (56.9) in the field, 1.8 clear of the next best. Not on today's published card — the v1.0 filter rejects this race profile.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way56.9/100 rating

Racingbreaks Ryder

6.60Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Racing Alpha pick

Racingbreaks Ryder

Jason Watson · Charles Hills · 6yo

56.9/100

+1.8 vs next best (55.2)

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
85very strong
47d since last run (fresh)
Trainer20% weight
58average
Charles Hills: 6/26 winners last 14d (23%)
Ratings50% weight
55average
OR 82
Form20% weight
48below average
Last 6: 0-0-3-8-1

MarketBest price 6.60 (Betfair Exchange) — 4th pick of 11 in market. AI is contrarian here.

v1.3 rating · weights and method explained on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Front-runners(0)—
Prominent(7)
1Wild Nature 3Metal Merchant 4Chalk Mountain 6Bridget's View 7Kiniro 9Lady Mariko 11Berry Clever
Mid-division(1)
2Philanthropist
Hold-up / closers(2)
5Racingbreaks Ryder 8Kitaro Kich
Unknown(1)
10How Impressive

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Kempton (AW) 7f

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.17).

Low (1–4)

IV 1.05

Mid (5–8)

IV 1.17

High (9–11)

IV 0.80

Today: Kiniro (draw 8) and Wild Nature (draw 6) get the bias; Racingbreaks Ryder (draw 11) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 665 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
5	Racingbreaks RyderPick J: Jason Watson · T: Charles Hills · draw 11 · combo 9/40 (23%) 6yo · G · bOnly runner	00381	9-06	82	—	—	56.9	11/2·6.65	6.6·6.60 Betfair Exchange All 29 books ▾ Betfair Exchange6.6·6.60 SmarketsSBK5·6.00 Bet3659/2·5.50 William Hill4/1·5.00 talkSPORT BET4/1·5.00 BetWright4/1·5.00 Betano4/1·5.00 Dragon Bet4/1·5.00 BetAhoy4/1·5.00 Spreadex4/1·5.00Octobet4/1·5.00BresBet4/1·5.00BestOdds4/1·5.007Bet4/1·5.00 Coral4/1·5.00 Betfred4/1·5.00 Boyle Sports4/1·5.00 Ladbrokes4/1·5.00 Unibet4/1·5.00 Star Sports4/1·5.00 Midnite4/1·5.00 SportingIndex4/1·5.00 Quinn Bet4/1·5.00 BetTom4/1·5.00 Bet Victor4/1·5.00 CopyBet3.75/1·4.75 LiveScore Bet7/2·4.50 PricedUp Bet7/2·4.50Virgin Bet7/2·4.50
2	Philanthropist J: George Wood · T: James Fanshawe · draw 1 · combo 2/6 (33%) 4yo · G · bpClass dropOnly runner	71340	9-08	84	—	—	55.2	11/2·6.65	5.1·5.10 Betfair Exchange · -23% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Betfair Exchange5.1·5.10 talkSPORT BET4/1·5.00 Betano4/1·5.00 Bet3654/1·5.00 William Hill4/1·5.00 Coral4/1·5.00 Betfred4/1·5.00 Boyle Sports4/1·5.00 Ladbrokes4/1·5.00 BetWright4/1·5.00 Dragon Bet4/1·5.00 BetAhoy4/1·5.00 Spreadex4/1·5.00 Unibet4/1·5.00 BetTom4/1·5.00 Bet Victor4/1·5.00Octobet4/1·5.00BresBet4/1·5.00BestOdds4/1·5.007Bet4/1·5.00 Star Sports4/1·5.00 Midnite4/1·5.00 SportingIndex4/1·5.00 Quinn Bet4/1·5.00 CopyBet3.75/1·4.75 LiveScore Bet7/2·4.50 PricedUp Bet7/2·4.50Virgin Bet7/2·4.50SmarketsSBK3.5·4.50
3	Metal Merchant J: David Egan · T: John Butler · draw 3 · combo 4/14 (29%) 6yo · G · b	00004	9-07	83	—	—	54.7	5/1·5.98	5.7·5.70 Betfair Exchange · -5% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Betfair Exchange5.7·5.70 SmarketsSBK4.5·5.50 Bet3654/1·5.00 BetWright7/2·4.50 Ladbrokes7/2·4.50 Unibet7/2·4.50 BetTom7/2·4.50 Betano7/2·4.50 Dragon Bet7/2·4.50 Betfred7/2·4.50 Boyle Sports7/2·4.50 Bet Victor7/2·4.50 talkSPORT BET7/2·4.50BestOdds7/2·4.507Bet7/2·4.50 Star Sports7/2·4.50 Midnite7/2·4.50 SportingIndex7/2·4.50 Quinn Bet7/2·4.50 William Hill7/2·4.50 Coral7/2·4.50 CopyBet7/2·4.50 BetAhoy7/2·4.50 Spreadex7/2·4.50Octobet7/2·4.50BresBet7/2·4.50Virgin Bet10/3·4.33LiveScore Bet10/3·4.33 PricedUp Bet10/3·4.33
7	Kiniro J: Billy Loughnane · T: Dan Horsford · draw 8 4yo · G · bOnly pairing	18028	9-02	78	—	—	50.9	14/1·15.96	11·12.00 SmarketsSBK · -25% vs fair All 29 books ▾ SmarketsSBK11·12.00 Betano11/1·12.00 Boyle Sports11/1·12.00 Ladbrokes11/1·12.00 Midnite11/1·12.00 SportingIndex11/1·12.00 Quinn Bet11/1·12.00 William Hill11/1·12.00 Coral11/1·12.00 Betfred11/1·12.00 BetTom11/1·12.00 Bet Victor11/1·12.00 talkSPORT BET11/1·12.00 BetWright11/1·12.00 Dragon Bet11/1·12.00 BetAhoy11/1·12.00 Spreadex11/1·12.00Octobet11/1·12.00BresBet11/1·12.00BestOdds11/1·12.007Bet11/1·12.00 Bet36510/1·11.00 Unibet10/1·11.00Virgin Bet10/1·11.00LiveScore Bet10/1·11.00 CopyBet10/1·11.00 PricedUp Bet10/1·11.00 Star Sports9/1·10.00 Betfair Exchange8.6·8.60
1	Wild Nature J: Jack Mitchell · T: Michael Attwater · draw 6 4yo · G · bClass dropOnly runner	91300	9-09	85	—	—	47.5	13/2·7.31	8·8.00 Betfair Exchange · +9% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Betfair Exchange8·8.00 SmarketsSBK6.5·7.50 Bet3655/1·6.00 Star Sports9/2·5.50 Midnite9/2·5.50 SportingIndex9/2·5.50 William Hill9/2·5.50 talkSPORT BET9/2·5.50 BetWright9/2·5.50 Betano9/2·5.50 Dragon Bet9/2·5.50 CopyBet9/2·5.50 BetAhoy9/2·5.50BestOdds9/2·5.507Bet9/2·5.50 Quinn Bet9/2·5.50 Spreadex9/2·5.50Octobet9/2·5.50BresBet9/2·5.50 Coral9/2·5.50 Betfred9/2·5.50 Boyle Sports9/2·5.50 Ladbrokes9/2·5.50 Unibet9/2·5.50 BetTom9/2·5.50 Bet Victor9/2·5.50Virgin Bet4/1·5.00LiveScore Bet4/1·5.00 PricedUp Bet4/1·5.00
8	Kitaro Kich J: Neil Callan · T: George Baker · draw 9 · combo 1/20 (5%) 6yo · G · brt	21647	9-01	77	—	—	46.1	16/1·17.28	13·14.00 SmarketsSBK · -19% vs fair All 29 books ▾ SmarketsSBK13·14.00 Midnite12/1·13.00BestOdds12/1·13.00talkSPORT BET12/1·13.00 BetWright12/1·13.00 Betano12/1·13.00 Dragon Bet12/1·13.00 CopyBet12/1·13.00 BetAhoy12/1·13.00 Spreadex12/1·13.00Octobet12/1·13.00BresBet12/1·13.00 Bet36512/1·13.00 William Hill12/1·13.00 Coral12/1·13.00 Betfred12/1·13.00 Boyle Sports12/1·13.00 Ladbrokes12/1·13.00 Unibet12/1·13.00 BetTom12/1·13.00 Bet Victor12/1·13.00 7Bet12/1·13.00 Star Sports12/1·13.00 SportingIndex12/1·13.00 Quinn Bet12/1·13.00Virgin Bet11/1·12.00LiveScore Bet11/1·12.00 PricedUp Bet11/1·12.00 Betfair Exchange10.5·10.50
4	Chalk Mountain J: Alfie Redman(7) · T: Zoe Hawkins · draw 4 6yo · G · grtC&DGoing 1/2Only rideOnly runner	18672	9-06	82	—	—	45.7	13/2·7.31	5.6·5.60 Betfair Exchange · -23% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Betfair Exchange5.6·5.60 Bet3659/2·5.50 William Hill9/2·5.50 BetAhoy9/2·5.50 Spreadex9/2·5.50Octobet9/2·5.50Coral9/2·5.50 Betfred9/2·5.50 Ladbrokes9/2·5.50 BetTom9/2·5.50 Bet Victor9/2·5.50 talkSPORT BET9/2·5.50 Betano9/2·5.50 Star Sports9/2·5.50 Midnite9/2·5.50 SportingIndex9/2·5.50 Quinn Bet9/2·5.50 PricedUp Bet4/1·5.00 BresBet4/1·5.00BestOdds4/1·5.007Bet4/1·5.00 Boyle Sports4/1·5.00 Unibet4/1·5.00Virgin Bet4/1·5.00BetWright4/1·5.00 LiveScore Bet4/1·5.00 Dragon Bet4/1·5.00 CopyBet4/1·5.00 SmarketsSBK4·5.00
9	Lady Mariko J: Stevie Donohoe · T: Dylan Cunha · draw 2 · combo 1/18 (6%) 4yo · F · bOnly runner	160606	8-13	75	—	—	44.7	28/1·27.92	20/1·21.00 Unibet · -25% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Unibet20/1·21.00 BetTom20/1·21.00 Bet Victor20/1·21.00 talkSPORT BET20/1·21.00 BetWright20/1·21.00 Dragon Bet20/1·21.00 CopyBet20/1·21.00 BetAhoy20/1·21.00 Spreadex20/1·21.00Octobet20/1·21.00BresBet20/1·21.00BestOdds20/1·21.007Bet20/1·21.00 Star Sports20/1·21.00 Midnite20/1·21.00 SportingIndex20/1·21.00 Quinn Bet20/1·21.00 SmarketsSBK20·21.00 Bet36520/1·21.00 William Hill20/1·21.00 Coral20/1·21.00 Betfred20/1·21.00 Boyle Sports20/1·21.00 Ladbrokes20/1·21.00 Betano20/1·21.00Virgin Bet18/1·19.00LiveScore Bet18/1·19.00 PricedUp Bet18/1·19.00 Betfair Exchange19·19.00
11	Berry Clever J: Silvestre De Sousa · T: Chris Dwyer · draw 7 · combo 3/26 (12%) 5yo · G · bD	214544	8-10	72	—	—	43.8	22/1·22.60	18/1·19.00 Bet365 · -16% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Bet36518/1·19.00 CopyBet16/1·17.00 William Hill16/1·17.00 Coral16/1·17.00 Betfred16/1·17.00 Boyle Sports16/1·17.00 Ladbrokes16/1·17.00 Bet Victor16/1·17.00 talkSPORT BET16/1·17.00 BetWright16/1·17.00 Star Sports16/1·17.00 Midnite16/1·17.00 SportingIndex16/1·17.00 Unibet16/1·17.00 Betano16/1·17.00 Dragon Bet16/1·17.00 BetTom16/1·17.00 BetAhoy16/1·17.00 Spreadex16/1·17.00Octobet16/1·17.00BresBet16/1·17.00BestOdds16/1·17.007Bet16/1·17.00 Quinn Bet16/1·17.00 SmarketsSBK15·16.00Virgin Bet14/1·15.00LiveScore Bet14/1·15.00 PricedUp Bet14/1·15.00 Betfair Exchange14·14.00
6	Bridget's View J: Cieren Fallon · T: Stuart Williams · draw 5 4yo · F · chhtFT HT	558776	9-04	80	—	—	43.2	28/1·27.92	20/1·21.00 Boyle Sports · -25% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Boyle Sports20/1·21.00 Ladbrokes20/1·21.00 Unibet20/1·21.00 BetTom20/1·21.00 Bet Victor20/1·21.00 talkSPORT BET20/1·21.00 Coral20/1·21.00 Betfred20/1·21.00 BetWright20/1·21.00 Betano20/1·21.00 Dragon Bet20/1·21.00 Star Sports20/1·21.00 Midnite20/1·21.00 Bet36520/1·21.00 William Hill20/1·21.00 CopyBet20/1·21.00 BetAhoy20/1·21.00 Spreadex20/1·21.00Octobet20/1·21.00BresBet20/1·21.00BestOdds20/1·21.007Bet20/1·21.00 SportingIndex20/1·21.00 Quinn Bet20/1·21.00 Betfair Exchange19.5·19.50Virgin Bet18/1·19.00LiveScore Bet18/1·19.00 PricedUp Bet18/1·19.00
10	How Impressive J: Robert Havlin · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 10 7yo · G · chtv	P42900	8-12	74	—	—	39.5	40/1·45.21	40·41.00 SmarketsSBK · -9% vs fair All 29 books ▾ SmarketsSBK40·41.00 Bet Victor40/1·41.00 talkSPORT BET40/1·41.00 Betano40/1·41.00 7Bet35/1·36.00 William Hill33/1·34.00 Coral33/1·34.00 Betfred33/1·34.00 Boyle Sports33/1·34.00 Ladbrokes33/1·34.00 BetTom33/1·34.00 CopyBet33/1·34.00 BetAhoy33/1·34.00 Spreadex33/1·34.00Octobet33/1·34.00BresBet33/1·34.00BestOdds33/1·34.00Star Sports33/1·34.00 Midnite33/1·34.00 SportingIndex33/1·34.00 Quinn Bet33/1·34.00Virgin Bet33/1·34.00BetWright33/1·34.00 LiveScore Bet33/1·34.00 Dragon Bet33/1·34.00 PricedUp Bet28/1·29.00 Bet36525/1·26.00 Unibet25/1·26.00 Betfair Exchange16·16.00

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 28–29 bookmakers per horse with the 33% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Unibet Support Safer Gambling Handicap Stakes (Div II)?

The Unibet Support Safer Gambling Handicap Stakes (Div II) is off at 19:00 on 12 August 2026 at Kempton (AW) (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 19:00 Kempton (AW)?

7f, Class 4, Flat, 11 runners declared.

What is the going for the 19:00 Kempton (AW)?

Going is reported as Standard To Slow on AW.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 19:00 Kempton (AW)?

The AI top-rated runner is Racingbreaks Ryder (score 56.9, best price 6.60). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 19:00 Kempton (AW)?

The market favourite is Philanthropist at a best price of 5.10. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Racingbreaks Ryder.

Racing Post verdict

Third-party

Metal Merchant arrives here on a progressive profile that gives us confidence he can outrun his narrow rating deficit against the top-rated Philanthropist, who sits just a pound clear. Racingbreaks Ryder and Wild Nature, both rated level with our selection, represent genuine threats in what is a competitive upper tier of this field, but Metal Merchant's upward trajectory suggests there is more to come from him. The remaining runners appear to have more to do on these figures. **Metal Merchant** is the selection.

Racing Post pick: Metal Merchant

Editorial verdict from Racing Post via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org