18+ • Bet Responsibly • Racing Alpha does not accept betsBeGambleAware.org
RacingAlpha
Next · 17m19:30Southwell (AW)

Try Unibet's New Improved Acca Boosts Handicap Stakes

1m4f · Flat · Class 5 · Standard / Slow · 10 runners · £4,187 · Wednesday, 12 August 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 6th
  1. 1st
    Crooked Path (IRE)
    Cieren Fallon·James Owen
    11/4·3.75
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Maestro Del Mar (FR)
    Silvestre De Sousa·Ismail Mohammed & Jose Santos·beaten 0.2 lengths
    3/1·4.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Star Time (GB)
    Harry Vigors·Alan King·beaten 3.5 lengths
    15/2·8.50
    SP
Race time
2m 39.55s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Crooked Path (IRE))

“slow to break - settled midpack early - made ground into contention with 2f left - up to second a furlong out - got up to score in the closing strides”

AI top-rated Solanna (score 61.0) finished 6th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Semper Femina

Semper Femina merits respect despite sitting a few pounds below the top of the ratings, as her progressive profile suggests she is still on an upward curve that those figures may not fully capture. Crooked Path heads the ratings on 77 but Semper Femina's fitness edge could prove decisive over this twelve-furlong Kempton trip on a standard-to-slow surface that rewards horses in peak condition. Solanna and Naasma, both rated 76, represent the chief secondary dangers and cannot be dismissed in an open eleven-runner field. **Semper Femina** is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Solanna

Billy Loughnane · John Butler · 7yo

Top-rated of 10
score 61.0 · +13.8 clear of next best (47.2)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    50d since last run (fresh)
  • Form20% weight
    76strong
    Last 6: 5-1-4-3-2-1
  • Trainer20% weight
    70strong
    John Butler: 5/18 winners last 14d (28%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    47below average
    OR 70 — highest combined rating in the field
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Kempton (AW) 1m4f

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.21).

Low (1–4)
IV 0.99
Mid (5–8)
IV 1.21
High (9–11)
IV 0.83

Today: Eljowhary (draw 6) and Roland Garros (draw 5) get the bias; Solanna (draw 9) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 242 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
16
J: Cieren Fallon · T: James Owen · draw 7
4yo · G · ch
44800
6537.9
11/4·3.75
SP
22
4yo · C · b
70403
7037.8
3/1·4.00
SP
35
J: Harry Vigors(5) · T: Alan King · draw 1
5yo · G · b
8258
6740.3
15/2·8.50
SP
44
J: Alexandra Egan(7) · T: Hayley Burton · draw 5
5yo · G · btp
95173
6839.4
18/1·19.00
SP
511
J: Jack Mitchell · T: John O'Shea · draw 8
4yo · F · bp
407133
5638.1
20/1·21.00
SP
61
J: Billy Loughnane · T: John Butler · draw 9
7yo · G · ch
514321
7061.0
2/1F·3.00
SP
73
J: Kaiya Fraser · T: Pat Phelan · draw 4
7yo · M · b
45436
6838.9
16/1·17.00
SP
810
J: George Wood · T: Luke Dace · draw 10
4yo · G · chhFT H
32358
5647.2
33/1·34.00
SP
97
J: Josephine Gordon · T: Keiran Burke · draw 11
4yo · G · btp
37230
6435.4
80/1·81.00
SP
108
3yo · G · b
6640
7044.2
28/1·29.00
SP
——
J: Seamus Cronin(5) · T: Richard Hannon · draw 2
3yo · F · b
297273
6646.9—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 21:00 Kempton (AW) on 12 August 2026?

Crooked Path (IRE) won the 21:00 Kempton (AW) at SP 3.75. Ridden by Cieren Fallon. Trained by James Owen.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 21:00 Kempton (AW)?

No — the AI top pick (Solanna) finished 6.

What were the placings in the 21:00 Kempton (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Crooked Path (IRE) (3.75), 2. Maestro Del Mar (FR) (4.00), 3. Star Time (GB) (8.50).

What was the winning time for the 21:00 Kempton (AW)?

The winning time was 2m 39.55s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org